Cargojet Inc (CJT) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CA · Market cap C$1.3B
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from C$107.24 to C$91.37 (−14.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from C$68.53 (bear) to C$114.22 (bull), base C$91.37. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 48/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$66.68 – C$199.52 · fair‑value band C$68.53 – C$114.22 · the C$86.81 price screens below the C$91.37 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Cargojet Inc (CJT) currently trades at C$86.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$91.37, implying the stock looks roughly 5.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Cargojet Inc generated revenue of C$998M at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue grew 1.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. Net debt stands at C$1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$68.53 (bear case) to C$114.22 (bull case); at C$86.81, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 5%, CJT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$107.24) versus Economic Profit (C$5.99). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cargojet Inc. provides time-sensitive overnight air cargo services and carries in Canada. It operates domestic air cargo network services between Canadian cities; and provides aircraft to customers on an aircraft, crew, maintenance, and insurance basis operating between points in Canada, North America, South America, and Europe.
Full company description
Cargojet Inc. provides time-sensitive overnight air cargo services and carries in Canada. It operates domestic air cargo network services between Canadian cities; and provides aircraft to customers on an aircraft, crew, maintenance, and insurance basis operating between points in Canada, North America, South America, and Europe. The company also operates scheduled and ad hoc international routes for a range of cargo customers between the United States and Bermuda; Canada and Europe, Asia, and Mexico, the United Kingdom, and other international destinations. In addition, it offers domestic air cargo services for various international airlines between points in Canada that connect airlines' gateways to Canada; aircraft to customers on an ad hoc and scheduled basis; cargo and passenger charters in weekends; operates ad hoc charter business for cargo targets, including livestock shipments, military equipment, emergency relief supplies, and virtually any large shipments in North America, the Caribbean, and Europe. Further, the company is involved in aircraft operation and maintenance, flight planning and dispatch, crew planning and training, ground handling, and commercial airline cargo management businesses. It operates a fleet of 41 aircraft. Cargojet Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Mississauga, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cargojet Inc reported revenue of C$993M in FY2025 versus C$758M in FY2021, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was C$80.2M in FY2025, compounding −16.8%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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