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Carmel Corp (CRML) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · Il · Market cap 308M ILA

CC Carmel Corp CRML · TA
Price15.54 ILA
Fair Value17.19 ILA
Upside+10.6%
Quality29/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -6.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 15/100
Evidence: Low Range 12.83 ILA – 25.66 ILA Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +0.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 11% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (12.83 ILA to 25.66 ILA) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

42.04 ILA 14.69 ILA Fair Value 17.19 ILA Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 14.69 ILA – 42.04 ILA · fair‑value band 12.83 ILA – 25.66 ILA · the 15.54 ILA price screens below the 17.19 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Carmel Corp (CRML) currently trades at 15.54 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.19 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 10.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Carmel Corp generated revenue of 462M ILA at a net margin of -6.4%. Revenue declined 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.6%. Net debt stands at 329M ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 12.83 ILA (bear case) to 25.66 ILA (bull case); at 15.54 ILA, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 11%, CRML screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM 15.13 ILA 16.31 ILA 18.06 ILA 70
DDM Multi-Stage 15.13 ILA 18.01 ILA 21.72 ILA 61
NCAV (Graham) 12.83 ILA 17.19 ILA 25.66 ILA 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 15.13 ILA 16.31 ILA 18.06 ILA 70
DDM Multi-Stage 15.13 ILA 18.01 ILA 21.72 ILA 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12.83 ILA 17.19 ILA 25.66 ILA 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (17.19 ILA) versus Dividend Discount (16.31 ILA). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 474M ILA
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.1%
Net margin -6.8%
Return on equity -6.1%
Free cash flow −74.8M ILA FY2025
Operating margin 1.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -1.61 ILA
EPS growth (YoY) -41.2%
Net debt 329M ILA FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 29/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 22
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Carmel Corp Ltd. engages in the production and marketing of various soft drinks and mineral water in Israel. It sells soft drinks under the Tafuzina, Spring, RC, Spring Tea Cola, Schweppes, Crystal, Schweppes Fun Waer, Ein Gedi and Fruit & Veg brand names.

Full company description

Carmel Corp Ltd. engages in the production and marketing of various soft drinks and mineral water in Israel. It sells soft drinks under the Tafuzina, Spring, RC, Spring Tea Cola, Schweppes, Crystal, Schweppes Fun Waer, Ein Gedi and Fruit & Veg brand names. The company is also involved in recycling of plastic bottles; processing, development, production, marketing, and sale of wine and alcohol products under the Carmel Wineries Brand name; and buying, marketing, and distribution of finished products, such as beers, wines, cognac, vodka, and arak. The company was formerly known as Clal Industries and Beverages Ltd and changed its name to Carmel Corp Ltd. in September 2022. Carmel Corp Ltd. was incorporated in 2018 and is based in Shoham, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Carmel Corp reported revenue of 462M ILA in FY2025 versus 992M ILA in FY2021, a compound −17.4%/yr. Reported net income was −29.4M ILA in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
462M ILS
Latest YoY
−46.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−18.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
−12.6%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
−7.6%
Revenue −17.4%/yr
FY21 992M ILA
FY22 855M ILA
FY23 977M ILA
FY24 858M ILA
FY25 462M ILA
Net income
FY21 129M ILA
FY22 74.2M ILA
FY23 104M ILA
FY24 92.6M ILA
FY25 −29.4M ILA

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Carmel Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CRML

Peer Group

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 91 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +11% · Above median
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.20× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 47 · sector 28
FUTURE 46 · sector 46
PAST 0 · sector 49
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Alcohol

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
The Coca-Cola Company KO $87.05 $36.57 -58%
PepsiCo, Inc PEP $139.02 $106.91 -23%
Monster Beverage Corporation MNST $97.50 $35.82 -63%
Nongfu Spring Co 9633 HK$41.44 HK$30.72 -26%
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP €92.10 €85.41 -7%
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP $31.25 $30.99 -1%
Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF $102.04 $106.45 +4%
Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE €57.90 €52.82 -9%
Varun Beverages Limited VBL ₹495.70 ₹187.49 -62%
Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 ¥124.43 ¥107.57 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Carmel Corp (CRML) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 17.19 ILA versus a price of 15.54 ILA, about +11% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CRML?
Our model-based fair value for Carmel Corp is 17.19 ILA (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 15.54 ILA.
What is the quality score of CRML?
Carmel Corp has a Quality Score of 29/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Carmel Corp (CRML)?
Carmel Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 462M ILS (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CRML?
The net profit margin of Carmel Corp is about -6.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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