Ningbo Peacebird Fashion Co (603877) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 6.2B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥12.15 to ¥8.14 (−33.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −1.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 36% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥10.17). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥11.13 – ¥57.54 · fair‑value band ¥6.10 – ¥10.17 · the ¥12.64 price screens above the ¥8.14 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Ningbo Peacebird Fashion Co (603877) currently trades at ¥12.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥8.14, implying the stock looks roughly 35.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Ningbo Peacebird Fashion Co generated revenue of 6.3B CNY at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue declined 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.0%. Net debt stands at 128M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥6.10 (bear case) to ¥10.17 (bull case); at ¥12.64, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -36%, 603877 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥11.48) versus Earnings-Based (¥4.46). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Ningbo Peacebird Fashion Co.,Ltd. operates as a customer-centric fashion brand retailer in China. The company offers women's, men's and children's clothing products under the PEACEBIRD WOMEN, PEACEBIRD MEN, Mini Peace, LEDIN, and other brands.
Full company description
Ningbo Peacebird Fashion Co.,Ltd. operates as a customer-centric fashion brand retailer in China. The company offers women's, men's and children's clothing products under the PEACEBIRD WOMEN, PEACEBIRD MEN, Mini Peace, LEDIN, and other brands. It also retails and wholesales clothing and accessories; manufactures feathers; and offers technical development, consulting, exchanges, transfer, and promotion services. In addition, the company is involved in logistics activities; professional design; wholesale and retail of shoes, hats, cosmetics, and stationery; sale of textiles, daily necessities, daily masks, and class I medical devices; retail of sporting goods and equipment; rental of cultural supplies and equipment; and Internet sales. It sells its products through direct-sale and franchise stores; and e-commerce platforms. Ningbo Peacebird Fashion Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Ningbo, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Ningbo Peacebird Fashion Co reported revenue of ¥6.3B in FY2025 versus ¥10.9B in FY2021, a compound −12.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥174M in FY2025, compounding −28.8%/yr from FY2021.
603877 screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A →
Peer Group
Apparel Retail · 107 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A 1ITX | €58.44 | €23.29 | -60% |
| The TJX Companies, Inc TJX | $154.46 | $84.95 | -45% |
| Fast Retailing Co 6288 | HK$40.00 | HK$15.37 | -62% |
| Ross Stores, Inc ROST | $233.46 | $118.41 | -49% |
| Burlington Stores, Inc BURL | $327.72 | $147.08 | -55% |
| Trent Limited TRENT | ₹2,903 | ₹709.49 | -76% |
| lululemon athletica inc., LULU | $116.33 | $299.63 | +158% |
| Aritzia Inc ATZ | C$160.05 | C$87.26 | -45% |
| The Gap, Inc GAP | $20.35 | $37.12 | +82% |
| Urban Outfitters, Inc URBN | $72.95 | $92.88 | +27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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