Shanghai Ziyan Foods Co (603057) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 9.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 10, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 10, 2026, revised from ¥7.42 to ¥6.66 (−10.2%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +0.2% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 70% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥8.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (¥4.56 to ¥8.96) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
How to read this chart
46‑month range ¥12.75 – ¥34.19 · fair‑value band ¥4.56 – ¥8.96 · the ¥22.26 price screens above the ¥6.66 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 10, 2026.
Analysis
Shanghai Ziyan Foods Co (603057) currently trades at ¥22.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.66, implying the stock looks roughly 70.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Ziyan Foods Co generated revenue of 3.4B CNY at a net margin of 9.0%. Revenue grew 24.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.5%. Net debt stands at 422M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 10, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.56 (bear case) to ¥8.96 (bull case); at ¥22.26, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -70%, 603057 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥10.58) versus Growth DCF (¥2.68). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 10, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanghai Ziyan Foods Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of marinated food in China. Its products portfolio includes Fuqi Feipian, Baiwei Chicken, and Tengjiao Chicken made from chicken, duck, cattle, pig, and other livestock products, as well as vegetables, aquatic products, and soy products.
Full company description
Shanghai Ziyan Foods Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of marinated food in China. Its products portfolio includes Fuqi Feipian, Baiwei Chicken, and Tengjiao Chicken made from chicken, duck, cattle, pig, and other livestock products, as well as vegetables, aquatic products, and soy products. The company was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Ziyan Foods Co reported revenue of ¥3.2B in FY2025 versus ¥3.1B in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥236M in FY2025, compounding −7.9%/yr from FY2021.
603057 screens 70% overvalued. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →
Peer Group
Restaurants · 226 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 10, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.49 | $35.83 | -66% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.63 | $18.43 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $163.54 | $59.66 | -64% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $195.74 | $173.68 | -11% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $43.90 | $55.10 | +26% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $197.03 | $104.89 | -47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $68.36 | $12.80 | -81% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $322.18 | $231.96 | -28% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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