Dottikon ES Holding (DESN) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CH · Market cap CHF 3.7B
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from CHF 121.25 to CHF 86.03 (−29.0%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +7.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 70% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 147.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (CHF 67.67 to CHF 147.65) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 169.00 – CHF 392.00 · fair‑value band CHF 67.67 – CHF 147.65 · the CHF 283.00 price screens above the CHF 86.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
Dottikon ES Holding (DESN) currently trades at CHF 283.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 86.03, implying the stock looks roughly 69.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Dottikon ES Holding generated revenue of CHF 433M at a net margin of 27.9%. Revenue grew 25.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. Net debt stands at CHF 10.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 67.67 (bear case) to CHF 147.65 (bull case); at CHF 283.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at -70%, DESN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (CHF 119.64) versus Growth DCF (CHF 40.92). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Dottikon ES Holding AG manufactures and sells performance chemicals, intermediates, and active pharmaceutical ingredients for the chemical, biotech, and pharmaceutical maceutic industries in Europe, Switzerland, the United States, and Asia.
Full company description
Dottikon ES Holding AG manufactures and sells performance chemicals, intermediates, and active pharmaceutical ingredients for the chemical, biotech, and pharmaceutical maceutic industries in Europe, Switzerland, the United States, and Asia. The company's chemicals and intermediates include amines, anilines, azaindoles, benzimidazoles, benzoic acid derivatives, benzyl compounds, boron building blocks, chiral compounds, cyclohexane derivatives, cyclopropyl building blocks, indazoles, indoles, N-heterocycles, nitrate esters, nitroaromatic compounds, O-heterocycles, phenols and anisoles, and pyridine building blocks. It also offers Dottisol, an isosorbide dimethyl ether for application as a solubility enhancer in cosmetic, pharma, and agro products, as well as a performance additive in various industries. In addition, the company is involved in recycling and waste treatment which includes the recycling, thermal recovery, and high-temperature incineration of waste streams, as well as wastewater treatment and purification activities. Further, it offers chemical custom manufacturing, nitrosamine risk assessment, and containment services; and performance chemicals, including aromatic and alicyclic diamines, bio-based organosilanes, and phlegmatized azides. The company was founded in 1913 and is headquartered in Dottikon, Switzerland. Dottikon ES Holding AG is a subsidiary of EVOLMA Holding AG.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Dottikon ES Holding reported revenue of CHF 428M in FY2026 versus CHF 252M in FY2022, a compound +14.2%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 104M in FY2026, compounding +15.0%/yr from FY2022.
DESN screens 70% overvalued. Compare with BASF SE →
Peer Group
Chemicals · 334 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BASF SE BASN | 1,034 MXN | 532.13 MXN | -49% |
| Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 | ¥20.32 | ¥20.17 | -1% |
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| PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT | 1,690 IDR | 1,628 IDR | -4% |
| LG Chem, Ltd 051910 | 260,500 KRW | 587,755 KRW | +126% |
| Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 | 66.10 TWD | 6.79 TWD | -90% |
| PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC | 35.50 THB | 18.21 THB | -49% |
| 542812 542812 | ₹4,369 | ₹791.05 | -82% |
| Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL | 24.50 THB | 17.95 THB | -27% |
| Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR | ₹8,650 | ₹2,146 | -75% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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