AUTO1 Group (ATOGF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $5.7B
AUTO1 Group
ATOGF · US
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $3.34 to $6.83 (+104.5%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price +7.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $17.61 – $35.44 · fair‑value band $5.13 – $8.54 · the $27.50 price screens above the $6.83 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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AUTO1 Group (ATOGF) currently trades at $27.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.83 — implying the stock looks roughly 75.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, AUTO1 Group generated revenue of $8.7B at a net margin of 0.9%. Revenue grew 25.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.7%. Net debt stands at $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.13 (bear case) to $8.54 (bull case); at $27.50, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside — at -75%, ATOGF screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
AUTO1 Group SE, a technology company, operates a digital automotive platform for buying and selling used cars online in Germany, France, Spain, Italy, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Merchant and Retail. It is involved in the operation of AUTO1.com platform for the sale of used cars to commercial dealers; Autohero.com for the sale of used cars to private customers; and wirkaufendeinauto.de, an online platform to sell used cars to AUTO1. The company was founded in 2012 and is based in Berlin, Germany.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AUTO1 Group reported revenue of $8.2B in FY2025 versus $4.8B in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was $77.9M in FY2025.
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External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
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10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carvana Co CVNA | $66.67 | $38.48 | -42% |
| Penske Automotive Group PAG | $175.00 | $229.60 | +31% |
| D'Ieteren Group SIEVF | $193.00 | $125.79 | -35% |
| Hotai Motor Co 2207 | 495.00 TWD | 626.30 TWD | +27% |
| CarMax, Inc KMX | $52.40 | $28.37 | -46% |
| Lithia Motors, Inc LAD | $288.84 | $603.90 | +109% |
| AutoNation, Inc AN | $188.30 | $329.77 | +75% |
| USS Co USSJY | $25.75 | $23.75 | -8% |
| AG1 AG1 | €25.36 | €6.68 | -74% |
| Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHA | $67.77 | $68.71 | +1% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.