Alumil Rom Industry S.A (ALU) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · RO · Market cap 87.5M RON
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price +4.8% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from 1.86 RON (bear) to 3.28 RON (bull), base 2.38 RON. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.5915 RON – 3.28 RON · fair‑value band 1.86 RON – 3.28 RON · the 2.82 RON price screens above the 2.38 RON fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Alumil Rom Industry S.A (ALU) currently trades at 2.82 RON, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.38 RON, implying the stock looks roughly 15.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Alumil Rom Industry S.A generated revenue of 120M RON at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. Net debt stands at 16.2M RON. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.86 RON (bear case) to 3.28 RON (bull case); at 2.82 RON, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at -16%, ALU screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (3.94 RON) versus Earnings-Based (1.34 RON). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Alumil Rom Industry S.A. engages in the design and production of architectural aluminium systems in Romania and internationally.
Full company description
Alumil Rom Industry S.A. engages in the design and production of architectural aluminium systems in Romania and internationally. The company offers hinged windows and doors systems, sliding windows and doors systems, shutters and rolling shutters systems, bi-folding doors systems, entrance doors, curtain walls and façades systems, office partitions systems, solar shadings systems, claddings systems, atrium and conservatory systems, customized fenestration systems, railings systems, pergolas systems, decking systems, building integrated photovoltaics (BIPV) systems, photovoltaic mounting systems, and noise barriers. It also provides wall cladding systems; building materials comprising various polycarbonate sheets and wood-plastic composites; polycarbonate sheets; aluminium systems for atriums, glass atrium roofs, skylights, and greenhouses; and railing systems. In addition, the company offers accessories, including window and door locks; door hinges; door handles; door mechanisms; other hardware; glass options; and surface treatments. Alumil Rom Industry S.A. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Bucharest, Romania. Alumil Rom Industry S.A. is a subsidiary of Alumil Aluminium Industry S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Alumil Rom Industry S.A reported revenue of 119M RON in FY2025 versus 90.8M RON in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was 6.3M RON in FY2025, compounding +0.9%/yr from FY2021.
ALU screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding →
Peer Group
Aluminum · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 | ¥18.54 | ¥26.70 | +44% |
| China Hongqiao Group 1378 | HK$24.54 | HK$45.53 | +86% |
| Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO | ₹955.80 | ₹1,026 | +7% |
| Aluminum Corporation 601600 | ¥8.11 | ¥12.58 | +55% |
| Norsk Hydro ASA NHY | kr 84.96 | kr 58.10 | -32% |
| Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 | 8.02 MYR | 3.88 MYR | -52% |
| Alcoa Corporation AAI | A$70.60 | A$49.53 | -30% |
| Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 | ¥25.12 | ¥29.68 | +18% |
| Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 | ¥25.51 | ¥30.28 | +19% |
| Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 | ¥11.99 | ¥21.86 | +82% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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