PowerFleet, Inc (AIOT) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $549M
PowerFleet, Inc
AIOT · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price +5.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 60% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (27/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide ($0.9265 to $2.64). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.74 – $8.51 · fair‑value band $0.9265 – $2.64 · the $4.41 price screens above the $1.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
PowerFleet, Inc (AIOT) currently trades at $4.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.78, implying the stock looks roughly 59.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 27/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, PowerFleet, Inc generated revenue of $444M at a net margin of -4.6%. Revenue grew 10.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.3%. Net debt stands at $260M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.9265 (bear case) to $2.64 (bull case); at $4.41, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at -60%, AIOT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($2.60) versus Earnings-Based ($0.3900). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
PowerFleet, Inc. provides artificial intelligence-of-things (AIoT) solutions in North America, Israel, Africa, Europe, the Middle East, Australia, and internationally.
Full company description
PowerFleet, Inc. provides artificial intelligence-of-things (AIoT) solutions in North America, Israel, Africa, Europe, the Middle East, Australia, and internationally. Its unity solution portfolio includes unity platform that enables integration with AIoT devices and third-party business systems to a data highway that powers artificial intelligence-driven insights to help customers save lives, time, and money; software as a service based unity modules, which comprises vehicle, video, and in-warehouse IoT for customers to gain visibility and AI-powered insights into their people, assets, and business processes to manage utilization and maintenance, safety, fuel and energy management, and compliance and high-risk incidents; and open application programming interfaces for additional integrations and development to enhance other enterprise management systems and third-party applications. The company also provides hosting, maintenance, and customer support and consulting services; and software as a service, such as system monitoring, help desk technical support, escalation procedure development, routine diagnostic data analysis, and software update services. The company offers its products under the Powerfleet, Pointer, Cellocator, MiX by Powerfleet, and Fleet Complete brands. It markets and sells its wireless solutions to a range of customers in the commercial and government sectors, including construction and heavy equipment, distribution, field services, leasing and car rental, government and public safety, manufacturing and automotive, oil and gas, chemical, transportation and logistics, utilities and telecommunications, and cold chain logistics. The company was formerly known as I.D. Systems, Inc. and changed its name to PowerFleet, Inc. in October 2019. PowerFleet, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Woodcliff Lake, New Jersey.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
PowerFleet, Inc reported revenue of $444M in FY2025 versus $126M in FY2021, a compound +37.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$20.6M in FY2025.
AIOT screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Is PowerFleet (AIOT) the Fastest Growing Tech Penny Stocks to Buy?
- PowerFleet (AIOT) Gets Board Approval for $30 Million Share Repurchase
- PowerFleet (AIOT) Delivers Strong Q4 Financial Results
- Strong Results, Lower Target: What’s Happening at PowerFleet, Inc. (AIOT)
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 368 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €354.50 | €93.61 | -74% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| 360 Security Technology Inc 601360 | ¥9.64 | ¥5.05 | -48% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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