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Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co (688239) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 10.6B CNY

Price¥58.49
Fair Value¥16.58
Upside-71.7%
Quality94/100
Evidence: High Range ¥12.43 – ¥21.42

Analysis

Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co (688239) currently trades at ¥58.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.58 — implying the stock looks roughly 71.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd researches, develops, manufactures, and sells ring forgings in China. The company offers aerospace engine ring forgings. Its products used in aerospace rocket engines, missiles, ship-borne gas turbines, industrial gas turbines, energy, and other high-end equipment fields. Guizhou Aviation Technical Development Co., Ltd was founded in 2006 and is based in Guiyang, China.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.