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Christian Dior SE (CDI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · FR · Market cap €81.5B · ISIN FR0000130403

What is Christian Dior SE really worth?

CD Christian Dior SE CDI · PA
Price€393.80
Fair Value€552.53
Upside+40.3%
Quality59/100

A solid business, trading 29% below our fair value of €552.53.

As of Sep 4, 2026, the fair value of Christian Dior SE is €552.53 per share against a price of €393.80, so the fair value sits 40% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +12.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 5.6% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Moderate moat 57/100

For context

·3.63% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range €359.70 – €690.66

Fair value as of: Sep 4, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −9.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (€359.70 to €690.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€798.10 €390.20 Fair Value €552.53 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €390.20 – €798.10 · fair‑value band €359.70 – €690.66 · the €393.80 price screens below the €552.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 4, 2026.

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Analysis

Christian Dior SE (CDI) currently trades at €393.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €552.53, implying the stock looks roughly 28.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €622.73 per share, and 13 of the 26 models we run sit above the €393.80 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €91.09, and 13 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Christian Dior SE generated revenue of €80.8B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue declined 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. Net debt stands at €40.8B. Fundamentals as of Sep 4, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €359.70 (bear case) to €690.66 (bull case); at €393.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 40%, CDI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €7.37 per share, which is 1.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF €376.44 €627.23 €1,031 77
Growth DCF €379.36 €623.49 €1,014 76
Owner Earnings €384.12 €639.94 €1,051 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €376.44 €627.23 €1,031 77
Owner Earnings €384.12 €639.94 €1,051 74
5Y Revenue Exit €219.55 €330.87 €471.01 71
5Y EBITDA Exit €432.52 €745.14 €1,121 73
5Y P/E Exit €369.59 €622.73 €896.99 69
10Y Revenue Exit €266.42 €384.84 €543.76 66
10Y EBITDA Exit €409.20 €678.67 €1,058 66
10Y P/E Exit €368.45 €591.84 €881.04 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €170.78 €634.55 €857.58 64
Lynch FV €152.42 €217.75 €283.07 61
PEG = 1.0 €152.42 €217.75 €283.07 57
EPV €252.24 €295.59 €333.51 73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €142.01 €295.28 €468.43 66
DDM Multi-Stage €142.01 €248.99 €309.90 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple €414.40 €552.53 €690.66 63
P/S Multiple €163.54 €218.06 €272.57 57
P/B Multiple €320.22 €426.95 €533.69 55
EV/EBIT €528.76 €707.62 €886.48 65
EV/EBITDA €511.79 €684.99 €858.20 67
EV/Revenue €144.82 €210.24 €275.66 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €67.98 €91.09 €135.95 53
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €379.36 €623.49 €1,014 76
Rev-Margin DCF €219.55 €333.85 €473.22 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income €161.06 €200.79 €529.12 68
ROIC Compounder €278.25 €366.64 €477.81 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €291.28 €416.11 €540.95 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€622.73) versus Asset-Based (€91.09). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 15.7
P/S ratio 0.88 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) €25.11 price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.7
Dividend yield 3.6% payout 56.9%
Net margin 5.6% FY2025
Return on equity 16.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 14.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 19.8% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €80.8B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −4.7% 3y avg +0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) −1.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow €14.3B FY2025
Net debt €40.8B FY2025 · ≈ 2.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Christian Dior SE, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and retail of fashion and leather goods, wines and spirits, perfumes and cosmetics, and watches and jewelry in France, rest of Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, the United States, and internationally.

Full company description

Christian Dior SE, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and retail of fashion and leather goods, wines and spirits, perfumes and cosmetics, and watches and jewelry in France, rest of Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, the United States, and internationally. It offers its fashion and leather goods under the Louis Vuitton, Fendi, Celine, Loewe, Givenchy, Kenzo, Berluti, Pucci, Loro Piana, and Rimowa brands; and wines and spirits under the Hennessy, Moët & Chandon, Dom Pérignon, Veuve Clicquot, Krug, Château d'Yquem, Belvedere, Glenmorangie, Bodega Numanthia, Château d'Esclans, Armand de Brignac, Joseph Phelps, and Château Minuty brands. The company also provides perfumes and cosmetics under the Parfums Christian Dior, Guerlain, Parfums Givenchy, Make Up For Ever, Benefit Cosmetics, Fresh, Acqua di Parma, Fenty, Ole Henriksen, Maison Francis Kurkdjian, and Officine Universelle Buly 1803 brand names; and watches and jewelry under the Tiffany, Bvlgari, TAG Heuer, Zenith, Hublot, Chaumet, Fred, L'Epée 1839, and Repossi brands. In addition, it operates retail stores under the Sephora and Le Bon Marché names; publishes Le Parisien-Aujourd'hui en France, a daily newspaper, Paris Match magazine, the Royal Van Lent-Feadship brand, and La Samaritaine; and operates hotel and the Cova pastry shop brand. Further, the company is involved in real estate activities. It sells its products through store network, including e-commerce websites; and agents and distributors. The company was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Paris, France. Christian Dior SE is a subsidiary of Financière Agache Société Anonyme.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Christian Dior SE reported revenue of €80.8B in FY2025 versus €64.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was €4.5B in FY2025, compounding −2.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 86/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€80.8B
Latest YoY
−4.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+12.6% · in EUR
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+9.0%
Dividend yield3.6%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 9.0% vs 10Y 7.9%, steady
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17.8% (2020) → 21.9% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop52% (2012) · in EUR
Revenue +5.9%/yr
FY21 €64.2B
FY22 €79.2B
FY23 €86.2B
FY24 €84.7B
FY25 €80.8B
Net income −2.2%/yr
FY21 €4.9B
FY22 €5.8B
FY23 €6.3B
FY24 €5.2B
FY25 €4.5B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +11.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.0 %

of which total revenue +9.0 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin +2.9 %
Tax rate +0.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.2 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Christian Dior SE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CDI

Peer Group

Luxury Goods · 135 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +40% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Above median
Return on assets 18% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth −5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.51× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.86× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.89× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 16.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.18× · Pricier than 75% of peers

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Christian Dior SE deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years-3.6 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+12.6 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+2.6 %
FCF yield on price20.15 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models9.4 %

The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE87 · sector 10
FUTURE0 · sector 50
PAST67 · sector 40
HEALTH75 · sector 99
DIVIDEND73 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 4, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Hermès International Société en commandite par actions RMS €1,598 €950.24 −41%
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 192.15 CHF 119.49 −38%
Titan Company TITAN ₹5,106 ₹972.23 −81%
Tapestry, Inc TPR $153.74 $19.95 −87%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$12.31 HK$11.51 −6%
The Swatch Group UHRN CHF 36.35 CHF 8.46 −77%
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$40.86 HK$64.71 +58%
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 783.00 kr 1,424 +82%
Laopu Gold Co 6181 HK$385.00 HK$654.83 +70%
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC €89.08 €34.90 −61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Christian Dior SE (CDI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €552.53 versus a price of €393.80, about +40% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CDI?
Our model-based fair value for Christian Dior SE is €552.53 (as of Sep 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €393.80.
What is the quality score of CDI?
Christian Dior SE has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Christian Dior SE (CDI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €552.53 (as of Sep 4, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario €359.70, optimistic scenario €690.66. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Christian Dior SE stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €552.53, about +40% upside versus a price of €393.80 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €359.70, optimistic scenario €690.66. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Christian Dior SE (CDI)?
Christian Dior SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €80.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 4, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CDI?
The net profit margin of Christian Dior SE is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Christian Dior SE pay a dividend?
Christian Dior SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.63% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Christian Dior SE (CDI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Christian Dior SE would have to grow free cash flow by -3.6 % per year for ten years (discount rate 9.4 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.6 % per year. As of Sep 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CDI use?
Our models discount Christian Dior SE at 9.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.86, country premium for France. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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