Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd ₹9.47, price ₹4.34, upside +118.2%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹2.50 – ₹14.52 · fair‑value band ₹5.69 – ₹11.84 · the ₹4.34 price screens below the ₹9.47 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Ashapuri Gold Ornament Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of gold jewelry in India. It offers various jewelry products, such as antique, traditional, bridal contemporary, and combination designs across jewelry lines. The company also deals in antique jewelry, as well as trades in gold jewelry.
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Ashapuri Gold Ornament Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of gold jewelry in India. It offers various jewelry products, such as antique, traditional, bridal contemporary, and combination designs across jewelry lines. The company also deals in antique jewelry, as well as trades in gold jewelry. It sells its products under the Kaavis and Maayim brands. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Ahmedabad, India.
Stock analysis
Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL) currently trades at ₹4.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹9.47, implying the stock looks roughly 54.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹14.52 per share, and 23 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹4.34 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹3.35, and 1 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹5.69 (bear) to ₹11.84 (bull), the price of ₹4.34 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd reported revenue of ₹3.2B in FY2026 versus ₹1.6B in FY2022, a compound +18.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹186M in FY2026, compounding +56.8%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹1.4B (≈ $15.0M) · P/E ratio 7.8 · P/S ratio 0.45 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.5600 · Net margin 5.9% · Return on equity 11.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3% · Operating margin 1.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 118%, AGOL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹5.69Fair Value ₹9.47Bull ₹11.84
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.2854 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+46.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+46.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 8%
2026 sits 115% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+7.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.2% a year for the price.
Compare Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Luxury Goods · 122 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Below median
Fair Value upside+118.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11.9% · Below median
Return on assets9.5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)5.9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)1.3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−16.6% · Bottom 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
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Is Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹9.47 versus a price of ₹4.34, about +118% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AGOL?
Our model-based fair value for Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd is ₹9.47 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹4.34.
What is the quality score of AGOL?
Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹9.47 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹5.69, optimistic scenario ₹11.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹9.47, about +118% upside versus a price of ₹4.34 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹5.69, optimistic scenario ₹11.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL)?
Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +7.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +22.0 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AGOL use?
Our models discount Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.29, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd that is +7.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd grew +22.0 % a year. The price currently implies +7.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (+7.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.16 %: that much free cash flow Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd it is ₹9.47 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹4.34. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, AGOL trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹4.34, fair value ₹9.47, a gap of about +118% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AGOL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹4.34); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹9.47). For Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd the two are ₹5.13 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd worth?
The market values Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd at about ₹1.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹4.34; our models calculate a fair value of ₹9.47 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AGOL?
Our models span a range for Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd: cautious scenario ₹5.69, base ₹9.47, optimistic ₹11.84 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹4.34). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of AGOL?
Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹9.47 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 5.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 11.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AGOL from its 52-week high?
Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd trades at ₹4.34, about 32% below its 52-week high of ₹6.42 and 37% above the low of ₹3.17 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹9.47 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, Christian Dior SE, Titan Company, Tapestry, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹4.34, calculated fair value ₹9.47 (+118%), Quality Score 53/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AGOL calculated?
We run Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹9.47, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd currently trades 54 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹4.34. Our model-based fair value is ₹9.47, about +118% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹5.69). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (₹5.69 to ₹11.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL)?
The market capitalisation of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd is ₹1.4B (≈ $15.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd is 0.45 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL)?
Earnings per share at Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd are ₹0.5600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL)?
The net margin of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd is 5.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd is 11.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL)?
The operating margin of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL)?
Revenue at Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd is growing −16.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL)?
Earnings per share at Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd are growing −21.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd (AGOL) carry?
The net debt of Ashapuri Gold Ornament Ltd is ₹599K (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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