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Celanese Corporation (CE) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $5.0B

CC Celanese Corporation logo Celanese Corporation CE · US
Price$43.89
Fair Value$49.48
Upside+12.7%
Quality43/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -11.6% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
0.25% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: High Range $9.90 – $49.48 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $24.74 to $49.48 (+100.0%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price −7.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 13% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($9.90 to $49.48). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Our model range runs from $9.90 (bear) to $49.48 (bull), base $49.48. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 43/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$168.69 $35.49 Fair Value $49.48 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $35.49 – $168.69 · fair‑value band $9.90 – $49.48 · the $43.89 price screens below the $49.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Celanese Corporation (CE) currently trades at $43.89, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $49.48, implying the stock looks roughly 12.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Celanese Corporation generated revenue of $9.5B at a net margin of -11.6%. Revenue declined 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -21.1%. Net debt stands at $11.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.90 (bear case) to $49.48 (bull case); at $43.89, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 13%, CE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $9.54 $44.00 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.33 $36.18 74
Gordon GGM $1.04 $1.58 $2.15 70
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.32 $47.65 38
5Y Revenue Exit $2.28 $38.70 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $37.75 $87.73 41
10Y Revenue Exit $0.0200 $32.12 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $23.30 $66.65 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.04 $1.58 $2.15 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.04 $1.48 $1.95 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $5.54 $30.01 53
EV/EBITDA $13.21 $48.41 $83.61 54
EV/Revenue $25.82 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $18.46 $24.74 $36.92 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $9.54 $44.00 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.33 $36.18 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($24.74) versus Dividend Discount ($1.48). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $9.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.2%
Net margin -11.6%
Return on equity -21.1%
Free cash flow $803M FY2025
Operating margin 8.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-9.86
Dividend yield 0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +28.2%
Net debt $11.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 8
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 13
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 97
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 80
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Celanese Corporation produces and sells engineered polymers worldwide. It operates through Engineered Materials and Acetyl Chain segments.

Full company description

Celanese Corporation produces and sells engineered polymers worldwide. It operates through Engineered Materials and Acetyl Chain segments. The company offers ethylene acrylic elastomers, ethylene vinyl acetate pharmaceutical grade copolymers, liquid crystal polymers, long-fiber reinforced thermoplastics, nylon and polypropylene compounds and formulations, polyoxymethylene, ultra-high molecular weight polyethylene, and thermoplastic elastomers, polyesters, and vulcanizates for use in appliance, automotive, construction, consumer apparel, consumer electronics, electrical, energy storage, filtration equipment, industrial, medical, and telecommunication applications. It also provides acetic acid and anhydride, acetate flakes and tows, butyl acetates, emulsion polymers, ethyl acetates, ethylene vinyl acetate resins and compounds, formaldehydes, redispersible powders, and vinyl acetate monomers for use in adhesives, automotive parts, coatings, consumer goods, external thermal insulation composite systems, films, filtration, flexible packaging, food and beverage, food packaging, inks, lamination, lubricants, paints, paper finishing, pharmaceuticals, plasticizers, plasters and renders, solvents, textiles, and tiling applications. The company offers its products under the Amcel, AOPlus, Ateva, Avicor, Celanese, Celanex, Celanyl, Celcon, Celstran, Celvolit, Clarifoil, Crastin, Dur-O-Set, Dytron, ECOMID, EcoVAE, Elotex, Factor, Flexbond, Forprene, FRIANYL, Fortron, Geolast, GHR, GUR, Hostaform, Hytrel, Laprene, Melinex, MetaLX, Mowilith, MT, Mylar, NILAMID, Nylfor, OmniLon, Pibifor, Pibiter, Polifor, Resyn, Rynite, Santoprene, SlideX, Sofprene, Sofpur, Talcoprene, Tarnoform, Tecnoprene, TufCOR, Tynex, Vamac, VAntage, Vectra, Vinac, Vinamul, VitalDose, Zenite, and Zytel brands. It sells its products directly to customers and through distributors; and original equipment manufacturers and suppliers. Celanese Corporation was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Celanese Corporation reported revenue of $9.5B in FY2025 versus $8.5B in FY2021, a compound +2.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.2B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$9.5B
Latest YoY
−7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+11.0%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y)
+3.9%
Revenue +2.8%/yr
FY21 $8.5B
FY22 $9.7B
FY23 $10.9B
FY24 $10.3B
FY25 $9.5B
Net income
FY21 $1.9B
FY22 $1.9B
FY23 $2.0B
FY24 −$1.5B
FY25 −$1.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Celanese Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CE

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Chemicals · 334 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside +13% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.3% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 2.81× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.24× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.53× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 6.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 4.42× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 50 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 19
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 5 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Celanese Corporation (CE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $49.48 versus a price of $43.89, about +13% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CE?
Our model-based fair value for Celanese Corporation is $49.48 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $43.89.
What is the quality score of CE?
Celanese Corporation has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Celanese Corporation (CE)?
Celanese Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CE?
The net profit margin of Celanese Corporation is about -11.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Celanese Corporation pay a dividend?
Celanese Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.22% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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