Cydsa, S.A. (CYDSASAA) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · MX · Market cap 12.3B MXN
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +1.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 27% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (21.29 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 10.46 MXN – 32.45 MXN · fair‑value band 12.77 MXN – 21.29 MXN · the 23.25 MXN price screens above the 17.03 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Cydsa, S.A. (CYDSASAA) currently trades at 23.25 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.03 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 26.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Cydsa, S.A. generated revenue of 16.3B MXN at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue declined 1.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. Net debt stands at 11.2B MXN. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 12.77 MXN (bear case) to 21.29 MXN (bull case); at 23.25 MXN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -27%, CYDSASAA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (36.78 MXN) versus Earnings-Based (6.60 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Cydsa, S.A.B. de C.V., together its subsidiaries, produces and markets salt, chlorine, caustic soda, and refrigerant gases, electricity and steam cogeneration, and underground storage of hydrocarbons in Mexico, the United States, Canada, Central and South America, Asia, and Europe.
Full company description
Cydsa, S.A.B. de C.V., together its subsidiaries, produces and markets salt, chlorine, caustic soda, and refrigerant gases, electricity and steam cogeneration, and underground storage of hydrocarbons in Mexico, the United States, Canada, Central and South America, Asia, and Europe. The company operates through Salt, Chlorine and Caustic Soda, Refrigerant Gases, Energy Processing and Logistics, and Cydsa and Other segments. It provides light salt, salt substitute, Kosher and halal grade salt, salt with chile and lime, and coarse sea salt for use in household and commercial human consumption, food industry, and industrial processes, as well as salt pellets for swimming pool conditioning and water softening. The company also provides liquid and gas chlorine, solid caustic soda, membrane-grade liquid caustic soda and rayon-grade liquid caustic soda, chlorine in cylinders, sodium hypochlorite, caustic potash, synthetic hydrochloric acid, and muriatic acid for use in chemical, petrochemical, water treatment, oil, cellulose, paper, bottling, pesticides, bleach, detergents and soaps, mining and extraction of metals, plastics, pigments, and paints industries. In addition, it offers refrigerant, propellant, and blowing gases, as well as gases for fluoropolymers and anesthetic-medical products for use in industrial, commercial, and domestic refrigeration, home appliances, automotive, and pharmaceutical industries. Further, the company is involved in the electricity and steam cogeneration business; and hydrocarbons processing and underground storage business, as well as provides liquid petroleum gas processing and storage services. It offers its products under the La Fina, Cisne, Marfil, Gallo, Palomitos, Bakara, Elefante, Klara, Carmen, Brisa de Occidente, Fine, Genetron, Aquion, Solstice, and Eco Flush trademarks. Cydsa, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in San Pedro Garza García, Mexico.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Cydsa, S.A. reported revenue of 16.3B MXN in FY2025 versus 11.3B MXN in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was 530M MXN in FY2025, compounding −1.5%/yr from FY2021.
CYDSASAA screens 27% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 334 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
| Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 | ¥42.85 | ¥23.35 | -46% |
| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,650 | ₹2,146 | -75% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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