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Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Alumil Rom Industry SA RON 2.62, price RON 2.57, upside +2.0%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · RO · ISIN ROALUMACNOR8

AR Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Alumil Rom Industry SA

ALU · RO

NeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.

·Fair value 2.62 RON · Fairly valued (+2%)
!Quality 53/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +10.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (12/13)
!Narrow moat 38/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 28 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

3.28 RON 0.7189 RON Fair Value 2.62 RON Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.7189 RON – 3.28 RON · fair‑value band 1.81 RON – 3.71 RON · the 2.57 RON price screens below the 2.62 RON fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Alumil Rom Industry S.A. engages in the design and production of architectural aluminium systems in Romania and internationally.

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Alumil Rom Industry S.A. engages in the design and production of architectural aluminium systems in Romania and internationally. The company offers hinged windows and doors systems, sliding windows and doors systems, shutters and rolling shutters systems, bi-folding doors systems, entrance doors, curtain walls and façades systems, office partitions systems, solar shadings systems, claddings systems, atrium and conservatory systems, customized fenestration systems, railings systems, pergolas systems, decking systems, building integrated photovoltaics (BIPV) systems, photovoltaic mounting systems, and noise barriers. It also provides wall cladding systems; building materials comprising various polycarbonate sheets and wood-plastic composites; polycarbonate sheets; aluminium systems for atriums, glass atrium roofs, skylights, and greenhouses; and railing systems. In addition, the company offers accessories, including window and door locks; door hinges; door handles; door mechanisms; other hardware; glass options; and surface treatments. Alumil Rom Industry S.A. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Bucharest, Romania. Alumil Rom Industry S.A. is a subsidiary of Alumil Aluminium Industry S.A.

Stock analysis

Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU) currently trades at 2.57 RON, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.62 RON, implying the stock looks roughly 1.9% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 5.93 RON per share, and 10 of the 17 models we run sit above the 2.57 RON price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 1.34 RON, and 7 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1.81 RON (bear) to 3.71 RON (bull), the price of 2.57 RON sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Alumil Rom Industry SA reported revenue of 119M RON in FY2025 versus 90.8M RON in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was 6.3M RON in FY2025, compounding +0.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 87.5M RON (≈ $18.9M) · P/E ratio 12.2 · P/S ratio 0.64 · EPS (TTM) 0.2100 RON · Dividend yield 6.1% · Net margin 5.3% · Return on equity 9.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at 2%, ALU screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.81 RON Fair Value 2.62 RON Bull 3.71 RON
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2071 RON per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 3.89 RON 5.93 RON 8.92 RON 76
Residual Income 1.95 RON 2.10 RON 2.43 RON 76
ROIC Compounder 1.93 RON 2.23 RON 2.67 RON 72
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 3.89 RON 5.93 RON 8.92 RON 76
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.36 RON 4.29 RON 5.71 RON 64
Lynch FV 0.9400 RON 1.34 RON 1.74 RON 61
PEG = 1.0 0.9400 RON 1.34 RON 1.74 RON 57
EPV 1.93 RON 2.23 RON 2.48 RON 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.49 RON 2.98 RON 4.51 RON 67
DDM Multi-Stage 1.49 RON 2.44 RON 3.14 RON 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 3.15 RON 4.20 RON 5.25 RON 63
P/S Multiple 2.55 RON 3.40 RON 4.25 RON 58
P/B Multiple 2.55 RON 3.40 RON 4.25 RON 55
EV/EBIT 3.39 RON 4.50 RON 5.61 RON 66
EV/EBITDA 3.97 RON 5.27 RON 6.58 RON 67
EV/Revenue 2.43 RON 3.45 RON 4.47 RON 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.15 RON 1.54 RON 2.30 RON 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.95 RON 2.10 RON 2.43 RON 76
ROIC Compounder 1.93 RON 2.23 RON 2.67 RON 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2.62 RON 3.74 RON 4.86 RON 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 57

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 96
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 50/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+17.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)6.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 7%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Aluminum · 81 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside +1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.1% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.2× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.13× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.68× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.7× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)36 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)28 · sector 26
PAST (return on equity)37 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)100 · sector 40

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 ¥17.10 ¥43.06 +152%
China Hongqiao Group 1378 HK$21.36 HK$57.07 +167%
Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO ₹1,004 ₹1,026 +2%
Aluminum Corporation 601600 ¥9.27 ¥12.58 +36%
Norsk Hydro ASA NHY kr 85.54 kr 58.10 −32%
Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 7.60 MYR 8.36 MYR +10%
Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 ¥26.95 ¥38.55 +43%
Alcoa Corporation AA $44.71 $40.18 −10%
Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 ¥26.38 ¥32.01 +21%
Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 ¥12.64 ¥34.83 +176%

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Alumil Rom Industry SA · Fair Value
2.62 RON +2%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alumil Rom Industry SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ALU

Frequently asked questions

Is Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.62 RON versus a price of 2.57 RON, about +2% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ALU?
Our model-based fair value for Alumil Rom Industry SA is 2.62 RON (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.57 RON.
What is the quality score of ALU?
Alumil Rom Industry SA has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.62 RON (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.81 RON, optimistic scenario 3.71 RON. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alumil Rom Industry SA stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.62 RON, about +2% upside versus a price of 2.57 RON (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 1.81 RON, optimistic scenario 3.71 RON. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU)?
Alumil Rom Industry SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 120M RON (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Alumil Rom Industry SA pay a dividend?
Alumil Rom Industry SA currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.07% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alumil Rom Industry SA it is 2.62 RON per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 2.57 RON. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alumil Rom Industry SA stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ALU trades below its calculated fair value: price 2.57 RON, fair value 2.62 RON, a gap of about +2% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ALU?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.57 RON); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.62 RON). For Alumil Rom Industry SA the two are 0.0500 RON per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alumil Rom Industry SA worth?
The market values Alumil Rom Industry SA at about 87.5M RON (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 2.57 RON; our models calculate a fair value of 2.62 RON per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ALU?
Our models span a range for Alumil Rom Industry SA: cautious scenario 1.81 RON, base 2.62 RON, optimistic 3.71 RON per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 2.57 RON). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ALU?
Alumil Rom Industry SA trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2.62 RON is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 7.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alumil Rom Industry SA (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ALU from its 52-week high?
Alumil Rom Industry SA trades at 2.57 RON, about 9% below its 52-week high of 2.82 RON and 12% above the low of 2.30 RON (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.62 RON is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alumil Rom Industry SA?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding, China Hongqiao Group, Hindalco Industries Limited, Aluminum Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alumil Rom Industry SA stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 2.57 RON, calculated fair value 2.62 RON (+2%), Quality Score 53/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ALU calculated?
We run Alumil Rom Industry SA through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.62 RON, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Alumil Rom Industry SA currently trades 2 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 2.57 RON. Our model-based fair value is 2.62 RON, about +2% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alumil Rom Industry SA right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (1.81 RON to 3.71 RON) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Alumil Rom Industry SA

How large is the market capitalisation of Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU)?
The market capitalisation of Alumil Rom Industry SA is 87.5M RON (≈ $18.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alumil Rom Industry SA is 0.64 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU)?
Earnings per share at Alumil Rom Industry SA are 0.2100 RON (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU)?
The dividend yield of Alumil Rom Industry SA is 6.1% (payout 74.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU)?
The net margin of Alumil Rom Industry SA is 5.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alumil Rom Industry SA is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alumil Rom Industry SA is 9.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU)?
The operating margin of Alumil Rom Industry SA is 7.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU)?
Revenue at Alumil Rom Industry SA is growing +5.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU)?
Earnings per share at Alumil Rom Industry SA are growing +43.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU) generate?
The free cash flow of Alumil Rom Industry SA is −1.4M RON (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Alumil Rom Industry SA (ALU) carry?
The net debt of Alumil Rom Industry SA is 16.2M RON (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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