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Allcargo Logistics Limited (ALLCARGO) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · IN · Market cap ₹12.2B

AL Allcargo Logistics Limited ALLCARGO · NSE
Price₹10.62
Fair Value₹4.80
Upside-54.8%
Quality48/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/13)
Narrow moat 15/100
Evidence: High Range ₹3.84 – ₹4.80 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price +30.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 55% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹4.80). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹119.09 ₹7.18 Fair Value ₹4.80 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹7.18 – ₹119.09 · fair‑value band ₹3.84 – ₹4.80 · the ₹10.62 price screens above the ₹4.80 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 2, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Allcargo Logistics Limited (ALLCARGO) currently trades at ₹10.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹4.80, implying the stock looks roughly 54.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Allcargo Logistics Limited generated revenue of ₹20.6B at a net margin of 0.4%. Revenue declined 87.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.4%. Net debt stands at ₹5.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹3.84 (bear case) to ₹4.80 (bull case); at ₹10.62, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 72% below its 52-week high and 49% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -55%, ALLCARGO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹22.34 ₹32.29 ₹46.37 80
Residual Income ₹2.67 ₹2.54 ₹1.92 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹9.29 ₹11.41 ₹13.96 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹21.91 ₹33.00 ₹49.63 38
Owner Earnings ₹15.13 ₹22.67 ₹33.97 31
5Y Revenue Exit ₹9.29 ₹11.02 ₹12.86 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹16.91 ₹25.08 ₹34.35 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹8.69 ₹9.92 ₹11.00 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹13.66 ₹16.25 ₹19.10 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹18.54 ₹25.94 ₹35.29 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹13.33 ₹15.49 ₹17.69 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹0.3600 ₹1.05 ₹1.39 54
Lynch FV ₹0.2200 ₹0.3100 ₹0.4000 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹0.2200 ₹0.3100 ₹0.4000 46
EPV ₹2.41 ₹2.69 ₹2.93 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹12.66 ₹26.32 ₹41.76 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹12.66 ₹20.30 ₹27.63 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹0.8400 ₹1.12 ₹1.40 63
P/S Multiple ₹0.6800 ₹0.9100 ₹1.14 58
P/B Multiple ₹0.6800 ₹0.9100 ₹1.14 55
EV/EBIT ₹3.22 ₹4.05 ₹4.87 53
EV/EBITDA ₹15.92 ₹20.98 ₹26.03 54
EV/Revenue ₹2.52 ₹3.27 ₹4.03 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹1.92 ₹2.57 ₹3.83 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹22.34 ₹32.29 ₹46.37 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹9.29 ₹11.41 ₹13.96 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹2.67 ₹2.54 ₹1.92 76
ROIC Compounder ₹2.41 ₹2.69 ₹2.93 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹0.6800 ₹0.9700 ₹1.26 68

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (₹20.30) versus Earnings-Based (₹0.3100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹20.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) -87.0%
Net margin 0.4%
Return on equity 0.4%
Free cash flow ₹2.8B FY2026
P/E ratio 203.8
More key figures
Operating margin 1.6%
EPS (TTM) ₹0.0400
EPS growth (YoY) +298%
Net debt ₹5.6B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 48
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Allcargo Logistics Limited provides integrated logistics solutions in India. It operates through Express Distribution, and Contract Logistics segments. The company is involved in non-vessel owning common carrier operations related to less than container load (LCL) consolidation, and full container load forwarding activities.

Full company description

Allcargo Logistics Limited provides integrated logistics solutions in India. It operates through Express Distribution, and Contract Logistics segments. The company is involved in non-vessel owning common carrier operations related to less than container load (LCL) consolidation, and full container load forwarding activities. It also provides digital logistics solutions; warehousing; production logistics, engineering, and ordering and replenishment services; and reusable packaging solutions, kitting, delivery, and pre-production services. In addition, it offers end-to-end logistics, surface and air express, air freight, and supply chain management and e-commerce solutions. Further, it offers export; import; ODC and hazardous cargo; ISO tank; warehouse bonded and general; and first and last mile solutions. The company was formerly known as Allcargo Global Logistics Limited and changed its name to Allcargo Logistics Limited in July 2011. Allcargo Logistics Limited was founded in 1989 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Allcargo Logistics Limited reported revenue of ₹20.6B in FY2026 versus ₹191B in FY2022, a compound −42.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹80.0M in FY2026, compounding −69.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹20.6B
Latest YoY
−87.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−51.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−27.8%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.1%
Revenue −42.7%/yr
FY22 ₹191B
FY23 ₹181B
FY24 ₹132B
FY25 ₹160B
FY26 ₹20.6B
Net income −69.5%/yr
FY22 ₹9.3B
FY23 ₹6.3B
FY24 ₹1.5B
FY25 ₹356M
FY26 ₹80.0M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) −15.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +5.2 pp

of which total revenue +7.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.9 pp

EBIT margin −5.4 pp
Tax rate +2.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −17.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

ALLCARGO screens 55% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Allcargo Logistics Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALLCARGO

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −62% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 0% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth -87% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 203.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.13× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.59× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 44
FUTURE 0 · sector 8
PAST 1 · sector 26
HEALTH 98 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $117.72 $104.58 -11%
FedEx Corporation FDX $314.69 $347.68 +10%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.22 €53.18 -7%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,660 kr 712.57 -57%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 209.90 CHF 147.92 -30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $291.41 $133.80 -54%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.91 ¥48.64 +52%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $193.50 $86.56 -55%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $172.02 $115.95 -33%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$185.20 HK$224.26 +21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Allcargo Logistics Limited (ALLCARGO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹4.80 versus a price of ₹10.62, about −55% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ALLCARGO?
Our model-based fair value for Allcargo Logistics Limited is ₹4.80 (as of Aug 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹10.62.
What is the quality score of ALLCARGO?
Allcargo Logistics Limited has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Allcargo Logistics Limited (ALLCARGO)?
Allcargo Logistics Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹20.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ALLCARGO?
The net profit margin of Allcargo Logistics Limited is about 0.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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