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Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TH · Market cap 288M THB (≈ $8.7M) · ISIN TH0970010003

CP Chukai Public Company Limited CRANE · BK
Price0.3200 THB
Fair Value0.5100 THB
Upside+59.4%
Quality46/100
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Strengths

Trades 37% below our fair value of 0.5100 THB
Low debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −23.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -53.5% net margin
!Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
!Narrow moat 8/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −23.1 %/yr)
Loss-making · -53.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Medium Range 0.4000 THB – 0.6200 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 0.5800 THB to 0.5100 THB (−12.1%) since Jul 14, 2026. Share price −13.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, trading 37% below our fair value.

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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.4000 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2.00 THB 0.3100 THB Fair Value 0.5100 THB Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.3100 THB – 2.00 THB · fair‑value band 0.4000 THB – 0.6200 THB · the 0.3200 THB price screens below the 0.5100 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE) currently trades at 0.3200 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5100 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 59.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Chukai Public Company Limited generated revenue of 216M THB at a net margin of -53.5%. Revenue declined 40.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.5%. Net debt stands at 721M THB. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.4000 THB (bear case) to 0.6200 THB (bull case); at 0.3200 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 59%, CRANE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.4700 THB 0.5800 THB 0.7500 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.4100 THB 0.5800 THB 0.7900 THB 74
EV/EBITDA 0.0900 THB 0.1200 THB 0.1500 THB 54
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.4600 THB 0.5800 THB 0.7700 THB 38
5Y Revenue Exit 0.4100 THB 0.5700 THB 0.8000 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.2600 THB 0.3000 THB 0.3600 THB 41
10Y Revenue Exit 0.4200 THB 0.5300 THB 0.6400 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.3500 THB 0.3900 THB 0.4200 THB 37
Multiples
EV/EBITDA 0.0900 THB 0.1200 THB 0.1500 THB 54
EV/Revenue 0.4000 THB 0.5800 THB 0.7500 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.4600 THB 0.6200 THB 0.9300 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.4700 THB 0.5800 THB 0.7500 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.4100 THB 0.5800 THB 0.7900 THB 74

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.6200 THB) versus Multiples (0.1200 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 1.34 TTM
EPS (TTM) -0.1500 THB
Net margin -52.7% FY2025
Return on equity -15.5% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) -0.4% avg 5y
Operating margin -12.8% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 216M THB TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -40.1% 3y avg -24.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -87.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 48.5M THB FY2025
Net debt 721M THB FY2025 · ≈ 14.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 6
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 35
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Chukai Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, trades, repairs, maintains, and rents cranes, forklifts, trailers, excavators, and trucks in Thailand.

Full company description

Chukai Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, trades, repairs, maintains, and rents cranes, forklifts, trailers, excavators, and trucks in Thailand. It rents cranes, including crawler, all-terrain, truck, and rough-terrain cranes; and heavy-duty machinery, such as tractor trucks, trailer tails, forklifts, container forklifts, drilling rigs, diaphragm walls grab cars, and other heavy machinery. The company also provides repair services for heavy duty machinery. Chukai Public Company Limited was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Samut Prakan, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chukai Public Company Limited reported revenue of 245M THB in FY2025 versus 524M THB in FY2021, a compound −17.3%/yr. Reported net income was −129M THB in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
245M THB
Latest YoY
−27.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−24.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−23.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.7%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −17.3%/yr
FY21 524M THB
FY22 561M THB
FY23 423M THB
FY24 339M THB
FY25 245M THB
Net income
FY21 −190M THB
FY22 −190M THB
FY23 93.7M THB
FY24 3.0M THB
FY25 −129M THB

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chukai Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CRANE

Peer Group

Rental & Leasing Services · 97 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside +59% · Above median
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -53% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -40% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Rental & Leasing Services median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 58
FUTURE0 · sector 28
PAST0 · sector 26
HEALTH100 · sector 69
DIVIDEND0 · sector 49

Insider activity: 51/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Rentals, Inc URI $1,058 $449.86 -57%
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB $84.80 $65.76 -22%
AerCap Holdings AER $149.83 $301.51 +101%
U-Haul Holding UHAL $68.41 $7.21 -89%
Ryder System, Inc R $249.64 $109.71 -56%
Ayvens AYV €11.36 €25.90 +128%
Element Fleet Management Corp EFN C$27.92 C$20.86 -25%
BOC Aviation Limited 2588 HK$74.40 HK$18.61 -75%
GATX Corporation GATX $178.49 $140.90 -21%
Avis Budget Group CAR $139.58 $158.11 +13%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5100 THB versus a price of 0.3200 THB, about +59% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CRANE?
Our model-based fair value for Chukai Public Company Limited is 0.5100 THB (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.3200 THB.
What is the quality score of CRANE?
Chukai Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chukai Public Company Limited (CRANE)?
Chukai Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 216M THB (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CRANE?
The net profit margin of Chukai Public Company Limited is about -53.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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