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Donglai Coating Technology(Shanghai)Co.,Ltd (688129) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 3.0B CNY

DC Donglai Coating Technology(Shanghai)Co.,Ltd 688129 · SHG
Price¥21.56
Fair Value¥9.92
Upside-54.0%
Quality58/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.4% net margin
negative free cash flow
1.07% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Moderate moat 52/100
Evidence: High Range ¥6.56 – ¥13.29 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 30 days ago

Share price −4.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 54% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥13.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (¥6.56 to ¥13.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥32.55 ¥10.05 Fair Value ¥9.92 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥10.05 – ¥32.55 · fair‑value band ¥6.56 – ¥13.29 · the ¥21.56 price screens above the ¥9.92 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Donglai Coating Technology(Shanghai)Co.,Ltd (688129) currently trades at ¥21.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.92, implying the stock looks roughly 54.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Donglai Coating Technology(Shanghai)Co.,Ltd generated revenue of 665M CNY at a net margin of 15.4%. Revenue grew 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at 427M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥6.56 (bear case) to ¥13.29 (bull case); at ¥21.56, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at -54%, 688129 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥7.12 ¥7.90 ¥12.06 76
Gordon GGM ¥2.11 ¥4.20 ¥6.36 70
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.70 ¥12.43 ¥16.16 68
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥4.97 ¥7.71 ¥12.04 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥5.67 ¥22.38 ¥30.40 54
Lynch FV ¥5.53 ¥7.90 ¥10.27 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥5.53 ¥7.90 ¥10.27 46
EPV ¥8.37 ¥9.57 ¥10.60 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.11 ¥4.20 ¥6.36 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.11 ¥3.63 ¥4.43 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥10.63 ¥14.17 ¥17.71 63
P/S Multiple ¥6.19 ¥8.26 ¥10.32 58
P/B Multiple ¥10.63 ¥14.17 ¥17.71 55
EV/EBIT ¥10.87 ¥14.24 ¥17.60 53
EV/EBITDA ¥8.67 ¥11.30 ¥13.93 54
EV/Revenue ¥6.55 ¥9.03 ¥11.50 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.09 ¥5.49 ¥8.19 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥7.12 ¥7.90 ¥12.06 76
ROIC Compounder ¥8.44 ¥10.67 ¥13.74 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥8.70 ¥12.43 ¥16.16 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥12.43) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.63). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 665M CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.6%
Net margin 15.4%
Return on equity 10.7%
Free cash flow −16.0M CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 27.6
More key figures
Operating margin 16.0%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.9100
Dividend yield 1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +5.3%
Net debt 427M CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Donglai Coating Technology(Shanghai)Co.,Ltd provides coating solutions in China and internationally. It offers car refinish, fluorocarbon protective, interior and exterior parts, and 3C advanced paints under the onwings, onwaves, and Fixs brand. The company was founded in 1999 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Donglai Coating Technology(Shanghai)Co.,Ltd reported revenue of ¥663M in FY2025 versus ¥494M in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥100M in FY2025, compounding +1.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 54/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
663M CNY
Latest YoY
+11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.2%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.4%
Revenue +7.7%/yr
FY21 ¥494M
FY22 ¥394M
FY23 ¥519M
FY24 ¥598M
FY25 ¥663M
Net income +1.7%/yr
FY21 ¥93.9M
FY22 ¥21.5M
FY23 ¥51.7M
FY24 ¥84.7M
FY25 ¥100M

688129 screens 54% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Donglai Coating Technology(Shanghai)Co.,Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688129

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 673 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −54% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 27.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.07× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.55× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 29.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 8 · sector 19
PAST 43 · sector 23
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 21 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Donglai Coating Technology(Shanghai)Co.,Ltd (688129) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥9.92 versus a price of ¥21.56, about −54% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688129?
Our model-based fair value for Donglai Coating Technology(Shanghai)Co.,Ltd is ¥9.92 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥21.56.
What is the quality score of 688129?
Donglai Coating Technology(Shanghai)Co.,Ltd has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Donglai Coating Technology(Shanghai)Co.,Ltd (688129)?
Donglai Coating Technology(Shanghai)Co.,Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 665M CNY (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 688129?
The net profit margin of Donglai Coating Technology(Shanghai)Co.,Ltd is about 15.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Donglai Coating Technology(Shanghai)Co.,Ltd pay a dividend?
Donglai Coating Technology(Shanghai)Co.,Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.07% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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