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DEFSEC Technologies Inc (DFSC) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $6.7M

DT DEFSEC Technologies Inc logo DEFSEC Technologies Inc DFSC · US
Price$2.03
Fair Value$2.27
Upside+12.1%
Quality28/100
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Evidence: Low Range $1.50 – $2.84

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price −49.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$9.77 $1.70 Fair Value $2.27 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $1.70 – $9.77 · fair‑value band $1.50 – $2.84 · the $2.03 price screens below the $2.27 fair value. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

DEFSEC Technologies Inc (DFSC) currently trades at $2.03, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.27 — implying the stock looks roughly 12.1% undervalued today. We read business quality at 28/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $6.2M. Revenue grew 67.7% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $5.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.50 (bear case) to $2.84 (bull case); at $2.03, the current price sits within that range. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside — at 12%, DFSC screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $6.2M
Revenue growth (YoY) +67.7%
Net margin -142%
Return on equity -148%
Free cash flow −$8.1M FY2025
Operating margin -90.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.45
Net cash $5.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

DEFSEC Technologies Inc. engages in the development and commercialization of tactical systems for security, and personal defense markets. The company offers DEFSEC Lightning, a military digitization technology; Less-Lethal Munitions Systems, including PARA SHOT, a next-generation less-lethal system and ARWEN, a 40mm munition and new marking cartridge; It also provides BMA-Ready Solutions, including TAK and ATAK, tactical digital fires, battlefield laser detection system, and phantom tactical multi-function electromagnetic spectrum operations system. DEFSEC Technologies Inc. was formerly known as KWESST Micro Systems Inc. and changed its name to DEFSEC Technologies Inc. in June 2025. DEFSEC Technologies Inc. was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

DEFSEC Technologies Inc reported revenue of $4.9M in FY2025 versus $1.3M in FY2021, a compound +40.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$9.6M in FY2025.

Revenue +40.3%/yr
FY21 $1.3M
FY22 $722K
FY23 $1.2M
FY24 $1.5M
FY25 $4.9M
Net income
FY21 −$9.3M
FY22 −$10.5M
FY23 −$9.3M
FY24 −$7.4M
FY25 −$9.6M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DEFSEC Technologies Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DFSC

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Frequently asked questions

Is DEFSEC Technologies Inc (DFSC) undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.27 versus a price of $2.03 — about +12% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of DFSC?
Our model-based fair value for DEFSEC Technologies Inc is $2.27 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.03.
What is the quality score of DFSC?
DEFSEC Technologies Inc has a Quality Score of 28/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of DEFSEC Technologies Inc (DFSC)?
DEFSEC Technologies Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.2M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DFSC?
The net profit margin of DEFSEC Technologies Inc is about -141.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.