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Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A ¥29.90, price ¥59.00, upside -49.3%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE100005QD4

HC Some data Sep 27, 2026

Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A

688237 · SHG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥29.90 · Strongly overvalued (−49.3%)
!Quality 44/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +26.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.5% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!0.6% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns
!Trails peers (1/11)
!Narrow moat 17/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 5 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 12 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥74.52 ¥15.14 Fair Value ¥29.90 Jul 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

51‑month range ¥15.14 – ¥74.52 · fair‑value band ¥20.92 – ¥38.81 · the ¥59.00 price screens above the ¥29.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Group Co. Ltd. provides cold spray additive manufacturing technology for the aircraft maintenance and remanufacturing industry in China and internationally.

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Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Group Co. Ltd. provides cold spray additive manufacturing technology for the aircraft maintenance and remanufacturing industry in China and internationally. It is involved in the additive manufacturing and maintenance of airborne equipment; maintenance of military and civil aircraft pneumatic accessories, and hydraulic accessories; repair business of fuel and electrical accessories; sale of civil aviation materials, mechanical parts, components, special packaging equipment, special equipment for pulping and papermaking, machinery and equipment, non-ferrous metal alloys, and 3D printing materials; and parts processing activities. The company also manufactures and sells paints, general and special equipment, non-ferrous metal alloys, additive manufacturing equipment, and high-speed rail equipment and accessories; and special equipment for pulping, papermaking, packaging, and printing. In addition, it provides technical, technology development, technical consultation, technology exchange, technology transfer, technology promotion, metal cutting processing, spraying processing, metal surface treatment and heat treatment processing, precious metal smelting, special equipment rental, and 3D printing services; and engages in the research and development of mechanical equipment, metal products, and new material technology. The company serves military and related subordinate aircraft overhaul factories; and subordinate units of the military industry group, as well as civil aviation operating enterprises. The company was formerly known as Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Xiangyang, China.

Stock analysis

Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237) currently trades at ¥59.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥29.90, implying the stock looks roughly 97.3% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥9.04 per share, and 0 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥59.00 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥3.45, and 17 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ¥20.92 (bear) to ¥38.81 (bull), the price of ¥59.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 389M CNY in FY2025 versus 141M CNY in FY2021, a compound +28.8%/yr. Reported net income was 12.7M CNY in FY2025, compounding −35.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 5.3B CNY (≈ $788M) · P/E ratio 368.8 · P/S ratio 12.0 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.1600 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 3.3% · Return on equity 1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −49%, 688237 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥20.92 Fair Value ¥29.90 Bull ¥38.81
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥8.74 ¥8.11 ¥7.71 76
Owner Earnings ¥2.23 ¥3.84 ¥6.83 71
ROIC Compounder ¥1.91 ¥2.07 ¥2.21 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ¥2.23 ¥3.84 ¥6.83 71
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥0.9600 ¥6.70 ¥9.40 63
Lynch FV ¥2.41 ¥3.45 ¥4.48 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥2.41 ¥3.45 ¥4.48 57
EPV ¥1.91 ¥2.07 ¥2.21 68
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥2.68 ¥4.83 ¥6.65 68
DDM Multi-Stage ¥2.68 ¥4.41 ¥5.16 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥2.22 ¥2.97 ¥3.71 63
P/S Multiple ¥1.80 ¥2.40 ¥3.00 58
P/B Multiple ¥1.80 ¥2.40 ¥3.00 55
EV/EBIT ¥3.12 ¥3.91 ¥4.71 63
EV/EBITDA ¥6.16 ¥7.97 ¥9.78 64
EV/Revenue ¥2.43 ¥3.16 ¥3.89 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.74 ¥9.04 ¥13.49 51
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥8.74 ¥8.11 ¥7.71 76
ROIC Compounder ¥1.91 ¥2.07 ¥2.21 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥3.12 ¥4.46 ¥5.79 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 58
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 54
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 52/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−28.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−29.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.57% → 4%

688237 screens 97% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aerospace & Defense · 224 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 44 · Below median
Fair Value upside −49.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1.2% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 30.9% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 368.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B 4.37× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 12.81× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 47
PAST (return on equity)5 · sector 38
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 93
DIVIDEND (yield)12 · sector 17

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $327.09 $92.61 −72%
RTX Corporation RTX $189.40 $88.37 −53%
Airbus SE AIR €192.40 €112.14 −42%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $519.56 $439.62 −15%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $232.48 $52.67 −77%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $336.72 $274.19 −19%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $510.52 $382.98 −25%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,116 $1,228 +10%
Thales S.A HO €229.40 €170.99 −25%
Rheinmetall AG RHM €982.40 €313.19 −68%

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Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A · Fair Value
¥29.90 −97%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688237

Frequently asked questions

Is Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥29.90 versus a price of ¥59.00, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688237?
Our model-based fair value for Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A is ¥29.90 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥59.00.
What is the quality score of 688237?
Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥29.90 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥20.92, optimistic scenario ¥38.81. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥29.90, about −49% upside versus a price of ¥59.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥20.92, optimistic scenario ¥38.81. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237)?
Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 413M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.58% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A it is ¥29.90 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ¥59.00. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 688237 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥59.00, fair value ¥29.90, a gap of about −49% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688237?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥59.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥29.90). For Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥29.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A at about 5.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ¥59.00; our models calculate a fair value of ¥29.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688237?
Our models span a range for Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥20.92, base ¥29.90, optimistic ¥38.81 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ¥59.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688237?
Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 368.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥29.90 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.4, P/S 12.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237)?
Balance-sheet figures for Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 1.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688237 from its 52-week high?
Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥59.00, about 17% below its 52-week high of ¥71.20 and 29% above the low of ¥45.70 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥29.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ¥59.00, calculated fair value ¥29.90 (−49%), Quality Score 44/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688237 calculated?
We run Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥29.90, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥59.00. Our model-based fair value is ¥29.90, about −49% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥38.81). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (¥20.92 to ¥38.81) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A

How large is the market capitalisation of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237)?
The market capitalisation of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A is 5.3B CNY (≈ $788M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A is 12.0 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237)?
Earnings per share at Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A are ¥0.1600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 368.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237)?
The dividend yield of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A is 0.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237)?
The net margin of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A is 3.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A is 1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A is 4.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237)?
The operating margin of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237)?
Revenue at Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A is growing +30.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +40.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237)?
Earnings per share at Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A are growing +100% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A (688237) generate?
The free cash flow of Hubei Chaozhuo Aviation Technology Co. Ltd. A is −78.5M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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