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Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Coil S.A./N.V stock €1.62, price €1.19, upside +36.0%, quality 26 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Basic Materials FR · Home Belgium · ISIN BE0160342011

CS Coil S.A./N.V logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

Coil S.A./N.V

ALCOI · PA
Speculative

The stock costs 26% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value €1.62 · Undervalued
Low debt
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Quality 26/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.3 %/yr in EUR)
Loss-making · -24.5% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Narrow moat 13/100 · thin data
Thin data
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution⚠ Thinly traded
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

€9.27 €1.15 Fair Value €1.62 Sep 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.15 – €9.27 · fair‑value band €1.20 – €2.41 · the €1.19 price screens below the €1.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Coil S.A./N.V. provides anodizing services on aluminum flat rolled products in coil form, sheets, and panels in Europe. Its products are used in architectural, public works, welded tubes, automotive, consumer goods, medical, aerospace, and signage applications.

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The company offers its products under the ALOXIDE, X-ICONIC, X-WALL, X-BOND, X-FLEX, X-DECO, X-TECH, X-TREAD, X-3D, X-MED, and X-SKY brand names. It serves customers through a network of distributors. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Landen, Belgium.

Stock analysis

Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI) currently trades at €1.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.62, implying the stock looks roughly 26% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: €1.20 (bear) to €2.41 (bull), the price of €1.19 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Coil S.A./N.V reported revenue of €19.4M in FY2025 versus €25.2M in FY2021, a compound −6.4%/yr. Reported net income was −€4.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap €6.4M Micro · P/S ratio 0.33 · EPS (TTM) €−1.38 · Net margin −24.5% · Return on equity −28.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.3% (5-year average) · Operating margin 0.8% · Revenue (TTM) €19.4M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 13 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 36%, ALCOI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear €1.20 Fair Value €1.62 Bull €2.41
Price €1.19 · Upside +36.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
NCAV (Graham) €1.30 €1.75 €2.61 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.30 €1.75 €2.61 54

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical trough year.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 14
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 13
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 46
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 99
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 99
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 37
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 25
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−19.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −2.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−12.5% (2020) → −17.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aluminum · 83 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +36.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −18.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −24.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −2.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.43× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (12 months) 0.33× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)81 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 100
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 40
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 41

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Hongqiao Group 1378 HK$20.36 HK$30.16 +48% vs ALCOI
Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 ¥25.48 ¥32.01 +26% vs ALCOI
Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 6.85 MYR 7.54 MYR +10% vs ALCOI
Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO ₹960.00 ₹1,026 +7% vs ALCOI
Alcoa Corporation AA $39.54 $39.73 +0% vs ALCOI
Norsk Hydro ASA NHY kr 68.38 kr 66.35 −3% vs ALCOI
Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 ¥12.16 ¥11.42 −6% vs ALCOI
Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 ¥14.61 ¥8.12 −44% vs ALCOI
Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 ¥24.87 ¥13.49 −46% vs ALCOI
Aluminum Corporation 601600 ¥8.62 ¥4.16 −52% vs ALCOI

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Coil S.A./N.V: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Coil S.A./N.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALCOI

Frequently asked questions

Is Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.62 versus a price of €1.19, about +36% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ALCOI?
Our model-based fair value for Coil S.A./N.V is €1.62 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €1.19.
What is the quality score of ALCOI?
Coil S.A./N.V has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €1.62 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario €1.20, optimistic scenario €2.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Coil S.A./N.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €1.62, about +36% upside versus a price of €1.19 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €1.20, optimistic scenario €2.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
Coil S.A./N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €19.4M (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Coil S.A./N.V it is €1.62 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of €1.19. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Coil S.A./N.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, ALCOI trades below its calculated fair value: price €1.19, fair value €1.62, a gap of about +36% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALCOI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€1.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€1.62). For Coil S.A./N.V the two are €0.4284 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Coil S.A./N.V worth?
The market values Coil S.A./N.V at about €6.4M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is €1.19; our models calculate a fair value of €1.62 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALCOI?
Our models span a range for Coil S.A./N.V: cautious scenario €1.20, base €1.62, optimistic €2.41 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price €1.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Coil S.A./N.V (as of Nov 4, 2026): return on equity −28.8%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 26/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALCOI from its 52-week high?
Coil S.A./N.V trades at €1.19, about 8% below its 52-week high of €1.30 and 3% above the low of €1.15 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €1.62 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Coil S.A./N.V?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding, Aluminum Corporation, China Hongqiao Group, Hindalco Industries Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Coil S.A./N.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price €1.19, calculated fair value €1.62 (+36%), Quality Score 26/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALCOI calculated?
We run Coil S.A./N.V through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of €1.62 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Coil S.A./N.V currently trades 26% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was €1.19. Our model-based fair value is €1.62, about +36% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Coil S.A./N.V right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (26/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (€1.20 to €2.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Coil S.A./N.V

How large is the market capitalisation of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
The market capitalisation of Coil S.A./N.V is €6.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Coil S.A./N.V is 0.33 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
Earnings per share at Coil S.A./N.V are €−1.38. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
The net margin of Coil S.A./N.V is −24.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Coil S.A./N.V is −28.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Coil S.A./N.V is −6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
The operating margin of Coil S.A./N.V is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
Revenue at Coil S.A./N.V is growing −2.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI)?
Earnings per share at Coil S.A./N.V are growing +19.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI) generate?
The free cash flow of Coil S.A./N.V is −€16.0K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Coil S.A./N.V (ALCOI) carry?
The net debt of Coil S.A./N.V is €3.3M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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