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BHG Retail REIT (BMGU) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · SG · Market cap 239M SGD

BR BHG Retail REIT BMGU · SG
Price0.4600 SGD
Fair Value0.3500 SGD
Upside-23.9%
Quality61/100
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Evidence: Medium Range 0.1300 SGD – 0.5700 SGD

Fair value as of: Jul 4, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated today

Share price +1.1% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

0.4892 SGD 0.2583 SGD Fair Value 0.3500 SGD Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 0.2583 SGD – 0.4892 SGD · fair‑value band 0.1300 SGD – 0.5700 SGD · the 0.4600 SGD price screens above the 0.3500 SGD fair value. As of Jul 4, 2026.

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Analysis

BHG Retail REIT (BMGU) currently trades at 0.4600 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3500 SGD — implying the stock looks roughly 23.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, BHG Retail REIT generated revenue of 55.1M SGD at a net margin of -3.3%. Revenue declined 8.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.3%. Net debt stands at 279M SGD. Fundamentals as of Jul 4, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 55.1M SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.8%
Net margin -3.3%
Return on equity 0.3%
Free cash flow 14.7M SGD FY2025
Operating margin 46.8%
More key figures
Dividend yield 0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -26.4%
Net debt 279M SGD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

BHG Retail REIT is the first pure-play China Retail REIT sponsored by a leading China integrated retail group. The REIT was listed on the Main Board of the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited on 11 December 2015. The principal investment strategy of BHG Retail REIT is to invest, directly or indirectly, in a diversified portfolio of income-producing real estate which is used primarily for retail purposes (whether either wholly or partially), as well as real estate-related assets in relation to the foregoing, with an initial focus on China. As at 31 December 2025, the REIT's portfolio comprises six retail properties, Beijing Wanliu (60%), Chengdu Konggang, Hefei Mengchenglu, Hefei Changjiangxilu, Xining Huayuan, Dalian Jinsanjiao located in Tier 1, Tier 2 and other cities of significant economic potential in China. The portfolio gross floor area of about 311,691 sqm, has a committed occupancy of 93.4% as at 31 December 2025. As at the latest date of valuation, total …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

BHG Retail REIT reported revenue of 55.1M SGD in FY2025 versus 70.6M SGD in FY2021, a compound −6.0%/yr. Reported net income was −1.8M SGD in FY2025.

Revenue −6.0%/yr
FY21 70.6M SGD
FY22 66.4M SGD
FY23 62.0M SGD
FY24 61.0M SGD
FY25 55.1M SGD
Net income
FY21 7.5M SGD
FY22 6.1M SGD
FY23 −3.8M SGD
FY24 −2.3M SGD
FY25 −1.8M SGD

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Similar stocks

6 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 4, 2026).

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Simon Property Group SPG $222.15 $86.11 -61%
Realty Income Corporation O 1,055 MXN 547.99 MXN -48%
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE UNBLF $117.90 $115.29 -2%
Kimco Realty Corporation KIM $24.69 $14.74 -40%
Scentre Group STGPF $2.73 $2.40 -12%
CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) CPAMF $1.86 $1.06 -43%

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Frequently asked questions

Is BHG Retail REIT (BMGU) undervalued?
As of Jul 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.3500 SGD versus a price of 0.4600 SGD — about −24% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of BMGU?
Our model-based fair value for BHG Retail REIT is 0.3500 SGD (as of Jul 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.4600 SGD.
What is the quality score of BMGU?
BHG Retail REIT has a Quality Score of 61/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of BHG Retail REIT (BMGU)?
BHG Retail REIT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 55.1M SGD (latest available figure, as of Jul 4, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BMGU?
The net profit margin of BHG Retail REIT is about -3.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does BHG Retail REIT pay a dividend?
BHG Retail REIT currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.67% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 4, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.