White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Austal Limited engages in the design, manufacture, and support of vessels for commercial and defense customers in the United States, Australia, Europe, Asia, and South America. It operates in four segments: USA Shipbuilding, USA Support, Australasia Shipbuilding, and Australasia Support.
Show more
Austal Limited engages in the design, manufacture, and support of vessels for commercial and defense customers in the United States, Australia, Europe, Asia, and South America. It operates in four segments: USA Shipbuilding, USA Support, Australasia Shipbuilding, and Australasia Support. The company offers vessel construction / shipbuilding revenue includes the design and construction of both defence and commercial vessel platforms; and defence vessels include advanced naval and other defence vessels and commercial vessels including passenger ferries, vehicle passenger ferries, offshore and windfarm vessels, as well as patrol boats for government law enforcement and border protection agencies. It also develops and integrates advanced vessel control and information management systems, including MARINELINK, an integrated monitoring and control system; and motion control systems and interceptors. In addition, the company offers life capability management and vessel support services, including crew training and instruction, vessel servicing, repairs and maintenance, integrated logistics support, vessel sustainment and information management systems support; and comprehensive refit services and management of annual dockings to naval, government and commercial operators. Further, the company provides contract maintenance, aluminum vessel brokerage, and training and consultancy services to commercial and defense fleet operators, as well as manufactures and sells vessel parts, equipment, consumables, and tooling products. Austal Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Henderson, Australia.
Austal Limited (AUTLF) currently trades at $3.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.52, implying the stock looks roughly 12.5% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $4.07 per share, and 9 of the 25 models we run sit above the $3.08 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $0.8000, and 16 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $2.62 (bear) to $4.59 (bull), the price of $3.08 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Austal Limited reported revenue of A$1.8B in FY2025 versus A$1.6B in FY2021, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was A$89.7M in FY2025, compounding +2.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.3B · P/E ratio 18.1 · P/S ratio 0.89 · EPS (TTM) $0.1700 · Net margin 4.9% · Return on equity 7.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% · Operating margin 4.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 26% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 14%, AUTLF screens cheaper than that median.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1700 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$4.36
$6.37
$9.23
80
Growth DCF
$4.35
$6.18
$8.69
79
5Y EBITDA Exit
$2.63
$3.32
$4.08
77
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$4.36
$6.37
$9.23
80
5Y Revenue Exit
$2.21
$2.48
$2.74
74
5Y EBITDA Exit
$2.63
$3.32
$4.08
77
5Y P/E Exit
$3.43
$4.87
$6.43
71
10Y Revenue Exit
$3.03
$3.52
$4.07
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
$3.29
$4.07
$5.05
70
10Y P/E Exit
$3.76
$5.08
$6.76
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$1.01
$3.91
$5.31
64
Lynch FV
$0.9600
$1.37
$1.78
61
PEG = 1.0
$0.9600
$1.37
$1.78
57
EPV
$0.8000
$0.8000
$0.8100
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.1400
$0.2500
$0.3500
68
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.1400
$0.2300
$0.2700
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$2.33
$3.11
$3.88
63
P/S Multiple
$1.89
$2.51
$3.14
58
P/B Multiple
$1.89
$2.51
$3.14
55
EV/EBIT
$0.9100
$0.9600
$1.01
66
EV/EBITDA
$1.64
$1.94
$2.24
67
EV/Revenue
$0.8600
$0.9100
$0.9600
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$1.08
$1.45
$2.16
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$4.35
$6.18
$8.69
79
Rev-Margin DCF
$2.21
$2.55
$2.99
74
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$1.64
$1.66
$1.79
76
ROIC Compounder
$0.8000
$0.8000
$0.8100
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$1.72
$2.46
$3.20
67
Open the full fair value analysis →
Overall quality
45/100
Of which business quality 47
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Profitability
30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
30
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
49
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Open the full quality analysis →
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Is Austal Limited (AUTLF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.52 versus a price of $3.08, about +14% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of AUTLF?
Our model-based fair value for Austal Limited is $3.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.08.
What is the quality score of AUTLF?
Austal Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Austal Limited (AUTLF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.52 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.62, optimistic scenario $4.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Austal Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.52, about +14% upside versus a price of $3.08 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.62, optimistic scenario $4.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Austal Limited (AUTLF)?
Austal Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$2.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Austal Limited (AUTLF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Austal Limited would have to grow free cash flow by -11.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -2.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of AUTLF use?
Our models discount Austal Limited at 9.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Austal Limited that is -11.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Austal Limited (AUTLF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Austal Limited grew -2.7 % a year. The price currently implies -11.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Austal Limited (AUTLF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Austal Limited (-11.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Austal Limited (AUTLF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.36 %: that much free cash flow Austal Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Austal Limited (AUTLF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Austal Limited it is $3.52 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $3.08. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Austal Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, AUTLF trades below its calculated fair value: price $3.08, fair value $3.52, a gap of about +14% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of AUTLF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.08); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.52). For Austal Limited the two are $0.4400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Austal Limited worth?
The market values Austal Limited at about $1.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $3.08; our models calculate a fair value of $3.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about AUTLF?
Our models span a range for Austal Limited: cautious scenario $2.62, base $3.52, optimistic $4.59 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $3.08). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is AUTLF from its 52-week high?
Austal Limited trades at $3.08, about 48% below its 52-week high of $5.95 and 26% above the low of $2.45 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Austal Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value General Electric Company, RTX Corporation, Airbus SE, Lockheed Martin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Austal Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $3.08, calculated fair value $3.52 (+14%), Quality Score 45/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of AUTLF calculated?
We run Austal Limited through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.52, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Austal Limited currently trades 13 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on
is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Austal Limited (AUTLF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $3.08. Our model-based fair value is $3.52, about +14% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Austal Limited right now?
The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Key figures of Austal Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Austal Limited (AUTLF)?
The market capitalisation of Austal Limited is $1.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Austal Limited (AUTLF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Austal Limited is 18.1. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Austal Limited (AUTLF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Austal Limited is 0.89 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Austal Limited (AUTLF)?
Earnings per share at Austal Limited are $0.1700 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Austal Limited (AUTLF)?
The net margin of Austal Limited is 4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Austal Limited (AUTLF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Austal Limited is 7.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Austal Limited (AUTLF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Austal Limited is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Austal Limited (AUTLF)?
The operating margin of Austal Limited is 4.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Austal Limited (AUTLF)?
Revenue at Austal Limited is growing +34.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Austal Limited (AUTLF)?
Earnings per share at Austal Limited are growing +2.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Austal Limited (AUTLF) hold?
Austal Limited holds more cash than debt, A$317M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026