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Logista Integral, S.A (CDNIF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $4.5B

LI Logista Integral, S.A logo Logista Integral, S.A CDNIF · US
Price$34.17
Fair Value$45.97
Upside+34.5%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.9% net margin
generates free cash flow
5.88% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range $34.29 – $57.66 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from $45.66 to $45.97 (+0.7%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, screening 35% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from $34.29 (bear) to $57.66 (bull), base $45.97. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 62/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$36.75 $10.63 Fair Value $45.97 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.63 – $36.75 · fair‑value band $34.29 – $57.66 · the $34.17 price screens below the $45.97 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Logista Integral, S.A (CDNIF) currently trades at $34.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $45.97, implying the stock looks roughly 34.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Logista Integral, S.A generated revenue of $13.7B at a net margin of 1.9%. Revenue grew 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 45.7%. Net debt stands at $100M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $34.29 (bear case) to $57.66 (bull case); at $34.17, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 35%, CDNIF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $11.76 $14.02 $52.97 76
Growth DCF $45.95 $63.82 $87.58 72
Gordon GGM $18.34 $35.36 $55.35 70
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $45.00 $64.70 $92.25 38
Owner Earnings $33.06 $47.37 $67.39 31
5Y Revenue Exit $30.50 $42.55 $57.16 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $37.37 $54.96 $74.65 41
5Y P/E Exit $36.10 $52.67 $69.29 38
10Y Revenue Exit $35.05 $46.86 $61.25 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $39.88 $55.13 $73.90 37
10Y P/E Exit $39.10 $53.60 $70.02 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $14.49 $37.76 $49.24 54
PEG = 1.0 $7.17 $10.25 $13.32 46
EPV $16.25 $18.61 $20.64 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $18.34 $35.36 $55.35 70
DDM Multi-Stage $18.34 $27.72 $37.39 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $33.56 $44.75 $55.94 63
P/S Multiple $27.17 $36.23 $45.28 58
P/B Multiple $16.44 $21.92 $27.40 55
EV/EBIT $31.97 $42.19 $52.41 53
EV/EBITDA $37.18 $49.14 $61.09 54
EV/Revenue $23.20 $32.57 $41.95 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.44 $3.26 $4.87 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $45.95 $63.82 $87.58 72
Rev-Margin DCF $30.50 $43.18 $57.32 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income $11.76 $14.02 $52.97 76
ROIC Compounder $16.79 $19.87 $22.96 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $26.19 $37.41 $48.64 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($52.67) versus Asset-Based ($3.26). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $13.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.0%
Net margin 1.9%
Return on equity 45.7%
Free cash flow $557M FY2025
P/E ratio 14.7
More key figures
Operating margin 2.3%
EPS (TTM) $2.32
Dividend yield 5.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -12.5%
Net debt $100M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 96
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Logista Integral, S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates as a distributor and logistics operator in Spain, France, Italy, Portugal, and Poland.

Full company description

Logista Integral, S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates as a distributor and logistics operator in Spain, France, Italy, Portugal, and Poland. The company distributes a range of products and services, including tobacco products; convenience products; pharmaceutical products; electronic top-ups; books; fiscal stamps, postage stamps, and other official documents; and periodicals, collectibles, and magazines. It also provides parcel and express courier, temperature-controlled capillary transport, and long distance and full load transportation services. Logista Integral, S.A. serves clients in various sectors comprising tobacco, publications, books, e-transactions, transport, pharmaceutical, and public sectors. Logista Integral, S.A. was formerly known as Compañía de Distribución Integral Logista Holdings, S.A. and changed its name to Logista Integral, S.A. in February 2024. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Leganés, Spain. Logista Integral, S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Altadis S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Logista Integral, S.A reported revenue of $13.6B in FY2025 versus $10.8B in FY2021, a compound +5.8%/yr. Reported net income was $282M in FY2025, compounding +12.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$13.6B
Latest YoY
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (14Y)
+6.4%
Revenue +5.8%/yr
FY21 $10.8B
FY22 $11.5B
FY23 $12.4B
FY24 $13.0B
FY25 $13.6B
Net income +12.8%/yr
FY21 $174M
FY22 $199M
FY23 $272M
FY24 $308M
FY25 $282M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Logista Integral, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CDNIF

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +35% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 46% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth 2% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.9% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 7.02× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.33× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.1× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 79 · sector 45
FUTURE 10 · sector 8
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $117.72 $104.58 -11%
FedEx Corporation FDX $314.69 $347.68 +10%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.22 €53.18 -7%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,660 kr 712.57 -57%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 209.90 CHF 147.92 -30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $291.41 $133.80 -54%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.91 ¥48.64 +52%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $193.50 $86.56 -55%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $172.02 $115.95 -33%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$181.40 HK$241.93 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Logista Integral, S.A (CDNIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $45.97 versus a price of $34.17, about +35% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CDNIF?
Our model-based fair value for Logista Integral, S.A is $45.97 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $34.17.
What is the quality score of CDNIF?
Logista Integral, S.A has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Logista Integral, S.A (CDNIF)?
Logista Integral, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $13.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CDNIF?
The net profit margin of Logista Integral, S.A is about 1.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Logista Integral, S.A pay a dividend?
Logista Integral, S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.88% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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