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Byrna Technologies Inc (BYRN) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $132M

BT Byrna Technologies Inc logo Byrna Technologies Inc BYRN · US
Price$4.45
Fair Value$8.43
Upside+89.4%
Quality52/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 7.3% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/12)
Narrow moat 43/100
Evidence: Medium Range $6.43 – $10.43 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $8.97 to $8.43 (−6.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −25.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 89% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($6.43). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$34.19 $2.24 Fair Value $8.43 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.24 – $34.19 · fair‑value band $6.43 – $10.43 · the $4.45 price screens below the $8.43 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Byrna Technologies Inc (BYRN) currently trades at $4.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.43, implying the stock looks roughly 89.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Byrna Technologies Inc generated revenue of $121M at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $9.8M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.43 (bear case) to $10.43 (bull case); at $4.45, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 89%, BYRN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder $4.26 $5.57 $6.35 72
Growth-Adj P/E $13.68 $19.55 $25.41 68
P/E Multiple $6.73 $8.97 $11.21 63
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $2.65 $4.63 $8.07 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.90 $20.25 $28.42 54
Lynch FV $10.46 $14.95 $19.43 50
PEG = 1.0 $10.46 $14.95 $19.43 46
EPV $3.68 $4.05 $4.35 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $6.73 $8.97 $11.21 63
P/S Multiple $5.44 $7.26 $9.07 58
P/B Multiple $5.44 $7.26 $9.07 55
EV/EBIT $7.25 $9.47 $11.69 53
EV/EBITDA $6.60 $8.60 $10.59 54
EV/Revenue $5.35 $7.38 $9.42 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.45 $1.94 $2.90 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2.59 $3.02 $5.49 61
ROIC Compounder $4.26 $5.57 $6.35 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $13.68 $19.55 $25.41 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($19.55) versus Asset-Based ($1.94). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $121M
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.9%
Net margin 7.3%
Return on equity 14.3%
Free cash flow −$9.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 16.2
More key figures
Operating margin 3.2%
EPS (TTM) $0.3600
EPS growth (YoY) -57.1%
Net cash $9.8M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 3

Profitability 74
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 91
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 47
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 47
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Byrna Technologies Inc., a less-lethal self-defense technology company, develops, manufactures, and sells less-lethal personal security solutions in the United States, South Africa, Europe, South America, Asia, and Canada.

Full company description

Byrna Technologies Inc., a less-lethal self-defense technology company, develops, manufactures, and sells less-lethal personal security solutions in the United States, South Africa, Europe, South America, Asia, and Canada. The company offers handheld personal security devices and shoulder-fired launchers designed for use by consumers and professional security customers without the need for a background check or firearms license; projectiles, such as chemical irritant, kinetic, and inert rounds; self-defense aerosol products comprising Byrna Bad Guy Repellent; and accessories and related safety products, such as Byrna Banshee, Byrna Shield, compressed carbon dioxide canisters, sighting systems, holsters, and Byrna-branded apparel. It sells its products to the consumer market through its Byrna e-commerce store and Amazon storefront, Side Hustle dealer program, premier dealers, and a network of outdoor and sporting goods stores either directly or through distributors; and to the professional security market through Train the trainer program. The company was formerly known as Security Devices International, Inc. and changed its name to Byrna Technologies Inc. in March 2020. Byrna Technologies Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Andover, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Byrna Technologies Inc reported revenue of $118M in FY2025 versus $42.2M in FY2021, a compound +29.4%/yr. Reported net income was $9.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$118M
Latest YoY
+37.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+35.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+48.1%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+99.3%
Revenue +29.4%/yr
FY21 $42.2M
FY22 $48.0M
FY23 $42.6M
FY24 $85.8M
FY25 $118M
Net income
FY21 −$3.3M
FY22 −$7.9M
FY23 −$8.2M
FY24 $12.8M
FY25 $9.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Byrna Technologies Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BYRN

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 226 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +89% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Above median
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 2.01× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 55 · sector 46
PAST 57 · sector 38
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 15

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $381.22 $116.71 -69%
RTX Corporation RTX $195.93 $88.37 -55%
Airbus SE 1AIR €213.25 €86.20 -60%
The Boeing Company BA $217.11 $48.20 -78%
China CSSC Holdings 600150 ¥34.31 ¥21.90 -36%
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co 329180 466,000 KRW 272,966 KRW -41%
Hanwha Aerospace Co 012450 967,000 KRW 573,468 KRW -41%
ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi ASELS 337.50 TRY 130.70 TRY -61%
Saab AB SAABB kr 520.40 kr 212.84 -59%
Kongsberg Gruppen ASA KOG kr 277.50 kr 106.93 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Byrna Technologies Inc (BYRN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $8.43 versus a price of $4.45, about +89% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of BYRN?
Our model-based fair value for Byrna Technologies Inc is $8.43 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.45.
What is the quality score of BYRN?
Byrna Technologies Inc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Byrna Technologies Inc (BYRN)?
Byrna Technologies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $121M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BYRN?
The net profit margin of Byrna Technologies Inc is about 7.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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