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8146 (8146) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · Market cap HK$337M

8 8146 8146 · HK
PriceHK$0.4150
Fair ValueHK$0.1100
Upside-73.5%
Quality58/100
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Evidence: Low Range HK$0.0900 – HK$0.1300

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated today

Share price −25.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$0.9700 HK$0.1030 Fair Value HK$0.1100 Jun 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.1030 – HK$0.9700 · fair‑value band HK$0.0900 – HK$0.1300 · the HK$0.4150 price screens above the HK$0.1100 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

8146 (8146) currently trades at HK$0.4150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1100 — implying the stock looks roughly 73.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, 8146 generated revenue of HK$34.9M at a net margin of -6.2%. Revenue declined 10.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$18.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$34.9M
Revenue growth (YoY) -10.4%
Net margin -6.2%
Return on equity -1.6%
Free cash flow −HK$20.8M FY2025
Operating margin 3.0%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +278%
Net cash HK$18.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

8146 reported revenue of HK$34.0M in FY2025 versus HK$84.7M in FY2021, a compound −20.4%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$4.5M in FY2025.

Revenue −20.4%/yr
FY21 HK$84.7M
FY22 HK$62.1M
FY23 HK$65.0M
FY24 HK$34.6M
FY25 HK$34.0M
Net income
FY21 HK$7.7M
FY22 −HK$598K
FY23 HK$10.2M
FY24 −HK$41.0M
FY25 −HK$4.5M

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6 more Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

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Diageo plc DEO $79.59 $57.90 -27%
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Frequently asked questions

Is 8146 (8146) undervalued?
As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1100 versus a price of HK$0.4150 — about −73% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 8146?
Our model-based fair value for 8146 is HK$0.1100 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.4150.
What is the quality score of 8146?
8146 has a Quality Score of 58/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of 8146 (8146)?
8146 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$34.9M (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8146?
The net profit margin of 8146 is about -6.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.