Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Adval Tech Holding AG CHF 127, price CHF 42.40, upside +200.0%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 31.80 – CHF 224.96 · fair‑value band CHF 93.82 – CHF 176.22 · the CHF 42.40 price screens below the CHF 127.20 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Adval Tech Holding AG manufactures and markets metal and plastic productsa and components for automotive, medtech, consumer goods, presses, and tools markets in Switzerland.
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Adval Tech Holding AG manufactures and markets metal and plastic productsa and components for automotive, medtech, consumer goods, presses, and tools markets in Switzerland. The company offers lenseholder, air and water separation, air flow systems, roof rack systems, steering systems, braking systems, fuel injector valve sleeves, sealing plugs, and decor and trim parts for automotive applications. It also provides diagnostics, medical/surgery, instruments, pharmaceutical, health care, and other products for the medtech industry; and handheld and desktop oscilloscope, and digital microscope. The company was formerly known as Styner+Bienz AG and changed its name to Adval Tech Holding AG in 1997. Adval Tech Holding AG was founded in 1924 and is based in Niederwangen, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN) currently trades at CHF 42.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 127.20, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of CHF 147.33 per share, and 7 of the 7 models we run sit above the CHF 42.40 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at CHF 91.06, and 0 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: CHF 93.82 (bear) to CHF 176.22 (bull), the price of CHF 42.40 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Adval Tech Holding AG reported revenue of CHF 156M in FY2025 versus CHF 167M in FY2021, a compound −1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −CHF 6.9M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap CHF 31.0M · P/S ratio 0.20 · EPS (TTM) CHF −9.50 · Net margin −4.4% · Return on equity −6.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.0% · Operating margin −0.8% · Revenue (TTM) CHF 157M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 200%, ADVN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear CHF 93.82Fair Value CHF 127.20Bull CHF 176.22
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.30/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.3% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.0% (2020) → −5.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−28.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −28.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 263 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside+200% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Adval Tech Holding AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ADVN
Frequently asked questions
Is Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 127.20 versus a price of CHF 42.40, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ADVN?
Our model-based fair value for Adval Tech Holding AG is CHF 127.20 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: CHF 42.40.
What is the quality score of ADVN?
Adval Tech Holding AG has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of CHF 127.20 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario CHF 93.82, optimistic scenario CHF 176.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Adval Tech Holding AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at CHF 127.20, about +200% upside versus a price of CHF 42.40 (undervalued). Cautious scenario CHF 93.82, optimistic scenario CHF 176.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN)?
Adval Tech Holding AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 157M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Adval Tech Holding AG would have to grow free cash flow by -28.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +2.9 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ADVN use?
Our models discount Adval Tech Holding AG at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Switzerland. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Adval Tech Holding AG that is -28.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Adval Tech Holding AG grew +2.9 % a year. The price currently implies -28.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Adval Tech Holding AG (-28.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 23.08 %: that much free cash flow Adval Tech Holding AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Adval Tech Holding AG it is CHF 127.20 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of CHF 42.40. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Adval Tech Holding AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ADVN trades below its calculated fair value: price CHF 42.40, fair value CHF 127.20, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ADVN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (CHF 42.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (CHF 127.20). For Adval Tech Holding AG the two are CHF 84.80 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Adval Tech Holding AG worth?
The market values Adval Tech Holding AG at about CHF 31.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is CHF 42.40; our models calculate a fair value of CHF 127.20 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ADVN?
Our models span a range for Adval Tech Holding AG: cautious scenario CHF 93.82, base CHF 127.20, optimistic CHF 176.22 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price CHF 42.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Adval Tech Holding AG (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −6.7%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ADVN from its 52-week high?
Adval Tech Holding AG trades at CHF 42.40, about 11% below its 52-week high of CHF 47.60 and 33% above the low of CHF 31.80 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of CHF 127.20 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Adval Tech Holding AG?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Carpenter Technology Corporation, ATI Inc, Mueller Industries, Inc, Aurubis AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Adval Tech Holding AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price CHF 42.40, calculated fair value CHF 127.20 (+200%), Quality Score 53/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ADVN calculated?
We run Adval Tech Holding AG through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of CHF 127.20, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Adval Tech Holding AG currently trades 200 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was CHF 42.40. Our model-based fair value is CHF 127.20, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Adval Tech Holding AG right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (CHF 93.82). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (CHF 93.82 to CHF 176.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Adval Tech Holding AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN)?
The market capitalisation of Adval Tech Holding AG is CHF 31.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Adval Tech Holding AG is 0.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN)?
Earnings per share at Adval Tech Holding AG are CHF −9.50. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN)?
The net margin of Adval Tech Holding AG is −4.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Adval Tech Holding AG is −6.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Adval Tech Holding AG is −2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN)?
The operating margin of Adval Tech Holding AG is −0.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN)?
Revenue at Adval Tech Holding AG is growing +2.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN)?
Earnings per share at Adval Tech Holding AG are growing −61.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Adval Tech Holding AG (ADVN) hold?
Adval Tech Holding AG holds more cash than debt, CHF 12.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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