Coil S.A (ALCOI) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · FR · Market cap €6.4M
Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 26 days ago
Below-average quality, screening 155% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (24/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€2.58). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.15 – €9.27 · fair‑value band €2.58 – €3.58 · the €1.19 price screens below the €3.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.
Analysis
Coil S.A (ALCOI) currently trades at €1.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.03, implying the stock looks roughly 155.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Coil S.A generated revenue of €19.4M at a net margin of -24.5%. Revenue declined 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -28.8%. Net debt stands at €3.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €2.58 (bear case) to €3.58 (bull case); at €1.19, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at 155%, ALCOI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (€4.03) versus Asset-Based (€1.84). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Coil S.A./N.V. provides anodizing services on aluminum flat rolled products in coil form, sheets, and panels in Europe. Its products are used in architectural, public works, welded tubes, automotive, consumer goods, medical, aerospace, and signage applications.
Full company description
Coil S.A./N.V. provides anodizing services on aluminum flat rolled products in coil form, sheets, and panels in Europe. Its products are used in architectural, public works, welded tubes, automotive, consumer goods, medical, aerospace, and signage applications. The company offers its products under the ALOXIDE, X-ICONIC, X-WALL, X-BOND, X-FLEX, X-DECO, X-TECH, X-TREAD, X-3D, X-MED, and X-SKY brand names. It serves customers through a network of distributors. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Landen, Belgium.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Coil S.A reported revenue of €19.4M in FY2025 versus €25.2M in FY2021, a compound −6.4%/yr. Reported net income was −€4.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Aluminum · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 | ¥18.54 | ¥26.70 | +44% |
| China Hongqiao Group 1378 | HK$24.54 | HK$45.53 | +86% |
| Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO | ₹955.80 | ₹1,026 | +7% |
| Aluminum Corporation 601600 | ¥8.11 | ¥12.58 | +55% |
| Norsk Hydro ASA NHY | kr 84.96 | kr 58.10 | -32% |
| Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 | 8.02 MYR | 3.88 MYR | -52% |
| Alcoa Corporation AAI | A$70.60 | A$49.53 | -30% |
| Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 | ¥25.12 | ¥29.68 | +18% |
| Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 | ¥25.51 | ¥30.28 | +19% |
| Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 | ¥11.99 | ¥21.86 | +82% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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