Defentect Group (DFTC) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $7.5M
Defentect Group
DFTC · US
Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026
From 5 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 29, 2026, revised from $0.0351 to $0.0298 (−15.2%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −6.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 60% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0298). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0022 – $0.1140 · fair‑value band $0.0213 – $0.0298 · the $0.0739 price screens above the $0.0298 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.
Analysis
Defentect Group (DFTC) currently trades at $0.0739, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0298, implying the stock looks roughly 59.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $286K. Revenue declined 82.1% year over year. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0213 (bear case) to $0.0298 (bull case); at $0.0739, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at -60%, DFTC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 5 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($0.0200) versus Earnings-Based ($0.0100). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (67).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Defentect Group, Inc. develops and provides IP based alerting system that protects against chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and explosive threats.
Full company description
Defentect Group, Inc. develops and provides IP based alerting system that protects against chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and explosive threats. The company offers DM3, a software platform that enables the integration of multiple sensors to coordinate security systems through a simple graphical user interface and initiates communication and data-driven messaging between systems and to emergency personnel; and DefenCall, an iPhone application which links to DM3 and creates a mobile personal safety device and service. It also offers GammaTect Zero, an integration device, which combines an analog-to-digital converter and a communications module; GammaTect Two, a Geiger-Muller based gamma detector that detects gamma radiation above 50 microR/hr; and GammaTect Four, a scintillator-based gamma radiation sensor enabling real-time alerts and gamma radiation isotope identification in an unattended perimeter or portal network. The company was formerly known as Splinternet Holdings, Inc. Defentect Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is based in New Canaan, Connecticut.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2007 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Defentect Group reported revenue of $120K in FY2025 versus $375K in FY2007, a compound −6.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$184K in FY2025.
DFTC screens 60% overvalued. Compare with SAP SE →
Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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