Beijing LongRuan Technologies Inc (688078) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 1.6B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥27.83 to ¥4.85 (−82.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +6.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 79% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥5.99). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥20.14 – ¥78.96 · fair‑value band ¥3.72 – ¥5.99 · the ¥23.30 price screens above the ¥4.85 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Beijing LongRuan Technologies Inc (688078) currently trades at ¥23.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥4.85, implying the stock looks roughly 79.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing LongRuan Technologies Inc generated revenue of 140M CNY at a net margin of -50.4%. Revenue declined 37.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 77.8M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.72 (bear case) to ¥5.99 (bull case); at ¥23.30, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -79%, 688078 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥6.22) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.78). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Beijing LongRuan Technologies Inc. provides software solutions and information technology (IT) services based on geographic information system (GIS) for the coal industry.
Full company description
Beijing LongRuan Technologies Inc. provides software solutions and information technology (IT) services based on geographic information system (GIS) for the coal industry. The company offers LongRuan GIS platform that provides mapping, geological modeling, spatial data management, spatial analysis, spatial information integration, publishing, and sharing capabilities. It provides Intelligent mine industrial software, a safety production intelligent management and control platform product safety production intelligent management and control platform products; intelligent comprehensive management and control platform; intelligent geological security system for intelligent detection and monitoring; intelligent washing application system; industrial Internet of Things application system; and LongRuanGIS software, a service-oriented architecture system to develop a set of complete iIS platform products. In addition, the company offers hardware products. Its software and IT services help government agencies and enterprises in the areas of safety production supervision and management, coal mine safety supervision, emergency rescue command, and smart city and security. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Beijing LongRuan Technologies Inc reported revenue of ¥157M in FY2025 versus ¥291M in FY2021, a compound −14.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥54.9M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +20.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −4.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
688078 screens 79% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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