CommVault Systems Inc (CVLT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of CommVault Systems Inc $95.52, price $149, upside -36.1%, quality 65 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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CommVault Systems Inc
CVLT · USStretched ValuationQuality growthStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $51.08 – $195.41 · fair‑value band $71.64 – $119.40 · the $149.43 price screens above the $95.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Company profile
Commvault Systems, Inc. provides cyber resiliency solutions for enterprises to protect, secure, and recover data, applications, and identity system.
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Commvault Systems, Inc. provides cyber resiliency solutions for enterprises to protect, secure, and recover data, applications, and identity system. The company offers Operational Recovery for backup and recovery capabilities in hybrid enterprise workloads, such as backup, restore, recovery validation, and policy-based data movement to cloud storage; Autonomous Recovery, which adds automation, orchestration, and validation intended to reduce recovery times, downtime, and operational complexity; and Cyber Recovery, which adds cyber preparedness, threat detection, and clean recovery features to help organizations respond to ransomware and other cyber incidents. The company also provides Commvault Cleanroom Recovery, an isolated and on-demand recovery environment in the cloud; Commvault HyperScale Grid, an integrated and scale-out data protection solution; Commvault HyperScale Flex, a data protection solution designed to support enterprise-scale environments and large-volume data workloads; and Commvault Threatscan to help identify and isolate malicious or anomalous data within backup environments. In addition, it offers Commvault Cloud Air Gap Protect for isolated cloud storage; Commvault's Compliance, which includes reporting, auditing, and logging; Commvault's Cloud Rewind for data recovery with automated cloud application and infrastructure rebuild capabilities; and Commvault's Clumio Backtrack to revert cloud objects and datasets to a prior point in time. Further, the company provides professional and customer support services comprising real-time support, support engineers, customer success options, technology consulting services, recovery services, education services, and cyber resilience managed services. It operates in the United States, Canada, and Latin America, as well as in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Australia, India, Southeast Asia, and China. Commvault Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Tinton Falls, New Jersey.
Stock analysis
CommVault Systems Inc (CVLT) currently trades at $149.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $95.52, implying the stock looks roughly 56.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $70.64 per share, and 0 of the 24 models we run sit above the $149.43 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $17.55, and 24 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $71.64 (bear) to $119.40 (bull), the price of $149.43 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
CommVault Systems Inc reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2026 versus $770M in FY2022, a compound +11.4%/yr. Reported net income was $70.7M in FY2026, compounding +20.4%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $6.7B · P/E ratio 94.6 · P/S ratio 5.65 · EPS (TTM) $1.58 · Net margin 6.0% · Return on equity 42.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% · Operating margin 11.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 99% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −36%, CVLT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 24 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
CVLT screens 56% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Recent news
- Commvault Systems (CVLT), What Is Behind The Fresh Attention?
- Is It Worth Investing in Commvault (CVLT) Based on Wall Street's Bullish Views?
- Commvault Systems (CVLT) Rises As Market Takes a Dip: Key Facts
- Commvault Expands FedRAMP High Authorized Cyber Resilience Services to Managed Service Providers
Compare CommVault Systems Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 710 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
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| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $233.28 | $344.41 | +48% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $137.00 | $150.70 | +10% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $302.95 | $225.14 | −26% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $336.59 | $75.08 | −78% |
| Datadog, Inc DDOG | $247.48 | $32.92 | −87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $238.25 | $454.04 | +91% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $269.64 | $177.51 | −34% |
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Key figures of CommVault Systems Inc
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