ITI International Transportation Inc (7716) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of ITI International Transportation Inc TWD 29.47, price TWD 24.00, upside +22.8%, quality 69 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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ITI International Transportation Inc. provides shipping, air transportation, and inland transportation and logistics services. It also offers door to door/integrated, and cross trade/entrepot trade transportation services; and GDP transport, cold chain logistics, and chemical warehousing services.
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ITI International Transportation Inc. provides shipping, air transportation, and inland transportation and logistics services. It also offers door to door/integrated, and cross trade/entrepot trade transportation services; and GDP transport, cold chain logistics, and chemical warehousing services. The company was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
ITI International Transportation Inc (7716) currently trades at 24.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 29.47 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 18.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 47.20 TWD per share, and 16 of the 23 models we run sit above the 24.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 10.92 TWD, and 7 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 21.61 TWD (bear) to 38.50 TWD (bull), the price of 24.00 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
ITI International Transportation Inc reported revenue of 2.0B TWD in FY2024 versus 1.5B TWD in FY2020, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was 52.9M TWD in FY2024, compounding +3.8%/yr from FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap 557M TWD (≈ $17.5M) · P/E ratio 10.8 · P/S ratio 0.28 · EPS (TTM) 2.23 TWD · Net margin 2.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.6% · Free cash flow 5.9M TWD · Net cash 165M TWD.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at 23%, 7716 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 21.61 TWDFair Value 29.47 TWDBull 38.50 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (2.23 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.24/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+40.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−14.4%
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+2.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 3%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+25.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +23.8% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ITI International Transportation Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/7716
Frequently asked questions
Is ITI International Transportation Inc (7716) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 29.47 TWD versus a price of 24.00 TWD, about +23% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 7716?
Our model-based fair value for ITI International Transportation Inc is 29.47 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 24.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 7716?
ITI International Transportation Inc has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for ITI International Transportation Inc (7716)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 29.47 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 21.61 TWD, optimistic scenario 38.50 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the ITI International Transportation Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 29.47 TWD, about +23% upside versus a price of 24.00 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 21.61 TWD, optimistic scenario 38.50 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into ITI International Transportation Inc (7716)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, ITI International Transportation Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +25.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +7.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 7716 use?
Our models discount ITI International Transportation Inc at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For ITI International Transportation Inc that is +25.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has ITI International Transportation Inc (7716) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at ITI International Transportation Inc grew +7.1 % a year. The price currently implies +25.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of ITI International Transportation Inc (7716) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into ITI International Transportation Inc (+25.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of ITI International Transportation Inc (7716)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.29 %: that much free cash flow ITI International Transportation Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of ITI International Transportation Inc (7716)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For ITI International Transportation Inc it is 29.47 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 24.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is ITI International Transportation Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 7716 trades below its calculated fair value: price 24.00 TWD, fair value 29.47 TWD, a gap of about +23% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 7716?
No. The price is what the market pays today (24.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (29.47 TWD). For ITI International Transportation Inc the two are 5.47 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is ITI International Transportation Inc worth?
The market values ITI International Transportation Inc at about 557M TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 24.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 29.47 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 7716?
Our models span a range for ITI International Transportation Inc: cautious scenario 21.61 TWD, base 29.47 TWD, optimistic 38.50 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 24.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 7716?
ITI International Transportation Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 29.47 TWD is built from several models across several years.
How far is 7716 from its 52-week high?
ITI International Transportation Inc trades at 24.00 TWD, about 22% below its 52-week high of 30.83 TWD and 5% above the low of 22.80 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 29.47 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to ITI International Transportation Inc?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is ITI International Transportation Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 24.00 TWD, calculated fair value 29.47 TWD (+23%), Quality Score 69/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 7716 calculated?
We run ITI International Transportation Inc through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 29.47 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. ITI International Transportation Inc currently trades 23 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of ITI International Transportation Inc (7716)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 24.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 29.47 TWD, about +23% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with ITI International Transportation Inc right now?
Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of ITI International Transportation Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of ITI International Transportation Inc (7716)?
The market capitalisation of ITI International Transportation Inc is 557M TWD (≈ $17.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of ITI International Transportation Inc (7716)?
The price-to-sales ratio of ITI International Transportation Inc is 0.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of ITI International Transportation Inc (7716)?
Earnings per share at ITI International Transportation Inc are 2.23 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of ITI International Transportation Inc (7716)?
The net margin of ITI International Transportation Inc is 2.6% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of ITI International Transportation Inc (7716)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of ITI International Transportation Inc is 14.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much net cash does ITI International Transportation Inc (7716) hold?
ITI International Transportation Inc holds more cash than debt, 165M TWD net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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