Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Group (688237) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 5.4B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 11, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 11, 2026, revised from ¥4.46 to ¥30.08 (+574.4%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price +10.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 49% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥39.05). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (¥21.04 to ¥39.05) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.
How to read this chart
49‑month range ¥15.14 – ¥74.52 · fair‑value band ¥21.04 – ¥39.05 · the ¥58.88 price screens above the ¥30.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 11, 2026.
Analysis
Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Group (688237) currently trades at ¥58.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥30.08, implying the stock looks roughly 48.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Group generated revenue of 413M CNY at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue grew 30.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. Fundamentals as of Aug 11, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥21.04 (bear case) to ¥39.05 (bull case); at ¥58.88, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 134% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -49%, 688237 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥9.04) versus Economic Profit (¥2.28). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 11, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Group Co. Ltd. provides cold spray additive manufacturing technology for the aircraft maintenance and remanufacturing industry in China and internationally.
Full company description
Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Group Co. Ltd. provides cold spray additive manufacturing technology for the aircraft maintenance and remanufacturing industry in China and internationally. It is involved in the additive manufacturing and maintenance of airborne equipment; maintenance of military and civil aircraft pneumatic accessories, and hydraulic accessories; repair business of fuel and electrical accessories; sale of civil aviation materials, mechanical parts, components, special packaging equipment, special equipment for pulping and papermaking, machinery and equipment, non-ferrous metal alloys, and 3D printing materials; and parts processing activities. The company also manufactures and sells paints, general and special equipment, non-ferrous metal alloys, additive manufacturing equipment, and high-speed rail equipment and accessories; and special equipment for pulping, papermaking, packaging, and printing. In addition, it provides technical, technology development, technical consultation, technology exchange, technology transfer, technology promotion, metal cutting processing, spraying processing, metal surface treatment and heat treatment processing, precious metal smelting, special equipment rental, and 3D printing services; and engages in the research and development of mechanical equipment, metal products, and new material technology. The company serves military and related subordinate aircraft overhaul factories; and subordinate units of the military industry group, as well as civil aviation operating enterprises. The company was formerly known as Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Xiangyang, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Group reported revenue of ¥389M in FY2025 versus ¥141M in FY2021, a compound +28.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥12.7M in FY2025, compounding −35.0%/yr from FY2021.
688237 screens 49% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →
Peer Group
Aerospace & Defense · 229 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 11, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $381.22 | $116.71 | -69% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $195.93 | $88.37 | -55% |
| Airbus SE 1AIR | €213.25 | €86.20 | -60% |
| The Boeing Company BA | $217.11 | $48.20 | -78% |
| China CSSC Holdings 600150 | ¥34.31 | ¥21.90 | -36% |
| HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 | 466,000 KRW | 272,966 KRW | -41% |
| Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 | 967,000 KRW | 573,468 KRW | -41% |
| ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS | 337.50 TRY | 130.70 TRY | -61% |
| Saab AB SAABB | kr 520.40 | kr 212.84 | -59% |
| Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG | kr 277.50 | kr 106.93 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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