Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 28, 2026: fair value of Allcargo Terminals Ltd ₹50.70, price ₹24.85, upside +104.0%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
38‑month range ₹18.68 – ₹78.75 · fair‑value band ₹35.49 – ₹65.90 · the ₹24.85 price screens below the ₹50.70 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Allcargo Terminals Limited operates container freight stations (CFS) and logistics business in India and internationally. It provides import and export handling; bonded, non-bonded, and open warehousing; direct port delivery; hazardous cargo; cargo handling; reefer container; ISO tank; and mile delivery services.
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Allcargo Terminals Limited operates container freight stations (CFS) and logistics business in India and internationally. It provides import and export handling; bonded, non-bonded, and open warehousing; direct port delivery; hazardous cargo; cargo handling; reefer container; ISO tank; and mile delivery services. Allcargo Terminals Limited was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
Stock analysis
Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL) currently trades at ₹24.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹50.70, implying the stock looks roughly 51.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹119.52 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹24.85 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹9.37, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹35.49 (bear) to ₹65.90 (bull), the price of ₹24.85 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Allcargo Terminals Ltd reported revenue of ₹8.2B in FY2026 versus ₹1.3B in FY2022, a compound +59.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹442M in FY2026, compounding +94.9%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap ₹7.0B (≈ $73.4M) · P/E ratio 15.5 · P/S ratio 0.84 · EPS (TTM) ₹1.56 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 5.4% · Return on equity 14.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 104%, ATL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹35.49Fair Value ₹50.70Bull ₹65.90
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.7779 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+45.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+29.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+28.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.0% → 11%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹50.70 versus a price of ₹24.85, about +104% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ATL?
Our model-based fair value for Allcargo Terminals Ltd is ₹50.70 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹24.85.
What is the quality score of ATL?
Allcargo Terminals Ltd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹50.70 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹35.49, optimistic scenario ₹65.90. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Allcargo Terminals Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹50.70, about +104% upside versus a price of ₹24.85 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹35.49, optimistic scenario ₹65.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL)?
Allcargo Terminals Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹8.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Allcargo Terminals Ltd pay a dividend?
Allcargo Terminals Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.40% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Allcargo Terminals Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -7.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +45.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ATL use?
Our models discount Allcargo Terminals Ltd at 15.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.11, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Allcargo Terminals Ltd that is -7.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Allcargo Terminals Ltd grew +45.0 % a year. The price currently implies -7.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Allcargo Terminals Ltd (-7.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 19.90 %: that much free cash flow Allcargo Terminals Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Allcargo Terminals Ltd it is ₹50.70 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹24.85. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Allcargo Terminals Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, ATL trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹24.85, fair value ₹50.70, a gap of about +104% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ATL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹24.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹50.70). For Allcargo Terminals Ltd the two are ₹25.85 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Allcargo Terminals Ltd worth?
The market values Allcargo Terminals Ltd at about ₹7.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹24.85; our models calculate a fair value of ₹50.70 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ATL?
Our models span a range for Allcargo Terminals Ltd: cautious scenario ₹35.49, base ₹50.70, optimistic ₹65.90 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹24.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ATL?
Allcargo Terminals Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹50.70 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 4.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Allcargo Terminals Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 14.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ATL from its 52-week high?
Allcargo Terminals Ltd trades at ₹24.85, about 35% below its 52-week high of ₹38.07 and 33% above the low of ₹18.68 (as of Sep 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹50.70 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Allcargo Terminals Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Allcargo Terminals Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹24.85, calculated fair value ₹50.70 (+104%), Quality Score 43/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ATL calculated?
We run Allcargo Terminals Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹50.70, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Allcargo Terminals Ltd currently trades 104 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL)?
The closing price on Sep 28, 2026 was ₹24.85. Our model-based fair value is ₹50.70, about +104% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Allcargo Terminals Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹35.49). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹35.49 to ₹65.90) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Allcargo Terminals Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL)?
The market capitalisation of Allcargo Terminals Ltd is ₹7.0B (≈ $73.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Allcargo Terminals Ltd is 0.84 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL)?
Earnings per share at Allcargo Terminals Ltd are ₹1.56 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL)?
The dividend yield of Allcargo Terminals Ltd is 0.4% (payout 6.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL)?
The net margin of Allcargo Terminals Ltd is 5.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Allcargo Terminals Ltd is 14.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Allcargo Terminals Ltd is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL)?
The operating margin of Allcargo Terminals Ltd is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL)?
Revenue at Allcargo Terminals Ltd is growing +11.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL)?
Earnings per share at Allcargo Terminals Ltd are growing +8.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Allcargo Terminals Ltd (ATL) carry?
The net debt of Allcargo Terminals Ltd is ₹7.6B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 5.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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