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PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of PowerFleet, Inc. $2.53, price $2.90, upside -12.9%, quality 27 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · US · ISIN US73931J1097

PI PowerFleet, Inc. logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

PowerFleet, Inc.

AIOT · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $2.53 · Overvalued (−13%)
!Quality 27/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +31.3 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range $1.16 to $4.95
!Weak on valuation: 16 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$8.51 $1.74 Fair Value $2.53 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.74 – $8.51 · fair‑value band $1.16 – $4.95 · the $2.90 price screens above the $2.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

PowerFleet, Inc. provides artificial intelligence-of-things (AIoT) solutions in North America, Israel, Africa, Europe, the Middle East, Australia, and internationally.

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PowerFleet, Inc. provides artificial intelligence-of-things (AIoT) solutions in North America, Israel, Africa, Europe, the Middle East, Australia, and internationally. Its unity solution portfolio includes unity platform that enables integration with AIoT devices and third-party business systems to a data highway that powers artificial intelligence-driven insights to help customers save lives, time, and money; software as a service based unity modules, which comprises vehicle, video, and in-warehouse IoT for customers to gain visibility and AI-powered insights into their people, assets, and business processes to manage utilization and maintenance, safety, fuel and energy management, and compliance and high-risk incidents; and open application programming interfaces for additional integrations and development to enhance other enterprise management systems and third-party applications. The company also provides hosting, maintenance, and customer support and consulting services; and software as a service, such as system monitoring, help desk technical support, escalation procedure development, routine diagnostic data analysis, and software update services. The company offers its products under the Powerfleet, Pointer, Cellocator, MiX by Powerfleet, and Fleet Complete brands. It markets and sells its wireless solutions to a range of customers in the commercial and government sectors, including construction and heavy equipment, distribution, field services, leasing and car rental, government and public safety, manufacturing and automotive, oil and gas, chemical, transportation and logistics, utilities and telecommunications, and cold chain logistics. The company was formerly known as I.D. Systems, Inc. and changed its name to PowerFleet, Inc. in October 2019. PowerFleet, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Woodcliff Lake, New Jersey.

Stock analysis

PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT) currently trades at $2.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.53, implying the stock looks roughly 14.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $4.03 per share, and 9 of the 14 models we run sit above the $2.90 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.3900, and 5 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $1.16 (bear) to $4.95 (bull), the price of $2.90 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

PowerFleet, Inc. reported revenue of $444M in FY2025 versus $126M in FY2021, a compound +37.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$20.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $549M · P/S ratio 1.24 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1500 · Net margin −4.6% · Return on equity −4.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.0% · Operating margin 11.3% · Revenue (TTM) $444M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −13%, AIOT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.16 Fair Value $2.53 Bull $4.95
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $1.97 $3.54 $8.22 74
Growth DCF $1.75 $3.86 $7.74 73
Owner Earnings $2.63 $7.00 $15.11 70
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.97 $3.54 $8.22 74
Owner Earnings $2.63 $7.00 $15.11 70
5Y Revenue Exit $1.12 $2.90 $6.50 66
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.80 $12.52 $25.48 70
10Y Revenue Exit $1.32 $4.03 $6.00 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $4.48 $12.91 $28.97 62
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.1700 $0.3900 $0.5800 69
Multiples
EV/EBIT $2.60 $3.94 $5.29 65
EV/EBITDA $7.65 $10.68 $13.71 67
EV/Revenue $0.6000 $1.47 $2.35 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.77 $2.37 $3.54 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.75 $3.86 $7.74 73
Rev-Margin DCF $1.12 $3.52 $7.46 66
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.1700 $0.3900 $0.5800 69

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 27/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 85
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 19
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 28
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 15
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 19
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +26.7% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.2% (2020) → 6.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+42.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +38.8% a year for the price and +4.7% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+4.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.8%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+9.9%
Projected 2029 (sales)+8.8%
Projected 2030 (sales)+7.7%

AIOT screens 15% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 372 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 27 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −15% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.48× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.15× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 1.24× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 62.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 8.7× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.76× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)16 · sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)53 · sector 49
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 18
HEALTH (low debt)76 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 32

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Synopsys, Inc SNPS $409.24 $250.04 −39%
Block, Inc XYZ $77.53 $101.29 +31%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $86.76 $71.79 −17%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $192.91 $157.18 −19%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PowerFleet, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AIOT

Frequently asked questions

Is PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.53 versus a price of $2.90, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AIOT?
Our model-based fair value for PowerFleet, Inc. is $2.53 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.90.
What is the quality score of AIOT?
PowerFleet, Inc. has a Quality Score of 27/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.53 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.16, optimistic scenario $4.95. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PowerFleet, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.53, about −13% upside versus a price of $2.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.16, optimistic scenario $4.95. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
PowerFleet, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $444M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PowerFleet, Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +42.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +31.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AIOT use?
Our models discount PowerFleet, Inc. at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.42, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PowerFleet, Inc. that is +42.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at PowerFleet, Inc. grew +31.3 % a year. The price currently implies +42.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PowerFleet, Inc. (+42.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.28 %: that much free cash flow PowerFleet, Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PowerFleet, Inc. it is $2.53 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $2.90. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PowerFleet, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, AIOT trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.90, fair value $2.53, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AIOT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.53). For PowerFleet, Inc. the two are $0.3750 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PowerFleet, Inc. worth?
The market values PowerFleet, Inc. at about $549M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $2.90; our models calculate a fair value of $2.53 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AIOT?
Our models span a range for PowerFleet, Inc.: cautious scenario $1.16, base $2.53, optimistic $4.95 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $2.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of AIOT?
The PEG ratio of PowerFleet, Inc. is 0.76 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
Balance-sheet figures for PowerFleet, Inc. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −4.3%, debt of 0.48 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 27/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AIOT from its 52-week high?
PowerFleet, Inc. trades at $2.90, about 49% below its 52-week high of $5.65 and 4% above the low of $2.79 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.53 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PowerFleet, Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Palo Alto Networks, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PowerFleet, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $2.90, calculated fair value $2.53 (−13%), Quality Score 27/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AIOT calculated?
We run PowerFleet, Inc. through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.53, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. PowerFleet, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $2.90. Our model-based fair value is $2.53, about −13% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PowerFleet, Inc. right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($1.16 to $4.95). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of PowerFleet, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
The market capitalisation of PowerFleet, Inc. is $549M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PowerFleet, Inc. is 1.24 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
Earnings per share at PowerFleet, Inc. are $−0.1500. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
The net margin of PowerFleet, Inc. is −4.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PowerFleet, Inc. is −4.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PowerFleet, Inc. is −3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
The operating margin of PowerFleet, Inc. is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
Revenue at PowerFleet, Inc. is growing +10.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +48.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT) carry?
The net debt of PowerFleet, Inc. is $260M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 29.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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