Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A $45.64, price $34.17, upside +33.6%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.63 – $36.75 · fair‑value band $34.02 – $71.44 · the $34.17 price screens below the $45.64 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Logista Integral, S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates as a distributor and logistics operator in Spain, France, Italy, Portugal, and Poland.
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Logista Integral, S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates as a distributor and logistics operator in Spain, France, Italy, Portugal, and Poland. The company distributes a range of products and services, including tobacco products; convenience products; pharmaceutical products; electronic top-ups; books; fiscal stamps, postage stamps, and other official documents; and periodicals, collectibles, and magazines. It also provides parcel and express courier, temperature-controlled capillary transport, and long distance and full load transportation services. Logista Integral, S.A. serves clients in various sectors comprising tobacco, publications, books, e-transactions, transport, pharmaceutical, and public sectors. Logista Integral, S.A. was formerly known as Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings, S.A. and changed its name to Logista Integral, S.A. in February 2024. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Leganés, Spain. Logista Integral, S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Altadis S.A.
Stock analysis
Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF) currently trades at $34.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $45.64, implying the stock looks roughly 25.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $52.88 per share, and 17 of the 25 models we run sit above the $34.17 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $14.02, and 8 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $34.02 (bear) to $71.44 (bull), the price of $34.17 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A reported revenue of €13.6B in FY2025 versus €10.8B in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was €282M in FY2025, compounding +12.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $4.5B · P/E ratio 14.7 · P/S ratio 0.31 · EPS (TTM) $2.32 · Dividend yield 5.9% · Net margin 2.1% · Return on equity 45.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 34%, CDNIF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $34.02Fair Value $45.64Bull $71.44
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.3049 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.7% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.4%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+17.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)5.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.11% vs 10%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−12.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −14.3% a year for the price.
Compare Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
P/B7.01× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CDNIF
Frequently asked questions
Is Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $45.64 versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $34.17, about +34% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CDNIF?
Our model-based fair value for Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A is $45.64 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): $34.17.
What is the quality score of CDNIF?
Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $45.64 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $34.02, optimistic scenario $71.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $45.64, about +34% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $34.17 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $34.02, optimistic scenario $71.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF)?
Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €13.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A pay a dividend?
Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.88% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A would have to grow free cash flow by -12.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CDNIF use?
Our models discount Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.44, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A that is -12.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A grew +5.1 % a year. The price currently implies -12.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (-12.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.06 %: that much free cash flow Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A it is $45.64 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $34.17. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CDNIF trades below its calculated fair value: price $34.17, fair value $45.64, a gap of about +34% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CDNIF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($34.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($45.64). For Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A the two are $11.47 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A worth?
The market values Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A at about $4.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $34.17; our models calculate a fair value of $45.64 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CDNIF?
Our models span a range for Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A: cautious scenario $34.02, base $45.64, optimistic $71.44 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $34.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CDNIF?
Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $45.64 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 7.0, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 11.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 45.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CDNIF from its 52-week high?
Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A trades at $34.17, about 7% below its 52-week high of $36.75 and 17% above the low of $29.14 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $45.64 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $34.17, calculated fair value $45.64 (+34%), Quality Score 62/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CDNIF calculated?
We run Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $45.64, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A currently trades 34 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at $34.17. Our model-based fair value is $45.64, about +34% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A right now?
Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($34.02 to $71.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF) come from?
Earnings per share at Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A grew +10.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.6 %, EBIT margin +4.2 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF)?
The market capitalisation of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A is $4.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A is 0.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF)?
Earnings per share at Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A are $2.32 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF)?
The dividend yield of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A is 5.9% (payout 86.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF)?
The net margin of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A is 2.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A is 45.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A is 3.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF)?
The operating margin of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF)?
Revenue at Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A is growing +2.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF)?
Earnings per share at Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A are growing −12.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A (CDNIF) carry?
The net debt of Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings S.A is €100M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026