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Defentect Group Inc (DFTC) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 21, 2026: fair value of Defentect Group Inc $0.03, price $0.07, upside -59.0%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Technology · US · ISIN US2446391003

DG Defentect Group Inc logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Defentect Group Inc

DFTC · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $0.0283 · Strongly overvalued (−59%)
!Quality 52/100
!Weak Growth
!Loss-making · -153.6% net margin (FY2025)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (0/6)
!Narrow moat 14/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.1140 $0.0022 Fair Value $0.0283 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0022 – $0.1140 · the $0.0690 price screens above the $0.0283 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Defentect Group, Inc. develops and provides IP based alerting system that protects against chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and explosive threats.

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Defentect Group, Inc. develops and provides IP based alerting system that protects against chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and explosive threats. The company offers DM3, a software platform that enables the integration of multiple sensors to coordinate security systems through a simple graphical user interface and initiates communication and data-driven messaging between systems and to emergency personnel; and DefenCall, an iPhone application which links to DM3 and creates a mobile personal safety device and service. It also offers GammaTect Zero, an integration device, which combines an analog-to-digital converter and a communications module; GammaTect Two, a Geiger-Muller based gamma detector that detects gamma radiation above 50 microR/hr; and GammaTect Four, a scintillator-based gamma radiation sensor enabling real-time alerts and gamma radiation isotope identification in an unattended perimeter or portal network. The company was formerly known as Splinternet Holdings, Inc. Defentect Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is based in New Canaan, Connecticut.

Stock analysis

Defentect Group Inc (DFTC) currently trades at $0.0690, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0283, implying the stock looks roughly 143.8% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $0.0200 per share, and 0 of the 5 models we run sit above the $0.0690 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0100, and 5 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.

Defentect Group Inc reported revenue of $120K in FY2025 versus $375K in FY2007, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$184K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $5.7M · P/S ratio 17.4 · EPS (TTM) $−0.9600 · Return on equity −1,187% · Return on assets (EBIT) −230% · Operating margin −1,016% · Revenue (TTM) $286K · Revenue growth (YoY) −82.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 23 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 2,200% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −59%, DFTC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0283 Fair Value $0.0283 Bull $0.0283
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 70
ROIC Compounder $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 68
EV/EBITDA $0.0200 $0.0200 $0.0300 64
All 5 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 70
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.0200 $0.0300 $0.0300 63
EV/EBITDA $0.0200 $0.0200 $0.0300 64
EV/Revenue $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 52
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.0100 $0.0100 $0.0100 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 80
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 32
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 74
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
100.0% (2004) → 73.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

DFTC screens 144% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Application · 721 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −59% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −115% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −154% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −82% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 20.06× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAP €184.18 €159.06 −14%
Shopify Inc SHOP $142.34 $64.36 −55%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $69.89 $104.82 +50%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $233.28 $344.41 +48%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $140.78 $154.86 +10%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $309.09 $225.14 −27%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $334.81 $75.08 −78%
Datadog, Inc DDOG $251.49 $32.92 −87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $238.25 $454.04 +91%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $263.68 $177.51 −33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Defentect Group Inc (DFTC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0283 versus a price of $0.0690, about −59% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DFTC?
Our model-based fair value for Defentect Group Inc is $0.0283 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0690.
What is the quality score of DFTC?
Defentect Group Inc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Defentect Group Inc (DFTC)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0283 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 5 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Defentect Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0283, about −59% upside versus a price of $0.0690 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Defentect Group Inc (DFTC)?
Defentect Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $286K (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Defentect Group Inc (DFTC)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Defentect Group Inc it is $0.0283 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.0690. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Defentect Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, DFTC trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0690, fair value $0.0283, a gap of about −59% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DFTC?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0690); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0283). For Defentect Group Inc the two are $0.0407 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Defentect Group Inc worth?
The market values Defentect Group Inc at about $5.7M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.0690; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0283 per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Defentect Group Inc (DFTC)?
Balance-sheet figures for Defentect Group Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DFTC from its 52-week high?
Defentect Group Inc trades at $0.0690, about 39% below its 52-week high of $0.1140 and 2,200% above the low of $0.0030 (as of Sep 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0283 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Defentect Group Inc?
From the same area (Technology) we also value SAP SE, Shopify Inc, Uber Technologies, Inc, Salesforce, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Defentect Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.0690, calculated fair value $0.0283 (−59%), Quality Score 52/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DFTC calculated?
We run Defentect Group Inc through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0283, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Defentect Group Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Defentect Group Inc (DFTC)?
The closing price on Sep 21, 2026 was $0.0690. Our model-based fair value is $0.0283, about −59% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Defentect Group Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0283). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Defentect Group Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Defentect Group Inc (DFTC)?
The market capitalisation of Defentect Group Inc is $5.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Defentect Group Inc (DFTC)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Defentect Group Inc is 17.4 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Defentect Group Inc (DFTC)?
Earnings per share at Defentect Group Inc are $−0.9600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Defentect Group Inc (DFTC)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Defentect Group Inc is −1,187% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Defentect Group Inc (DFTC)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Defentect Group Inc is −230% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Defentect Group Inc (DFTC)?
The operating margin of Defentect Group Inc is −1,016% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Defentect Group Inc (DFTC)?
Revenue at Defentect Group Inc is growing −82.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −47.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Defentect Group Inc (DFTC) generate?
The free cash flow of Defentect Group Inc is −$170K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Defentect Group Inc (DFTC) hold?
Defentect Group Inc holds more cash than debt, $187K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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