Compagnie Financière Richemont SA (CFR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CH · Market cap CHF 115B · ISIN CH0210483332
What is Compagnie Financière Richemont SA really worth?
A solid business, but trading 55% above our fair value of CHF 119.49.
As of Sep 1, 2026, the fair value of Compagnie Financière Richemont SA is CHF 119.49 per share against a price of CHF 185.45, so the fair value sits 36% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 1, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Fair value updated Sep 1, 2026, revised from CHF 119.11 to CHF 119.49 (+0.3%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price −5.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 70/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 151.68). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 82.51 – CHF 200.80 · fair‑value band CHF 87.30 – CHF 151.68 · the CHF 185.45 price screens above the CHF 119.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 1, 2026.
Analysis
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA (CFR) currently trades at CHF 185.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 119.49, implying the stock looks roughly 55.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of CHF 142.57 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the CHF 185.45 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at CHF 30.31, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Compagnie Financière Richemont SA generated revenue of CHF 22.4B at a net margin of 15.5%. Revenue grew 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.0%. Net debt stands at CHF 5.0B. Fundamentals as of Sep 1, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 87.30 (bear case) to CHF 151.68 (bull case); at CHF 185.45, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −36%, CFR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly CHF 1.92 per share, which is 1.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (CHF 142.57) versus Asset-Based (CHF 30.31). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, an investment holding company, engages in the luxury goods business. The company operates through Jewellery Maisons, Specialist Watchmakers, and Other segments.
Full company description
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA, an investment holding company, engages in the luxury goods business. The company operates through Jewellery Maisons, Specialist Watchmakers, and Other segments. It is involved in the design, manufacture, and distribution of jewelry products, precision timepieces, watches, writing instruments, clothing, and leather goods and accessories. The company provides its products under the Cartier, Van Cleef & Arpels, Vhernier, Buccellati, A. Lange & Söhne, Baume & Mercier, IWC Schaffhausen, Jaeger-LeCoultre, Panerai, Piaget, Roger Dubuis, Vacheron Constantin, Alaïa, Chloé, Delvaux, dunhill, G/FORE, Gianvito Rossi, Montblanc, Peter Millar, Purdey, Serapian, Watchfinder&Co., TIMEVALLEE, and brand names through retail online retail, and wholesale distribution channels. It offers its products in France, the United Kingdom, Italy, Switzerland, rest of Europe, the United Arab Emirates, rest of the Middle East, Africa, China, Hong Kong, Macau, Japan, South Korea, rest of Asia, the United States, and rest of the Americas. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Bellevue, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA reported revenue of €22.4B in FY2026 versus €19.2B in FY2022, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was €3.5B in FY2026, compounding +13.8%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +8.0 % · buybacks/dilution −0.4 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
CFR screens 55% overvalued. Compare with Hermès International Société en commandite par actions →
Peer Group
Luxury Goods · 135 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
What the price implies (reverse DCF)
The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Compagnie Financière Richemont SA deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.
The price demands roughly the growth the company recently delivered. Ranking of the largest stocks →
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Valuation of the Switzerland market
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 1, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hermès International Société en commandite par actions RMS | €1,598 | €950.24 | −41% |
| Christian Dior SE DIO | €423.60 | €1,095 | +159% |
| Titan Company TITAN | ₹5,106 | ₹972.23 | −81% |
| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $153.74 | $19.95 | −87% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$12.31 | HK$11.51 | −6% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 36.35 | CHF 8.46 | −77% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$40.86 | HK$64.71 | +58% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 783.00 | kr 1,424 | +82% |
| Laopu Gold Co 6181 | HK$385.00 | HK$654.83 | +70% |
| Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC | €89.08 | €34.90 | −61% |
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