Janco Holdings Ltd (8035) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$31.8M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$0.0872 to HK$0.0980 (+12.4%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +18.9% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 56% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.0770). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0420 – HK$0.3000 · fair‑value band HK$0.0770 – HK$0.1120 · the HK$0.0630 price screens below the HK$0.0980 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Janco Holdings Ltd (8035) currently trades at HK$0.0630, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0980, implying the stock looks roughly 55.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Janco Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$211M at a net margin of -11.8%. Revenue declined 12.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -81.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$3.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0770 (bear case) to HK$0.1120 (bull case); at HK$0.0630, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at 56%, 8035 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$0.3000) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Janco Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a freight forwarder in Hong Kong. The company operates through the Freight Forwarding, Logistics and Warehousing, and e-Commerce segments.
Full company description
Janco Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, operates as a freight forwarder in Hong Kong. The company operates through the Freight Forwarding, Logistics and Warehousing, and e-Commerce segments. It offers freight forwarding services, such as air freight, ocean freight, road freight, air-sea worldwide multimodal, and air charter; and contract logistics services, including ambient warehousing, temperature-controlled warehousing, cold chain, warehousing, local distribution, distribution and delivery, and pharmaceutical and healthcare. The company also provides express services comprising corporate and SMEs express, e-commerce express, parcel consolidation, regional express, e-commerce fulfillment, and order fulfillment services; and cross border e-commerce logistics solutions consisting of order fulfillment services, parcel delivery, and drop shipping. In addition, it offers warehousing and other ancillary logistics services; trading of consumables through an online platform. Janco Holdings Limited was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Tsuen Wan, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Janco Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$211M in FY2025 versus HK$569M in FY2021, a compound −21.9%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$25.0M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $103.91 | $103.34 | -1% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $326.77 | $347.68 | +6% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €55.32 | €53.18 | -4% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,380 | kr 712.57 | -48% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $275.96 | $133.80 | -52% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥32.96 | ¥48.64 | +48% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$178.20 | HK$224.41 | +26% |
| Hyundai Glovis Co 086280 | 199,700 KRW | 468,982 KRW | +135% |
| YTO Express Group 600233 | ¥18.48 | ¥26.51 | +43% |
| JD Logistics, Inc 2618 | HK$14.17 | HK$21.45 | +51% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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