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Century Aluminum Company (CENX) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $6.6B

Price$47.33
Fair Value$12.72
Upside-73.1%
Quality88/100
Evidence: Medium Range $6.04 – $22.27

Analysis

Century Aluminum Company (CENX) currently trades at $47.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.72 — implying the stock looks roughly 73.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 88/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

About the company

Century Aluminum Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces primary aluminum and alumina in the United States and Iceland. The company engages in the production of standard-grade and value-added primary aluminum products. It also owns and operates a carbon anode production facility in Vlissingen, the Netherlands; and operates aluminum reduction facilities or smelters; and bauxite mining and alumina refining in Jamaica. The company was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Chicago, Illinois.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.