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Crédit Agricole S.A (ACA) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · FR · Market cap €54.2B

CA Crédit Agricole S.A ACA · PA
Price€18.61
Fair Value€30.40
Upside+63.4%
Quality63/100
Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 26.8% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
6.36% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Wide moat 65/100
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Evidence: High Range €22.80 – €37.99 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price +6.2% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€22.80). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

€18.61 €14.41 Fair Value €30.40 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range €14.41 – €18.61 · fair‑value band €22.80 – €37.99 · the €18.61 price screens below the €30.40 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Crédit Agricole S.A (ACA) currently trades at €18.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €30.40, implying the stock looks roughly 63.4% undervalued today. We read business quality at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Crédit Agricole S.A generated revenue of €26.5B at a net margin of 26.8%. Revenue declined 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. Net debt stands at €352B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €22.80 (bear case) to €37.99 (bull case); at €18.61, the current price sits below that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 30% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at 63%, ACA screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €26.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.1%
Net margin 26.8%
Return on equity 9.3%
Free cash flow €17.9B FY2025
P/E ratio 7.8
More key figures
Operating margin 38.4%
EPS (TTM) €2.13
Dividend yield 6.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -8.4%
Net debt €352B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100
Profitability 21
Quality Growth 58
Cashflow 83
Fin. Strength 24
Investment 91
Low Volatility 81
Momentum 59
52W Momentum 79
Net Issuance 78

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Crédit Agricole S.A. provides retail and corporate banking, insurance, and investment banking products and services in France, Italy, rest of the European Union, rest of Europe, North America, Central and South America, Africa, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and Japan.

Full company description

Crédit Agricole S.A. provides retail and corporate banking, insurance, and investment banking products and services in France, Italy, rest of the European Union, rest of Europe, North America, Central and South America, Africa, the Middle East, the Asia Pacific, and Japan. It operates in five segments: Asset Gathering, Large Customers, Specialized Financial Services, French Retail Banking " LCL, and International Retail Banking. The company offers savings/retirement, death and disability/creditor/group, and property and casualty insurance products; asset management; investment solutions; banking products and services, savings, wealth management, payment, cash flow management, and online banking services; personal finance and mobility; and specialized financial services. It also provides investment banking, structured finance, international trade finance, commercial banking, capital market, and syndication services; leasing, factoring, and energy and territorial financing; and asset servicing solutions for investment products, as well as various asset classes, such as execution, clearing, forex, security lending, custody, depositary banking, fund administration, middle-office outsourcing, fund distribution, and issuer services. In addition, the company offers property services, including transactions, rental, rental management, condominium trustee, and renovation under the Square Habitat brand; property development and management; and low-carbon electricity production. The company serves individuals, SMEs, small businesses, corporates, farmers, financial institutions, local authorities, asset managers, insurance companies, institutional investors, pension and unlisted funds, banks, and brokers. Crédit Agricole S.A. was founded in 1894 and is headquartered in Montrouge, France. Crédit Agricole S.A. operates as a subsidiary of SAS Rue La Boetie.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Crédit Agricole S.A reported revenue of €112B in FY2025 versus €63.2B in FY2021, a compound +15.5%/yr. Reported net income was €7.1B in FY2025, compounding +4.9%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +15.5%/yr
FY21 €63.2B
FY22 €45.6B
FY23 €97.7B
FY24 €105B
FY25 €112B
Net income +4.9%/yr
FY21 €5.8B
FY22 €5.3B
FY23 €6.3B
FY24 €7.1B
FY25 €7.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Crédit Agricole S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACA.PA

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 / 39
FUTURE 0 / 43
PAST 37 / 40
HEALTH 0 / 84
DIVIDEND 100 / 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
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Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 61,300 VND 80,599 VND +31%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Crédit Agricole S.A (ACA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €30.40 versus a price of €18.61, about +63% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of ACA?
Our model-based fair value for Crédit Agricole S.A is €30.40 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €18.61.
What is the quality score of ACA?
Crédit Agricole S.A has a Quality Score of 63/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Crédit Agricole S.A (ACA)?
Crédit Agricole S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €26.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ACA?
The net profit margin of Crédit Agricole S.A is about 26.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 26.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Crédit Agricole S.A pay a dividend?
Crédit Agricole S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.90% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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