AMAG Austria Metall AG (AMAG) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · AT · Market cap €963M

A solid business, but screening 33% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€23.45). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €20.70 – €34.60 · fair‑value band €14.07 – €23.45 · the €28.00 price screens above the €18.76 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

AMAG Austria Metall AG (AMAG) currently trades at €28.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €18.76, implying the stock looks roughly 33.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, AMAG Austria Metall AG generated revenue of €1.5B at a net margin of 3.0%. Revenue grew 0.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.9%. Net debt stands at €317M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €14.07 (bear case) to €23.45 (bull case); at €28.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at -33%, AMAG screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€21.08) versus Earnings-Based (€4.07). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

AMAG Austria Metall AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, processing, and sale of aluminum, aluminum semi-finished, and cast products in Austria, Europe, North America, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Metal, Casting, Rolling, and Service.

Full company description

AMAG Austria Metall AG, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production, processing, and sale of aluminum, aluminum semi-finished, and cast products in Austria, Europe, North America, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Metal, Casting, Rolling, and Service. The Metal segment produces primary aluminium; and manages metal production streams. The Casting segment produces recycled casting alloys from aluminium scrap. This segment's product portfolio includes customer-specific aluminium materials in the form of ingots, sows, and liquid metals. The Rolling segment produces and sells rolled products comprising sheets, coils, and plates, as well as precision cast plates and precision rolled plates. The Service segment offers facility management services, including building and space management; energy supply; waste disposal; and purchasing and materials management services. The company serves aerospace, automotive, mechanical engineering, packaging, electrical, sports, and consumer goods industries, as well as the architecture sector. AMAG Austria Metall AG was founded in 1939 and is headquartered in Ranshofen, Austria.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

AMAG Austria Metall AG reported revenue of €1.5B in FY2025 versus €1.3B in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was €34.0M in FY2025, compounding −15.0%/yr from FY2021.

AMAG screens 33% overvalued. Compare with Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding →

Peer Group

Aluminum · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.