AEON REIT Investment Corporation (AEORF) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $1.7B
AEON REIT Investment Corporation
AEORF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 16 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 25, 2026, revised from $607.87 to $598.06 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +5.0% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 27% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (19 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
19‑month range $698.64 – $813.72 · fair‑value band $502.66 – $837.77 · the $813.72 price screens above the $598.06 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.
Analysis
AEON REIT Investment Corporation (AEORF) currently trades at $813.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $598.06, implying the stock looks roughly 26.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, AEON REIT Investment Corporation generated revenue of $42.9B at a net margin of 32.4%. Revenue grew 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. Net debt stands at $157B. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $502.66 (bear case) to $837.77 (bull case); at $813.72, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -27%, AEORF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($109,871) versus Growth DCF ($43,117). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
AEON REIT Investment Corporation (hereinafter, "AEON REIT") invests primarily in retail and related properties which, as an integral part of the communities in which they are located, form the backbone of communities and their retail business infrastructure.
Full company description
AEON REIT Investment Corporation (hereinafter, "AEON REIT") invests primarily in retail and related properties which, as an integral part of the communities in which they are located, form the backbone of communities and their retail business infrastructure. Through said investment, we aim to ensure stable earnings over the medium to long term and achieve steady portfolio growth. AEON REIT was established on November 30, 2012, in accordance with the Act on Investment Trusts and Investment Corporations (Act No. 198 of 1951, as amended; hereinafter, the "Investment Trusts Act"), with AEON Reit Management Co., Ltd. (hereinafter, the "Asset Manager") serving as the organizer. AEON REIT was listed on the Real Estate Investment Trust Securities Market (J-REIT market) of the Tokyo Stock Exchange (securities code: 3292) on November 22, 2013. The real estate held by AEON REIT as of July 31, 2025, totaled 53 properties in Japan and overseas, including AEON MALL SEREMBAN 2 it owns through an overseas real estate holding corporation established in Malaysia (hereinafter, the "Overseas SPC"), with a total acquisition price of ¥480,736 million. Total leasable area is 4,339,016.65 m2 and the occupancy rate of the entire portfolio is 100.0% as of the same date. AEON REIT Investment Corporation was incorporated in 2012 in Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
AEON REIT Investment Corporation reported revenue of $42.2B in FY2024 versus $35.4B in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was $13.6B in FY2024, compounding +4.7%/yr from FY2021.
AEORF screens 27% overvalued. Compare with Simon Property Group →
Peer Group
REIT - Retail · 107 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Property Group SPG | $229.78 | $86.11 | -63% |
| Realty Income Corporation O | $65.60 | $30.71 | -53% |
| Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW | €103.65 | €101.67 | -2% |
| Kimco Realty Corporation KIM | $26.10 | $12.60 | -52% |
| CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U | 2.47 SGD | 0.9100 SGD | -63% |
| Scentre Group SCG | A$3.93 | A$3.34 | -15% |
| Regency Centers Corporation REG | $82.15 | $33.69 | -59% |
| Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 | HK$39.22 | HK$41.98 | +7% |
| Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT | $126.08 | $41.96 | -67% |
| Brixmor Property Group BRX | $32.44 | $13.18 | -59% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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