Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Coil S.A./N.V €1.62, price €1.19, upside +36.0%, quality 24 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.15 – €9.27 · fair‑value band €1.20 – €2.41 · the €1.19 price screens below the €1.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Coil S.A./N.V. provides anodizing services on aluminum flat rolled products in coil form, sheets, and panels in Europe. Its products are used in architectural, public works, welded tubes, automotive, consumer goods, medical, aerospace, and signage applications.
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Coil S.A./N.V. provides anodizing services on aluminum flat rolled products in coil form, sheets, and panels in Europe. Its products are used in architectural, public works, welded tubes, automotive, consumer goods, medical, aerospace, and signage applications. The company offers its products under the ALOXIDE, X-ICONIC, X-WALL, X-BOND, X-FLEX, X-DECO, X-TECH, X-TREAD, X-3D, X-MED, and X-SKY brand names. It serves customers through a network of distributors. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Landen, Belgium.
Stock analysis
Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI) currently trades at €1.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.62, implying the stock looks roughly 26.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: €1.20 (bear) to €2.41 (bull), the price of €1.19 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Coil S.A./N.V reported revenue of €19.4M in FY2025 versus €25.2M in FY2021, a compound −6.4%/yr. Reported net income was −€4.8M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €6.4M · P/S ratio 0.33 · EPS (TTM) €−1.38 · Net margin −24.5% · Return on equity −28.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.3% · Operating margin 0.6% · Revenue (TTM) €19.4M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at 36%, ALCOI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €1.20Fair Value €1.62Bull €2.41
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−12.5% (2020) → −17.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aluminum · 81 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+36% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−24% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coil S.A./N.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALCOI
Frequently asked questions
Is Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.62 versus a price of €1.19, about +36% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ALCOI?
Our model-based fair value for Coil S.A./N.V is €1.62 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.19.
What is the quality score of ALCOI?
Coil S.A./N.V has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.62 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.20, optimistic scenario €2.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Coil S.A./N.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.62, about +36% upside versus a price of €1.19 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €1.20, optimistic scenario €2.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
Coil S.A./N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €19.4M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Coil S.A./N.V it is €1.62 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €1.19. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Coil S.A./N.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ALCOI trades below its calculated fair value: price €1.19, fair value €1.62, a gap of about +36% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALCOI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.62). For Coil S.A./N.V the two are €0.4280 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Coil S.A./N.V worth?
The market values Coil S.A./N.V at about €6.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €1.19; our models calculate a fair value of €1.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALCOI?
Our models span a range for Coil S.A./N.V: cautious scenario €1.20, base €1.62, optimistic €2.41 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €1.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Coil S.A./N.V (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −28.8%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 24/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALCOI from its 52-week high?
Coil S.A./N.V trades at €1.19, about 20% below its 52-week high of €1.49 and 3% above the low of €1.15 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.62 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Coil S.A./N.V?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding, China Hongqiao Group, Hindalco Industries Limited, Aluminum Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Coil S.A./N.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €1.19, calculated fair value €1.62 (+36%), Quality Score 24/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALCOI calculated?
We run Coil S.A./N.V through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €1.62, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Coil S.A./N.V currently trades 36 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €1.19. Our model-based fair value is €1.62, about +36% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Coil S.A./N.V right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (24/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€1.20 to €2.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Coil S.A./N.V
How large is the market capitalisation of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
The market capitalisation of Coil S.A./N.V is €6.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Coil S.A./N.V is 0.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
Earnings per share at Coil S.A./N.V are €−1.38. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
The net margin of Coil S.A./N.V is −24.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Coil S.A./N.V is −28.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Coil S.A./N.V is −6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
The operating margin of Coil S.A./N.V is 0.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
Revenue at Coil S.A./N.V is growing −2.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
Earnings per share at Coil S.A./N.V are growing +19.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI) generate?
The free cash flow of Coil S.A./N.V is −€16.0K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI) carry?
The net debt of Coil S.A./N.V is €3.3M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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