74Software (74SW) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of 74Software €35.72, price €38.20, upside -6.5%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €15.04 – €44.20 · fair‑value band €23.08 – €44.64 · the €38.20 price screens above the €35.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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74Software operates as a software company in France.
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74Software operates as a software company in France. The company offers amplify platform that publish, validate, and govern APIs across multiple clouds, on-premises data centers, and gateway vendors; B2B integration, a structured and automated data exchange between organizations, enabling efficient, compliant and traceable business and supply chain processes; managed file transfer that secure critical file transfers under the axway brand name; application programming interface management, which provides applications to communicate and exchange services and data; Integration Platform as a Service, a cloud-based integration solutions, as well as financial accounting hub for integration, transformation and control of financial data under the axway brand name. It also provides specialty products that offers visibility, intelligence, and security across the digital ecosystem. In addition, the company offers banking and financing platform under SBS brand name. The company serves financial services, manufacturing, retail, public sector, transport and logistic, and healthcare sectors. 74Software was formerly known as Axway Software SA and changed its name to 74Software in December 2024. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.
Stock analysis
74Software (74SW) currently trades at €38.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €35.72, implying the stock looks roughly 7.0% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €42.14 per share, and 13 of the 23 models we run sit above the €38.20 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €12.75, and 10 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: €23.08 (bear) to €44.64 (bull), the price of €38.20 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
74Software reported revenue of €707M in FY2025 versus €286M in FY2021, a compound +25.4%/yr. Reported net income was €40.8M in FY2025, compounding +43.6%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap €1.1B · P/E ratio 28.1 · P/S ratio 1.62 · EPS (TTM) €1.36 · Net margin 5.8% · Return on equity 7.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% · Operating margin 15.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −7%, 74SW screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €23.08Fair Value €35.72Bull €44.64
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.9948 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+53.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.5% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+29.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+29.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.30% vs 0%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 12%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +5.2% a year for the price and +1.3% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 710 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth16% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.41× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)28.1× · Pricier than median
P/B2.31× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "74Software Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/74SW
Frequently asked questions
Is 74Software (74SW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €35.72 versus a price of €38.20, about −7% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 74SW?
Our model-based fair value for 74Software is €35.72 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €38.20.
What is the quality score of 74SW?
74Software has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for 74Software (74SW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €35.72 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario €23.08, optimistic scenario €44.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the 74Software stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €35.72, about −7% upside versus a price of €38.20 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario €23.08, optimistic scenario €44.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of 74Software (74SW)?
74Software reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €707M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into 74Software (74SW)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, 74Software would have to grow free cash flow by +7.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 74SW use?
Our models discount 74Software at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.66, country premium for France. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For 74Software that is +7.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has 74Software (74SW) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at 74Software grew +18.9 % a year. The price currently implies +7.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of 74Software (74SW) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into 74Software (+7.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of 74Software (74SW)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.50 %: that much free cash flow 74Software produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of 74Software (74SW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For 74Software it is €35.72 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €38.20. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is 74Software stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 74SW trades above its calculated fair value: price €38.20, fair value €35.72, a gap of about −7% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 74SW?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€38.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€35.72). For 74Software the two are €2.48 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is 74Software worth?
The market values 74Software at about €1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €38.20; our models calculate a fair value of €35.72 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 74SW?
Our models span a range for 74Software: cautious scenario €23.08, base €35.72, optimistic €44.64 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €38.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 74SW?
74Software trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 28.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €35.72 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 13.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of 74Software (74SW)?
Balance-sheet figures for 74Software (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 7.5%, debt of 0.41 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 74SW from its 52-week high?
74Software trades at €38.20, about 8% below its 52-week high of €41.50 and 41% above the low of €27.00 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €35.72 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to 74Software?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is 74Software stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €38.20, calculated fair value €35.72 (−7%), Quality Score 37/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 74SW calculated?
We run 74Software through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €35.72, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. 74Software itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of 74Software (74SW)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was €38.20. Our model-based fair value is €35.72, about −7% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with 74Software right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (€23.08 to €44.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of 74Software (74SW) come from?
Earnings per share at 74Software grew +1.3 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.3 %, EBIT margin +1.8 %, tax rate −1.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of 74Software
How large is the market capitalisation of 74Software (74SW)?
The market capitalisation of 74Software is €1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of 74Software (74SW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of 74Software is 1.62 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of 74Software (74SW)?
Earnings per share at 74Software are €1.36 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 28.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of 74Software (74SW)?
The net margin of 74Software is 5.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of 74Software (74SW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of 74Software is 7.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of 74Software (74SW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of 74Software is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of 74Software (74SW)?
The operating margin of 74Software is 15.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at 74Software (74SW)?
Revenue at 74Software is growing +16.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +31.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at 74Software (74SW)?
Earnings per share at 74Software are growing −17.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does 74Software (74SW) carry?
The net debt of 74Software is €193M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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