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CWG Holdings (9423) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · MY · Market cap 43.2M MYR

CH CWG Holdings 9423 · KLSE
Price0.1400 MYR
Fair Value0.2685 MYR
Upside+91.8%
Quality51/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.13% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/13)
Narrow moat 36/100
Evidence: High Range 0.2031 MYR – 0.3340 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −6.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 92% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.2031 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

0.4600 MYR 0.1400 MYR Fair Value 0.2685 MYR Jan 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.1400 MYR – 0.4600 MYR · fair‑value band 0.2031 MYR – 0.3340 MYR · the 0.1400 MYR price screens below the 0.2685 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

CWG Holdings (9423) currently trades at 0.1400 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2685 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 91.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, CWG Holdings generated revenue of 136M MYR at a net margin of 5.7%. Revenue declined 33.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.8%. Net debt stands at 12.2M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.2031 MYR (bear case) to 0.3340 MYR (bull case); at 0.1400 MYR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 92%, 9423 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.2100 MYR 0.2600 MYR 0.3200 MYR 80
Residual Income 0.3300 MYR 0.3200 MYR 0.2700 MYR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.3000 MYR 0.4600 MYR 0.6400 MYR 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.2000 MYR 0.2700 MYR 0.3400 MYR 38
Owner Earnings 0.3100 MYR 0.4000 MYR 0.5200 MYR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.3000 MYR 0.4600 MYR 0.6600 MYR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.3100 MYR 0.4800 MYR 0.6800 MYR 41
5Y P/E Exit 0.2600 MYR 0.3900 MYR 0.5200 MYR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.2400 MYR 0.3700 MYR 0.5300 MYR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.2600 MYR 0.3800 MYR 0.5400 MYR 37
10Y P/E Exit 0.2300 MYR 0.3300 MYR 0.4400 MYR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.1600 MYR 0.4500 MYR 0.5900 MYR 54
Lynch FV 0.0900 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.1700 MYR 50
PEG = 1.0 0.0900 MYR 0.1300 MYR 0.1700 MYR 46
EPV 0.2600 MYR 0.2900 MYR 0.3100 MYR 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.3100 MYR 0.4100 MYR 0.5100 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 0.3100 MYR 0.4100 MYR 0.5100 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 0.3100 MYR 0.4100 MYR 0.5100 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 0.4400 MYR 0.5800 MYR 0.7200 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 0.4400 MYR 0.5800 MYR 0.7200 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 0.3900 MYR 0.5400 MYR 0.7000 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2400 MYR 0.3200 MYR 0.4800 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.2100 MYR 0.2600 MYR 0.3200 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.3000 MYR 0.4600 MYR 0.6400 MYR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.3300 MYR 0.3200 MYR 0.2700 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 0.2600 MYR 0.2900 MYR 0.3100 MYR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.2500 MYR 0.3600 MYR 0.4600 MYR 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (0.4100 MYR) versus Earnings-Based (0.1300 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 136M MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) -33.7%
Net margin 5.7%
Return on equity 5.8%
Free cash flow 5.6M MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 5.7
More key figures
Operating margin 1.2%
EPS (TTM) 0.0300 MYR
Dividend yield 3.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +41.0%
Net debt 12.2M MYR FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 94
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

CWG Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of paper-based stationery and printing materials in Malaysia, Africa, the United States, Europe, Oceania, and rest of Asia. The company operates in three segments, Manufacture and Sale of Stationery and Printing Materials; Investment Holding; and Property Development.

Full company description

CWG Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and sale of paper-based stationery and printing materials in Malaysia, Africa, the United States, Europe, Oceania, and rest of Asia. The company operates in three segments, Manufacture and Sale of Stationery and Printing Materials; Investment Holding; and Property Development. The company supplies and distributes non-paper based stationery, gift paper, and pre-school educational materials. It also engages in the property development; and real estate activities with own or leased property and other specialised construction activities. In addition, it provides printing and other related services. The company supplies its products to hypermarket chains, bookstores, specialty stores, supermarkets, wholesalers, retailers, and multinational corporations. It also exports its products to approximately 58 countries. The company was formerly known as CWC Holdings Berhad and changed its name to CWG Holdings Berhad in January 2017. CWG Holdings Berhad was founded in 1959 and is based in Butterworth, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CWG Holdings reported revenue of 109M MYR in FY2025 versus 59.9M MYR in FY2021, a compound +16.0%/yr. Reported net income was 6.3M MYR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 64/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
109M MYR
Latest YoY
+67.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.0%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.2%
Revenue +16.0%/yr
FY21 59.9M MYR
FY22 68.7M MYR
FY23 92.6M MYR
FY24 65.0M MYR
FY25 109M MYR
Net income
FY21 −1.5M MYR
FY22 1.7M MYR
FY23 6.0M MYR
FY24 −1.8M MYR
FY25 6.3M MYR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CWG Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9423

Peer Group

Paper & Paper Products · 111 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside +92% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth -34% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Paper & Paper Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.08× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.08× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.9× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 20
FUTURE 0 · sector 9
PAST 23 · sector 12
HEALTH 93 · sector 91
DIVIDEND 63 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Klabin S.A KLBN11 R$17.58 R$3.89 -78%
UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM €23.45 €15.47 -34%
Suzano S.A SUZB3 R$41.70 R$138.01 +231%
Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAB kr 103.00 kr 49.40 -52%
Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 ¥14.13 ¥17.29 +22%
Holmen AB HOLMB kr 305.40 kr 217.72 -29%
Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 HK$7.55 HK$8.73 +16%
Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC 1,078 CLP 1,269 CLP +18%
Xianhe Co 603733 ¥22.05 ¥24.32 +10%
Billerud AB BILL kr 68.70 kr 48.60 -29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CWG Holdings (9423) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.2685 MYR versus a price of 0.1400 MYR, about +92% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9423?
Our model-based fair value for CWG Holdings is 0.2685 MYR (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.1400 MYR.
What is the quality score of 9423?
CWG Holdings has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of CWG Holdings (9423)?
CWG Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 136M MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9423?
The net profit margin of CWG Holdings is about 5.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does CWG Holdings pay a dividend?
CWG Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.23% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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