Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Haidilao International Holding Ltd stock HK$18.29, price HK$10.19, upside +79.5%, quality 72 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Haidilao International Holding Ltd
6862 · HKThe stock costs 44% less than our calculation considers fair.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$8.17 – HK$38.94 · fair‑value band HK$12.32 – HK$22.82 · the HK$10.19 price screens below the HK$18.29 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Company profile
Haidilao International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the restaurant operation and delivery businesses in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan.
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The company operates through Restaurant Operation, Delivery Business, Sales of Condiment Products and Food Ingredients, and Franchise Business segments. It also operates a Chinese cuisine restaurant under the Haidilao brand that offers hot pot cuisine.
In addition, the company is involved in technology; sale of condiment products and food ingredients; hotel operation; property investment management and consulting; and trading businesses.
Haidilao International Holding Ltd. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862) currently trades at HK$10.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$18.29, implying the stock looks roughly 44% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$21.99 per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$10.19 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$7.43, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: HK$12.32 (bear) to HK$22.82 (bull), the price of HK$10.19 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Haidilao International Holding Ltd reported revenue of 42.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 39.1B CNY in FY2021, a compound +1.9%/yr. Reported net income was 3.9B CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$55.2B (≈ $7.0B) Mid · P/E ratio 11.0 · P/S ratio 1.03 · Dividend yield 7.5% · Net margin 9.4% · Return on equity 41.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 26.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 11.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 77 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at 79%, 6862 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
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Earlier news
- Does Haidilao International Holding (SEHK:6862) Still Sit Near Fair Value?
- Haidilao Article Changes Put Shareholder Rights And Board Powers In Focus
Compare Haidilao International Holding Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 200 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Fair value gap by industry
- Return on assets by industry
- Stock screener with 62 metrics
- Undervalued stocks: Hong Kong Stocks
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.43 | $37.87 | +10% | vs 6862 |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $49.95 | $51.14 | +2% | vs 6862 |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | $77.69 | $72.40 | −7% | vs 6862 |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $226.35 | $175.82 | −22% | vs 6862 |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $334.28 | $234.54 | −30% | vs 6862 |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $183.88 | $128.55 | −30% | vs 6862 |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.41 | $65.63 | −38% | vs 6862 |
| McDonald's Corporation MCD | $276.52 | $162.81 | −41% | vs 6862 |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $161.14 | $73.05 | −55% | vs 6862 |
| CAVA Group CAVA | $59.15 | $12.01 | −80% | vs 6862 |
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Key figures of Haidilao International Holding Ltd
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