Culpeo Minerals Ltd (CPO) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · AU · Market cap A$9.5M
Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 55 days ago
Below-average quality, screening 155% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (19/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0230). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
59‑month range A$0.0090 – A$0.4200 · fair‑value band A$0.0230 – A$0.0383 · the A$0.0120 price screens below the A$0.0306 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 25, 2026.
Analysis
Culpeo Minerals Ltd (CPO) currently trades at A$0.0120, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0306, implying the stock looks roughly 155.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at A$6.2K. Revenue grew 11.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -23.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of A$2.0M. Fundamentals as of Jun 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0230 (bear case) to A$0.0383 (bull case); at A$0.0120, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 155%, CPO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Culpeo Minerals Limited engages in the exploration and development of copper systems in the Coquimbo region of Chile. It holds 50% interest in Lana Corina Project located in Coquimbo region of Chile. The company explores for copper, molybdenum, silver, and gold deposits. Culpeo Minerals Limited was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Fremantle, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Culpeo Minerals Ltd reported revenue of A$6.2K in FY2025 versus A$2.7K in FY2021, a compound +23.0%/yr. Reported net income was −A$1.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Copper · 60 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Copper median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Copper stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Copper Corporation SCCO | $194.89 | $85.17 | -56% |
| Freeport-McMoRan Inc FCX | $69.22 | $22.81 | -67% |
| First Quantum Minerals Ltd FM | C$43.46 | C$16.35 | -62% |
| Lundin Mining Corporation LUN | C$35.53 | C$22.65 | -36% |
| Jiangxi Copper Company 600362 | ¥46.47 | ¥35.19 | -24% |
| KGHM Polska Miedz S.A KGH | 367.15 PLN | 275.91 PLN | -25% |
| Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group 000630 | ¥6.37 | ¥3.06 | -52% |
| MMG Limited 1208 | HK$9.08 | HK$5.29 | -42% |
| Hudbay Minerals Inc HBM | C$38.79 | C$21.25 | -45% |
| Zhejiang Hailiang Co 002203 | ¥19.78 | ¥6.39 | -68% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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