Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 21, 2026: fair value of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V MXN 17.03, price MXN 24.20, upside -29.6%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Cydsa, S.A.B. de C.V., together its subsidiaries, produces and markets salt, chlorine, caustic soda, and refrigerant gases, electricity and steam cogeneration, and underground storage of hydrocarbons in Mexico, the United States, Canada, Central and South America, Asia, and Europe.
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Cydsa, S.A.B. de C.V., together its subsidiaries, produces and markets salt, chlorine, caustic soda, and refrigerant gases, electricity and steam cogeneration, and underground storage of hydrocarbons in Mexico, the United States, Canada, Central and South America, Asia, and Europe. The company operates through Salt, Chlorine and Caustic Soda, Refrigerant Gases, Energy Processing and Logistics, and Cydsa and Other segments. It provides light salt, salt substitute, Kosher and halal grade salt, salt with chile and lime, and coarse sea salt for use in household and commercial human consumption, food industry, and industrial processes, as well as salt pellets for swimming pool conditioning and water softening. The company also provides liquid and gas chlorine, solid caustic soda, membrane-grade liquid caustic soda and rayon-grade liquid caustic soda, chlorine in cylinders, sodium hypochlorite, caustic potash, synthetic hydrochloric acid, and muriatic acid for use in chemical, petrochemical, water treatment, oil, cellulose, paper, bottling, pesticides, bleach, detergents and soaps, mining and extraction of metals, plastics, pigments, and paints industries. In addition, it offers refrigerant, propellant, and blowing gases, as well as gases for fluoropolymers and anesthetic-medical products for use in industrial, commercial, and domestic refrigeration, home appliances, automotive, and pharmaceutical industries. Further, the company is involved in the electricity and steam cogeneration business; and hydrocarbons processing and underground storage business, as well as provides liquid petroleum gas processing and storage services. It offers its products under the La Fina, Cisne, Marfil, Gallo, Palomitos, Bakara, Elefante, Klara, Carmen, Brisa de Occidente, Fine, Genetron, Aquion, Solstice, and Eco Flush trademarks. Cydsa, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in San Pedro Garza García, Mexico.
Stock analysis
Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA) currently trades at 24.20 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 17.03 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 42.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 40.73 MXN per share, and 11 of the 26 models we run sit above the 24.20 MXN price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 6.60 MXN, and 15 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 12.77 MXN (bear) to 21.29 MXN (bull), the price of 24.20 MXN sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V reported revenue of 16.3B MXN in FY2025 versus 11.3B MXN in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was 530M MXN in FY2025, compounding −1.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 12.8B MXN (≈ $732M) · P/E ratio 22.0 · P/S ratio 0.72 · EPS (TTM) 1.10 MXN · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 3.3% · Return on equity 4.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −30%, CYDSASAA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 12.77 MXNFair Value 17.03 MXNBull 21.29 MXN
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.8047 MXN per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.78/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.3% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MXN ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+6.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.0% vs 0%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 15%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Mexico: IMF forecast 3.3% a year to 2030, 4.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.0% a year for the price and +1.7% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Chemicals · 350 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−30% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)15% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.98× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)22.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.05× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.79× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF0.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA6.0× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 24
PAST (return on equity)19· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)51· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)57· sector 31
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CYDSASAA
Frequently asked questions
Is Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 17.03 MXN versus a price of 24.20 MXN, about −30% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of CYDSASAA?
Our model-based fair value for Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V is 17.03 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 24.20 MXN.
What is the quality score of CYDSASAA?
Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 17.03 MXN (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 12.77 MXN, optimistic scenario 21.29 MXN. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 17.03 MXN, about −30% upside versus a price of 24.20 MXN (overvalued). Cautious scenario 12.77 MXN, optimistic scenario 21.29 MXN. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA)?
Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 16.3B MXN (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V pay a dividend?
Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.85% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V would have to grow free cash flow by +5.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.7 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of CYDSASAA use?
Our models discount Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.29, country premium for Mexico. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V that is +5.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V grew +8.7 % a year. The price currently implies +5.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (+5.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.81 %: that much free cash flow Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V it is 17.03 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 24.20 MXN. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, CYDSASAA trades above its calculated fair value: price 24.20 MXN, fair value 17.03 MXN, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of CYDSASAA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (24.20 MXN); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (17.03 MXN). For Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V the two are 7.17 MXN per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V worth?
The market values Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V at about 12.8B MXN (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 24.20 MXN; our models calculate a fair value of 17.03 MXN per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about CYDSASAA?
Our models span a range for Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V: cautious scenario 12.77 MXN, base 17.03 MXN, optimistic 21.29 MXN per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 24.20 MXN). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of CYDSASAA?
Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 17.03 MXN is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.1, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 6.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.8%, debt of 0.98 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is CYDSASAA from its 52-week high?
Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V trades at 24.20 MXN, about 25% below its 52-week high of 32.45 MXN and 55% above the low of 15.59 MXN (as of Sep 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 17.03 MXN is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BASF SE, Saudi Basic Industries Corporation, Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group, Dow Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 24.20 MXN, calculated fair value 17.03 MXN (−30%), Quality Score 57/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of CYDSASAA calculated?
We run Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 17.03 MXN, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was 24.20 MXN. Our model-based fair value is 17.03 MXN, about −30% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (21.29 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA) come from?
Earnings per share at Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V grew +10.0 % a year from 2012 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.4 %, EBIT margin +2.1 %, tax rate +1.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −4.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V
How large is the market capitalisation of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA)?
The market capitalisation of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V is 12.8B MXN (≈ $732M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V is 0.72 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA)?
Earnings per share at Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V are 1.10 MXN (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA)?
The dividend yield of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V is 2.8% (payout 62.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA)?
The net margin of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V is 3.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V is 8.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA)?
The operating margin of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V is 15.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA)?
Revenue at Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V is growing −1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA)?
Earnings per share at Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V are growing +43.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V (CYDSASAA) carry?
The net debt of Cydsa S.A.B. de C.V is 11.2B MXN (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 5.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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