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Fastighets AB (BALD-B) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · SE · Market cap 59.9B SEK (≈ $6.3B) · ISIN SE0017832488

What is Fastighets AB really worth?

FA Fastighets AB BALD-B · ST
Pricekr 53.72
Fair Valuekr 70.70
Upside+31.6%
Quality53/100

A solid business, trading 24% below our fair value of kr 70.70.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 50.2% net margin
Wide moat 67/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +11.0 %/yr)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 24 out of 100
!Weak on past: 28 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range kr 60.65 – kr 75.17

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −1.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 60.65). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 119.63 kr 36.44 Fair Value kr 70.70 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 36.44 – kr 119.63 · fair‑value band kr 60.65 – kr 75.17 · the kr 53.72 price screens below the kr 70.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Fastighets AB (BALD-B) currently trades at kr 53.72, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 70.70, implying the stock looks roughly 24.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of kr 76.43 per share, and 6 of the 11 models we run sit above the kr 53.72 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at kr 7.27, and 5 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Fastighets AB generated revenue of 13.8B SEK at a net margin of 51.1%. Revenue grew 1.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.0%. Net debt stands at 137B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 60.65 (bear case) to kr 75.17 (bull case); at kr 53.72, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at 32%, BALD-B screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 3.52 per share, which is 5.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF kr 7.27 kr 149.76 77
Residual Income kr 71.12 kr 76.43 kr 89.50 76
Growth DCF kr 13.50 kr 119.32 75
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 7.27 kr 149.76 77
5Y Revenue Exit kr 0.4900 kr 81.66 69
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 61.21 kr 181.21 72
10Y Revenue Exit kr 93.27 64
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 44.83 kr 182.34 65
Multiples
P/S Multiple kr 60.65 kr 80.87 kr 101.08 58
P/B Multiple kr 88.10 kr 117.47 kr 146.84 55
EV/EBIT kr 16.48 kr 62.11 kr 107.74 60
EV/EBITDA kr 22.09 kr 57.72 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 42.55 kr 57.02 kr 85.10 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 13.50 kr 119.32 75
Rev-Margin DCF kr 74.03 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 71.12 kr 76.43 kr 89.50 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (kr 76.43) versus DCF Models (kr 7.27). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 9.4 as of Jun 7, 2026
P/S ratio 5.20 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) kr 5.37 price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.4
Net margin 55.5% FY2025
Return on equity 7.0% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.9% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 64.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 13.8B SEK TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.3% 3y avg +9.3%
EPS growth (YoY) −27.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 5.3B SEK FY2025
Net debt 137B SEK FY2025 · ≈ 25.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 21
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 13
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 20
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Fastighets AB Balder (publ) owns, manages, and develops properties in Sweden, Denmark, Finland, Norway, Germany, and the United Kingdom. Its property portfolio comprises offices, shops, warehouses, restaurants, schools, and others, as well as hotel properties. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Fastighets AB reported revenue of 13.7B SEK in FY2025 versus 9.0B SEK in FY2021, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was 7.6B SEK in FY2025, compounding −19.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
13.7B SEK
Latest YoY
+6.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−6.2% · in SEK
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−6.2%
Dividend yield0.0%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −6.2% vs 10Y 1.8%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.126.3% (2020) → 66.7% (2025) · falling
Worst earnings drop150% (2008) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in SEK
Revenue +11.3%/yr
FY21 9.0B SEK
FY22 10.5B SEK
FY23 11.9B SEK
FY24 12.9B SEK
FY25 13.7B SEK
Net income −19.9%/yr
FY21 18.5B SEK
FY22 10.2B SEK
FY23 −6.7B SEK
FY24 3.3B SEK
FY25 7.6B SEK
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −0.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +12.6 %

of which total revenue +15.0 % · buybacks/dilution −2.1 %

EBIT margin −10.2 %
Tax rate −0.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fastighets AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BALD-B

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Real Estate - Diversified · 129 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside +32% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 50% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 66% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.53× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.64× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.31× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 20.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.53× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE75 · sector 47
FUTURE24 · sector 29
PAST28 · sector 17
HEALTH24 · sector 77
DIVIDEND0 · sector 61

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Corem Property Group CORED kr 229.00 kr 121.82 −47%
Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN CHF 124.60 CHF 44.83 −64%
Central Pattana Public Company CPN 66.00 THB 71.37 THB +8%
Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE ₹1,586 ₹645.21 −59%
The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD ₹1,905 ₹701.74 −63%
Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 17.19 SAR 11.60 SAR −33%
Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 ¥2.79 ¥0.3300 −88%
Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO 3,954 CLP 2,740 CLP −31%
Singapore Land Group U06 3.41 SGD 3.23 SGD −5%
The St. Joe Company JOE $67.90 $34.24 −50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Fastighets AB (BALD-B) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 70.70 versus a price of kr 53.72, about +32% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BALD-B?
Our model-based fair value for Fastighets AB is kr 70.70 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 53.72.
What is the quality score of BALD-B?
Fastighets AB has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Fastighets AB (BALD-B)?
Fastighets AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 13.8B SEK (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BALD-B?
The net profit margin of Fastighets AB is about 51.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 51.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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