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Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology Co (688093) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 7.6B CNY

SS Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology Co 688093 · SHG
Price¥27.42
Fair Value¥24.19
Upside-11.8%
Quality57/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 37.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.50% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 80/100
Evidence: High Range ¥15.85 – ¥36.49 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price −9.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 12% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (¥15.85 to ¥36.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from ¥15.85 (bear) to ¥36.49 (bull), base ¥24.19. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 57/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥43.05 ¥10.30 Fair Value ¥24.19 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.30 – ¥43.05 · fair‑value band ¥15.85 – ¥36.49 · the ¥27.42 price screens above the ¥24.19 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology Co (688093) currently trades at ¥27.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥24.19, implying the stock looks roughly 11.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology Co generated revenue of 1.1B CNY at a net margin of 37.1%. Revenue declined 6.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 311M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥15.85 (bear case) to ¥36.49 (bull case); at ¥27.42, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -12%, 688093 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥5.81 ¥9.46 ¥16.60 80
Residual Income ¥9.63 ¥12.06 ¥28.11 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.02 ¥10.55 ¥19.35 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥6.10 ¥8.73 ¥16.93 38
Owner Earnings ¥5.44 ¥10.56 ¥20.91 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥5.84 ¥9.38 ¥16.79 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥12.82 ¥23.49 ¥44.48 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥16.02 ¥37.54 ¥67.43 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥5.81 ¥11.63 ¥15.45 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥10.97 ¥26.33 ¥54.19 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥13.25 ¥33.04 ¥66.84 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥9.67 ¥67.47 ¥94.68 54
Lynch FV ¥27.97 ¥39.95 ¥51.94 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥27.97 ¥39.95 ¥51.94 46
EPV ¥14.28 ¥16.34 ¥18.11 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥4.80 ¥9.56 ¥14.48 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥4.80 ¥8.27 ¥10.10 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥18.14 ¥24.19 ¥30.23 63
P/S Multiple ¥4.36 ¥5.81 ¥7.27 58
P/B Multiple ¥18.14 ¥24.19 ¥30.23 55
EV/EBIT ¥18.70 ¥24.52 ¥30.34 53
EV/EBITDA ¥15.05 ¥19.65 ¥24.26 54
EV/Revenue ¥5.30 ¥7.04 ¥8.79 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.98 ¥6.67 ¥9.95 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥5.81 ¥9.46 ¥16.60 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥6.02 ¥10.55 ¥19.35 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥9.63 ¥12.06 ¥28.11 76
ROIC Compounder ¥18.06 ¥25.43 ¥30.60 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥32.39 ¥46.27 ¥60.15 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥46.27) versus Asset-Based (¥6.67). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.1B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.5%
Net margin 37.1%
Return on equity 16.2%
Free cash flow 85.9M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 18.6
More key figures
Operating margin 40.4%
EPS (TTM) ¥1.46
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -9.1%
Net cash 311M CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 88
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 61
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 51
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of functional materials in China.

Full company description

Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of functional materials in China. The company offers electronic composite functional materials, display module materials, and adhesives, as well as battery, wireless charge module, display, frame, camera/speaker, FPC, CPU, touch panel, keyboard, and display tape products. Its products are used in consumer electronics, wearable devices, electric vehicles, and medical electronics applications. Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Suzhou, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology Co reported revenue of ¥1.1B in FY2025 versus ¥425M in FY2021, a compound +26.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥399M in FY2025, compounding +21.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.1B CNY
Latest YoY
+36.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+33.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+27.0%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+21.2%
Revenue +26.4%/yr
FY21 ¥425M
FY22 ¥462M
FY23 ¥511M
FY24 ¥795M
FY25 ¥1.1B
Net income +21.3%/yr
FY21 ¥184M
FY22 ¥185M
FY23 ¥193M
FY24 ¥280M
FY25 ¥399M

688093 screens 12% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688093

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −12% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 11% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 40% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -7% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.73× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 7.12× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 13.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 14.6× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 18 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 65 · sector 23
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 50 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

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Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology Co (688093) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥24.19 versus a price of ¥27.42, about −12% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688093?
Our model-based fair value for Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology Co is ¥24.19 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥27.42.
What is the quality score of 688093?
Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology Co has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology Co (688093)?
Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688093?
The net profit margin of Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology Co is about 37.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 37.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology Co pay a dividend?
Suzhou Shihua New Material Technology Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.50% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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