Adval Tech Holding (ADVN) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CH · Market cap CHF 31.1M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from CHF 143.95 to CHF 127.80 (−11.2%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −6.1% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 199% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (CHF 93.90). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 31.80 – CHF 224.96 · fair‑value band CHF 93.90 – CHF 161.69 · the CHF 42.80 price screens below the CHF 127.80 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Adval Tech Holding (ADVN) currently trades at CHF 42.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 127.80, implying the stock looks roughly 198.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Adval Tech Holding generated revenue of CHF 157M at a net margin of -4.4%. Revenue grew 2.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of CHF 12.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 93.90 (bear case) to CHF 161.69 (bull case); at CHF 42.80, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -72% fair-value upside, at 199%, ADVN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (CHF 146.58) versus Asset-Based (CHF 91.06). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Adval Tech Holding AG manufactures and markets metal and plastic productsa and components for automotive, medtech, consumer goods, presses, and tools markets in Switzerland.
Full company description
Adval Tech Holding AG manufactures and markets metal and plastic productsa and components for automotive, medtech, consumer goods, presses, and tools markets in Switzerland. The company offers lenseholder, air and water separation, air flow systems, roof rack systems, steering systems, braking systems, fuel injector valve sleeves, sealing plugs, and decor and trim parts for automotive applications. It also provides diagnostics, medical/surgery, instruments, pharmaceutical, health care, and other products for the medtech industry; and handheld and desktop oscilloscope, and digital microscope. The company was formerly known as Styner+Bienz AG and changed its name to Adval Tech Holding AG in 1997. Adval Tech Holding AG was founded in 1924 and is based in Niederwangen, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Adval Tech Holding reported revenue of CHF 156M in FY2025 versus CHF 167M in FY2021, a compound −1.6%/yr. Reported net income was −CHF 6.9M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Metal Fabrication · 244 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Metal Fabrication stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carpenter Technology Corporation CRS | $577.10 | $103.31 | -82% |
| ATI Inc ATI | $186.17 | $36.51 | -80% |
| Mueller Industries, Inc MLI | $59.13 | $60.24 | +2% |
| China International Marine Containers (Group) Co 000039 | ¥7.45 | ¥1.15 | -85% |
| JL Mag Rare-Earth Co 300748 | ¥31.69 | ¥8.74 | -72% |
| Western Superconducting Technologies Co 688122 | ¥56.73 | ¥24.43 | -57% |
| Ningbo Zhenyu Technology Co 300953 | ¥131.65 | ¥44.23 | -66% |
| Anhui Yingliu Electromechanical Co 603308 | ¥48.52 | ¥8.07 | -83% |
| Baoding Technology Co 002552 | ¥43.95 | ¥5.44 | -88% |
| Xiamen Voke Mold & Plastic Engineering Co 301196 | ¥110.08 | ¥42.71 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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