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PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of PowerFleet, Inc. stock $3.00, price $2.69, upside +11.5%, quality 33 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 12 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Technology US

PI PowerFleet, Inc. logo Some data Nov 8, 2026

PowerFleet, Inc.

AIOT · US
Speculative

The stock costs 10% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $3.00 · Undervalued (10%)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +31.3 %/yr in USD)
Some data
Wide range: only $1.38 in the cautious scenario.
Quality 33/100
Loss-making · -4.2% net margin (TTM)
Trails peers (4/12)
Narrow moat 15/100 · thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$8.51 $1.74 Fair Value $3.00 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.74 – $8.51 · fair‑value band $1.38 – $5.88 · the $2.69 price screens below the $3.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.

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Company profile

PowerFleet, Inc. provides artificial intelligence-of-things (AIoT) solutions in North America, Israel, Africa, Europe, the Middle East, Australia, and internationally.

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Its unity solution portfolio includes unity platform that enables integration with AIoT devices and third-party business systems to a data highway that powers artificial intelligence-driven insights to help customers save lives, time, and money; software as a service based unity modules, which comprises vehicle, video, and in-warehouse IoT for customers to gain visibility and AI-powered insights into their people, assets, and business processes to manage utilization and maintenance, safety, fuel and energy management, and compliance and high-risk incidents; and open application programming interfaces for additional integrations and development to enhance other enterprise management systems and third-party applications.

The company also provides hosting, maintenance, and customer support and consulting services; and software as a service, such as system monitoring, help desk technical support, escalation procedure development, routine diagnostic data analysis, and software update services.

The company offers its products under the Powerfleet, Pointer, Cellocator, MiX by Powerfleet, and Fleet Complete brands.

It markets and sells its wireless solutions to a range of customers in the commercial and government sectors, including construction and heavy equipment, distribution, field services, leasing and car rental, government and public safety, manufacturing and automotive, oil and gas, chemical, transportation and logistics, utilities and telecommunications, and cold chain logistics.

The company was formerly known as I.D. Systems, Inc. and changed its name to PowerFleet, Inc. in October 2019. PowerFleet, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Woodcliff Lake, New Jersey.

Stock analysis

PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT) currently trades at $2.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.00, implying the stock looks roughly 10% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $3.54 per share, and 8 of the 12 models we run sit above the $2.69 price.

Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at $3.13, and 4 of the 12 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $1.38 (bear) to $5.88 (bull), the price of $2.69 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

PowerFleet, Inc. reported revenue of $444M in FY2025 versus $126M in FY2021, a compound +37.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$20.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $361M Small · P/S ratio 0.80 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1400 · Net margin −4.2% · Return on equity −3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −3.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 1.7% · Revenue (TTM) $450M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 15 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 12%, AIOT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.38 Fair Value $3.00 Bull $5.88
Price $2.69 · Upside +11.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $1.57 $2.79 $6.37 74
Growth DCF $1.38 $3.00 $5.88 74
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.41 $11.73 $23.92 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.57 $2.79 $6.37 74
5Y Revenue Exit $1.00 $2.67 $6.07 66
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.41 $11.73 $23.92 70
10Y Revenue Exit $1.11 $3.54 $5.29 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.92 $11.40 $25.65 62
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.0200 $0.1900 $0.3400 65
Multiples
EV/EBIT $2.09 $3.44 $4.78 64
EV/EBITDA $7.15 $10.18 $13.21 67
EV/Revenue $0.1000 $0.9700 $1.85 47
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.38 $3.00 $5.88 74
Rev-Margin DCF $1.00 $3.26 $6.97 66
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.0200 $0.1900 $0.3400 65

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 18
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 85
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 19
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 33
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 28
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 15
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 15
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 5
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 39
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Plus 9 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+22.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+48.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +26.7% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.2% (2020) → 6.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+41.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.4%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +37.8% a year for the price and +4.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.8%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+2.8%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+12.1%
Projected 2029 (sales)+10.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+9.2%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 630 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +11.5% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −2.2% · Below median
Net margin (12 months) −4.2% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months) 1.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 6.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.48× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.76× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.80× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year) 40.8× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 6.4× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 0.76× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)49 · sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)32 · sector 40
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)76 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 29

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Adobe Inc ADBE $239.30 $463.72 +94% vs AIOT
Salesforce, Inc CRM $213.65 $342.73 +60% vs AIOT
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $68.59 $101.28 +48% vs AIOT
Intuit Inc INTU $341.50 $459.14 +34% vs AIOT
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $101.97 $112.60 +10% vs AIOT
SAP SE SAP €210.75 €173.59 −18% vs AIOT
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $319.92 $225.48 −30% vs AIOT
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $303.35 $150.40 −50% vs AIOT
Shopify Inc SHOP $148.91 $64.96 −56% vs AIOT
Snowflake Inc SNOW $275.88 $73.81 −73% vs AIOT

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PowerFleet, Inc.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PowerFleet, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AIOT

Frequently asked questions

Is PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.00 versus a price of $2.69, about +12% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AIOT?
Our model-based fair value for PowerFleet, Inc. is $3.00 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.69.
What is the quality score of AIOT?
PowerFleet, Inc. has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.00 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.38, optimistic scenario $5.88. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PowerFleet, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.00, about +12% upside versus a price of $2.69 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.38, optimistic scenario $5.88. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
PowerFleet, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $450M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
What growth is priced into PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PowerFleet, Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by +41.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +31.3 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AIOT use?
Our models discount PowerFleet, Inc. at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.40, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PowerFleet, Inc. that is +41.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at PowerFleet, Inc. grew +31.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +41.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +11.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PowerFleet, Inc. (+41.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.45 %: that much free cash flow PowerFleet, Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PowerFleet, Inc. it is $3.00 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $2.69. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models in 5 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is PowerFleet, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, AIOT trades below its calculated fair value: price $2.69, fair value $3.00, a gap of about +12% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AIOT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.69); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.00). For PowerFleet, Inc. the two are $0.3100 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PowerFleet, Inc. worth?
The market values PowerFleet, Inc. at about $361M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $2.69; our models calculate a fair value of $3.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AIOT?
Our models span a range for PowerFleet, Inc.: cautious scenario $1.38, base $3.00, optimistic $5.88 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $2.69). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of AIOT?
The PEG ratio of PowerFleet, Inc. is 0.76 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
Balance-sheet figures for PowerFleet, Inc. (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity −3.8%, debt of 0.48 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is AIOT from its 52-week high?
PowerFleet, Inc. trades at $2.69, about 52% below its 52-week high of $5.65 and 13% above the low of $2.39 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PowerFleet, Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Salesforce, Inc, Shopify Inc, ServiceNow, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PowerFleet, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $2.69, calculated fair value $3.00 (+12%), Quality Score 33/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AIOT calculated?
We run PowerFleet, Inc. through 12 models from 5 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $3.00 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. PowerFleet, Inc. currently trades 10% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $2.69. Our model-based fair value is $3.00, about +12% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PowerFleet, Inc. right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($1.38 to $5.88). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.

Key figures of PowerFleet, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
The market capitalisation of PowerFleet, Inc. is $361M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PowerFleet, Inc. is 0.80 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
Earnings per share at PowerFleet, Inc. are $−0.1400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
The net margin of PowerFleet, Inc. is −4.2% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PowerFleet, Inc. is −3.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PowerFleet, Inc. is −3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
The operating margin of PowerFleet, Inc. is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)?
Revenue at PowerFleet, Inc. is growing +6.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +48.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT) carry?
The net debt of PowerFleet, Inc. is $260M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 29.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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