Aerostar S.A (ARS) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · RO · Market cap 1.9B RON
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from 11.73 RON to 10.69 RON (−8.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +19.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 18% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (6.29 RON to 13.91 RON) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.00 RON – 13.85 RON · fair‑value band 6.29 RON – 13.91 RON · the 13.10 RON price screens above the 10.69 RON fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Aerostar S.A (ARS) currently trades at 13.10 RON, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10.69 RON, implying the stock looks roughly 18.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Aerostar S.A generated revenue of 649M RON at a net margin of 18.2%. Revenue grew 15.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.9%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 16.2. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 6.29 RON (bear case) to 13.91 RON (bull case); at 13.10 RON, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -18%, ARS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (15.02 RON) versus Dividend Discount (2.59 RON). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Aerostar S.A. engages in the manufacture, integration, upgrade, and maintenance of aviation and ground defense systems for the civil aviation industry in Romania and internationally. It offers aerostructures, components, and parts and subassemblies; and landing gear and hydraulic systems, as well as maintenance and repair services.
Full company description
Aerostar S.A. engages in the manufacture, integration, upgrade, and maintenance of aviation and ground defense systems for the civil aviation industry in Romania and internationally. It offers aerostructures, components, and parts and subassemblies; and landing gear and hydraulic systems, as well as maintenance and repair services. The company is also involved in the MRO and upgrades for military aircraft; and production and integration of electronic, communication, and IFF systems on ground, naval, and aerial platforms. In addition, it manufactures ground defense systems, such as rocket launchers, variants, and configurations; firing subsystem, reconnaissance and data subsystem, command and control system, and logistic support subsystem; and military equipment, including engineering equipment, self-propelled howitzers, and armored vehicles. The company was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Bacau, Romania. Aerostar S.A. is a subsidiary of IAROM S.A.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Aerostar S.A reported revenue of 629M RON in FY2025 versus 307M RON in FY2021, a compound +19.6%/yr. Reported net income was 95.7M RON in FY2025, compounding +25.6%/yr from FY2021.
ARS screens 18% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →
Peer Group
Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| General Electric Company GE | $381.22 | $116.71 | -69% |
| RTX Corporation RTX | $195.93 | $88.37 | -55% |
| Airbus SE 1AIR | €213.25 | €86.20 | -60% |
| The Boeing Company BA | $217.11 | $48.20 | -78% |
| China CSSC Holdings 600150 | ¥34.31 | ¥21.90 | -36% |
| HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 | 466,000 KRW | 272,966 KRW | -41% |
| Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 | 967,000 KRW | 573,468 KRW | -41% |
| ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS | 337.50 TRY | 130.70 TRY | -61% |
| Saab AB SAABB | kr 520.40 | kr 212.84 | -59% |
| Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG | kr 277.50 | kr 106.93 | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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