Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics Co (603565) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 20.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from ¥20.01 to ¥12.70 (−36.5%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price +7.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 22% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from ¥9.53 (bear) to ¥15.88 (bull), base ¥12.70. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 72/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.50 – ¥13.63 · fair‑value band ¥9.53 – ¥15.88 · the ¥10.39 price screens below the ¥12.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.
Analysis
Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics Co (603565) currently trades at ¥10.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.70, implying the stock looks roughly 22.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics Co generated revenue of 10.6B CNY at a net margin of 18.6%. Revenue grew 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥9.53 (bear case) to ¥15.88 (bull case); at ¥10.39, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 22%, 603565 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥22.75) versus Asset-Based (¥3.34). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics Co., Ltd. provides container shipping services in China. It offers container transportation services; multimodal transport services, such as sea-land combined transportation, river-sea combined transportation, water-to-water transshipment, sea-rail combined transportation, and cold chain transportation services; electronic …
Full company description
Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics Co., Ltd. provides container shipping services in China. It offers container transportation services; multimodal transport services, such as sea-land combined transportation, river-sea combined transportation, water-to-water transshipment, sea-rail combined transportation, and cold chain transportation services; electronic business platform, such as shipping big data and e-commerce platform; digitized logistics services, including booking systems, land transport systems, and vessel management systems. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China. Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics Co., Ltd. is a subsidiary of Zhonggu Shipping Group Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Zhonggu Logistics Co reported revenue of ¥10.6B in FY2025 versus ¥12.3B in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was ¥2.0B in FY2025, compounding −4.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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