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CEMTS Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · Market cap 4.4B TRY

C CEMTS CEMTS · IS
Price8.78 TRY
Fair Value12.10 TRY
Upside+37.8%
Quality31/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -3.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Medium Range 9.02 TRY – 15.18 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated today

Share price −10.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 38% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (9.02 TRY). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

16.47 TRY 2.23 TRY Fair Value 12.10 TRY Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2.23 TRY – 16.47 TRY · fair‑value band 9.02 TRY – 15.18 TRY · the 8.78 TRY price screens below the 12.10 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

CEMTS (CEMTS) currently trades at 8.78 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.10 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 37.8% undervalued today. We read business quality at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, CEMTS generated revenue of 6.1B TRY at a net margin of -3.0%. Revenue declined 9.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.0%. Net debt stands at 112M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 9.02 TRY (bear case) to 15.18 TRY (bull case); at 8.78 TRY, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 38%, CEMTS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder 5.73 TRY 6.49 TRY 7.14 TRY 72
Gordon GGM 2.30 TRY 4.58 TRY 6.93 TRY 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2.30 TRY 3.96 TRY 4.83 TRY 61
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV 5.73 TRY 6.49 TRY 7.14 TRY 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 2.30 TRY 4.58 TRY 6.93 TRY 70
DDM Multi-Stage 2.30 TRY 3.96 TRY 4.83 TRY 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT 12.81 TRY 16.77 TRY 20.73 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 16.87 TRY 22.18 TRY 27.49 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 8.94 TRY 12.37 TRY 15.81 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 6.52 TRY 8.74 TRY 13.05 TRY 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder 5.73 TRY 6.49 TRY 7.14 TRY 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (16.77 TRY) versus Dividend Discount (3.96 TRY). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.1B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.8%
Net margin -3.0%
Return on equity -3.0%
Free cash flow −211M TRY FY2025
Operating margin 1.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.3700 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) +40.5%
Net debt 112M TRY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 29
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

CEMTS reported revenue of 6.3B TRY in FY2025 versus 1.5B TRY in FY2021, a compound +42.7%/yr. Reported net income was −116M TRY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
6.3B TRY
Latest YoY
−17.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+23.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+51.4%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+21.0%
Revenue +42.7%/yr
FY21 1.5B TRY
FY22 3.3B TRY
FY23 7.2B TRY
FY24 7.6B TRY
FY25 6.3B TRY
Net income
FY21 403M TRY
FY22 954M TRY
FY23 119M TRY
FY24 −39.0M TRY
FY25 −116M TRY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "CEMTS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CEMTS

Peer Group

Steel · 379 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +38% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth -10% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.20× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.50× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 84 · sector 23
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 0 · sector 15
HEALTH 90 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,227 ₹1,140 -7%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹185.26 ₹147.13 -21%
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 ¥5.89 ¥8.07 +37%
China Steel Corporation 2002A 38.55 TWD 8.74 TWD -77%
POSCO Holdings 005490 313,500 KRW 155,270 KRW -50%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 13,670 ARS 15,940 ARS +17%
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,028 ₹545.12 -47%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,844 ₹1,098 -40%
SSAB AB SSABA kr 96.04 kr 72.43 -25%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 42.64 MXN -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is CEMTS overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 12.10 TRY versus a price of 8.78 TRY, about +38% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CEMTS?
Our model-based fair value for CEMTS is 12.10 TRY (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 8.78 TRY.
What is the quality score of CEMTS?
CEMTS has a Quality Score of 31/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of CEMTS?
CEMTS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.1B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CEMTS?
The net profit margin of CEMTS is about -3.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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