Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Carmel Corp Ltd. ILS 16.86, price ILS 14.13, upside +19.3%, quality 29 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 14.13 ILA – 41.94 ILA · fair‑value band 12.58 ILA – 25.16 ILA · the 14.13 ILA price screens below the 16.86 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Carmel Corp Ltd. engages in the production and marketing of various soft drinks and mineral water in Israel. It sells soft drinks under the Tafuzina, Spring, RC, Spring Tea Cola, Schweppes, Crystal, Schweppes Fun Waer, Ein Gedi and Fruit & Veg brand names.
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Carmel Corp Ltd. engages in the production and marketing of various soft drinks and mineral water in Israel. It sells soft drinks under the Tafuzina, Spring, RC, Spring Tea Cola, Schweppes, Crystal, Schweppes Fun Waer, Ein Gedi and Fruit & Veg brand names. The company is also involved in recycling of plastic bottles; processing, development, production, marketing, and sale of wine and alcohol products under the Carmel Wineries Brand name; and buying, marketing, and distribution of finished products, such as beers, wines, cognac, vodka, and arak. The company was formerly known as Clal Industries and Beverages Ltd and changed its name to Carmel Corp Ltd. in September 2022. Carmel Corp Ltd. was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Shoham, Israel.
Stock analysis
Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML) currently trades at 14.13 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 16.86 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 16.2% undervalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 12.58 ILA (bear) to 25.16 ILA (bull), the price of 14.13 ILA sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Carmel Corp Ltd. reported revenue of 462M ILS in FY2025 versus 992M ILS in FY2021, a compound −17.4%/yr. Reported net income was −29.4M ILS in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 308M ILA · P/S ratio 0.65 · EPS (TTM) −1.61 ILA · Net margin −6.4% · Return on equity −6.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.5% · Operating margin 1.8% · Revenue (TTM) 474M ILA.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at 19%, CRML screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 12.58 ILAFair Value 16.86 ILABull 25.16 ILA
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−46.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
17.5% (2020) → −5.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 90 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+19% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
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Is Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 16.86 ILA versus a price of 14.13 ILA, about +19% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CRML?
Our model-based fair value for Carmel Corp Ltd. is 16.86 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 14.13 ILA.
What is the quality score of CRML?
Carmel Corp Ltd. has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 16.86 ILA (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 12.58 ILA, optimistic scenario 25.16 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Carmel Corp Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 16.86 ILA, about +19% upside versus a price of 14.13 ILA (undervalued). Cautious scenario 12.58 ILA, optimistic scenario 25.16 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML)?
Carmel Corp Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 462M ILS (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Carmel Corp Ltd. it is 16.86 ILA per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 14.13 ILA. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Carmel Corp Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, CRML trades below its calculated fair value: price 14.13 ILA, fair value 16.86 ILA, a gap of about +19% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CRML?
No. The price is what the market pays today (14.13 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (16.86 ILA). For Carmel Corp Ltd. the two are 2.73 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Carmel Corp Ltd. worth?
The market values Carmel Corp Ltd. at about 308M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 14.13 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 16.86 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CRML?
Our models span a range for Carmel Corp Ltd.: cautious scenario 12.58 ILA, base 16.86 ILA, optimistic 25.16 ILA per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 14.13 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML)?
Balance-sheet figures for Carmel Corp Ltd. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −6.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 29/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Carmel Corp Ltd.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Carmel Corp Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 14.13 ILA, calculated fair value 16.86 ILA (+19%), Quality Score 29/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CRML calculated?
We run Carmel Corp Ltd. through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 16.86 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Carmel Corp Ltd. currently trades 19 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 14.13 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 16.86 ILA, about +19% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Carmel Corp Ltd. right now?
A fairly wide model range (12.58 ILA to 25.16 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Carmel Corp Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML)?
The market capitalisation of Carmel Corp Ltd. is 308M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Carmel Corp Ltd. is 0.65 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML)?
Earnings per share at Carmel Corp Ltd. are −1.61 ILA. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML)?
The net margin of Carmel Corp Ltd. is −6.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Carmel Corp Ltd. is −6.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Carmel Corp Ltd. is 8.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML)?
The operating margin of Carmel Corp Ltd. is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML)?
Revenue at Carmel Corp Ltd. is growing +9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML)?
Earnings per share at Carmel Corp Ltd. are growing −41.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML) generate?
The free cash flow of Carmel Corp Ltd. is −74.8M ILA (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Carmel Corp Ltd. (CRML) carry?
The net debt of Carmel Corp Ltd. is 329M ILA (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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