Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 12, 2026: fair value of Chukai Public Company Limited THB 0.82, price THB 0.31, upside +164.5%, quality 47 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Chukai Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, trades, repairs, maintains, and rents cranes, forklifts, trailers, excavators, and trucks in Thailand.
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Chukai Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, trades, repairs, maintains, and rents cranes, forklifts, trailers, excavators, and trucks in Thailand. It rents cranes, including crawler, all-terrain, truck, and rough-terrain cranes; and heavy-duty machinery, such as tractor trucks, trailer tails, forklifts, container forklifts, drilling rigs, diaphragm walls grab cars, and other heavy machinery. The company also provides repair services for heavy duty machinery. Chukai Public Company Limited was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Samut Prakan, Thailand.
Stock analysis
Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE) currently trades at 0.3100 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.8200 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 62.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 0.8700 THB per share, and 9 of the 10 models we run sit above the 0.3100 THB price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.1200 THB, and 1 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.6800 THB (bear) to 1.07 THB (bull), the price of 0.3100 THB sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Chukai Public Company Limited reported revenue of 245M THB in FY2025 versus 524M THB in FY2021, a compound −17.3%/yr. Reported net income was −129M THB in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 235M THB (≈ $7.0M) · P/S ratio 1.14 · EPS (TTM) −0.1400 THB · Net margin −52.7% · Return on equity −14.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.4% · Operating margin −30.2% · Revenue (TTM) 213M THB.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at 165%, CRANE screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.6800 THBFair Value 0.8200 THBBull 1.07 THB
Price 0.3100 THB · Upside +164.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.23/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−27.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−24.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −11.8% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.6% (2020) → −36.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.4% a year for the price.
Compare Chukai Public Company Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Rental & Leasing Services · 90 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chukai Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CRANE
Frequently asked questions
Is Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.8200 THB versus a price of 0.3100 THB, about +165% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CRANE?
Our model-based fair value for Chukai Public Company Limited is 0.8200 THB (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.3100 THB.
What is the quality score of CRANE?
Chukai Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.8200 THB (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.6800 THB, optimistic scenario 1.07 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Chukai Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.8200 THB, about +165% upside versus a price of 0.3100 THB (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.6800 THB, optimistic scenario 1.07 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE)?
Chukai Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 213M THB (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Chukai Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +1.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -23.1 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CRANE use?
Our models discount Chukai Public Company Limited at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.17, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Chukai Public Company Limited that is +1.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Chukai Public Company Limited grew -23.1 % a year. The price currently implies +1.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Chukai Public Company Limited (+1.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 20.63 %: that much free cash flow Chukai Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Chukai Public Company Limited it is 0.8200 THB per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 0.3100 THB. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Chukai Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, CRANE trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.3100 THB, fair value 0.8200 THB, a gap of about +165% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CRANE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.3100 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.8200 THB). For Chukai Public Company Limited the two are 0.5100 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Chukai Public Company Limited worth?
The market values Chukai Public Company Limited at about 235M THB (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 0.3100 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.8200 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CRANE?
Our models span a range for Chukai Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 0.6800 THB, base 0.8200 THB, optimistic 1.07 THB per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 0.3100 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Chukai Public Company Limited (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity −14.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CRANE from its 52-week high?
Chukai Public Company Limited trades at 0.3100 THB, about 37% below its 52-week high of 0.4900 THB and 3% above the low of 0.3000 THB (as of Oct 12, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.8200 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Chukai Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Rentals, Inc, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, AerCap Holdings, U-Haul Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Chukai Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 0.3100 THB, calculated fair value 0.8200 THB (+165%), Quality Score 47/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CRANE calculated?
We run Chukai Public Company Limited through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.8200 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Chukai Public Company Limited currently trades 62 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE)?
The closing price on Oct 12, 2026 was 0.3100 THB. Our model-based fair value is 0.8200 THB, about +165% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Chukai Public Company Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.6800 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Chukai Public Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE)?
The market capitalisation of Chukai Public Company Limited is 235M THB (≈ $7.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Chukai Public Company Limited is 1.14 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE)?
Earnings per share at Chukai Public Company Limited are −0.1400 THB. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE)?
The net margin of Chukai Public Company Limited is −52.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Chukai Public Company Limited is −14.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Chukai Public Company Limited is −0.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE)?
The operating margin of Chukai Public Company Limited is −30.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE)?
Revenue at Chukai Public Company Limited is growing −5.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −24.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE)?
Earnings per share at Chukai Public Company Limited are growing −87.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE) carry?
The net debt of Chukai Public Company Limited is 721M THB (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 14.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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