Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Dine Brands Global Inc stock $29.72, price $35.85, that is 17.1% below the price, quality 51 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 16 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $17.59 – $75.46 · fair‑value band $9.19 – $37.15 · the $35.85 price screens above the $29.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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Dine Brands Global, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns, franchises, and operates restaurants in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Franchise, Company-owned restaurants, and Rental.
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The company franchises the restaurants operated by Applebee's franchisees, IHOP franchisees, and Fuzzy's franchisees in the United States.
It owns, franchises, and operates restaurant concepts, including Applebee's Neighborhood Grill + Bar within the casual dining category; IHOP in the family dining category of the restaurant industry; and Fuzzy's Taco Shop within the fast-casual dining category.
In addition, its Applebee's restaurants offer American fare with drinks and local draft beers; IHOP restaurants provided full table services and food and beverages; Fuzzy's Taco Shop offers mexican food, such as tacos, chips and queso, guacamole, and salsa made-from-scratch daily; and a full bar including margaritas, cocktails, and cold draft beer.
The company was formerly known as DineEquity, Inc. and changed its name to Dine Brands Global, Inc. in February 2018. Dine Brands Global, Inc. was founded in 1958 and is based in Pasadena, California.
Stock analysis
Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN) currently trades at $35.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.72, 17% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $45.13 per share, and 3 of the 13 models we run sit above the $35.85 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $8.87, and 10 of the 13 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $9.19 (bear) to $37.15 (bull), the price of $35.85 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Dine Brands Global Inc reported revenue of $879M in FY2025 versus $896M in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was $17.1M in FY2025, compounding −35.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $434M Small · P/E ratio 71.7 · P/S ratio 0.48 · EPS (TTM) $0.5000 · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin 13.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 34 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at −17%, DIN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$9.19Fair Value $29.72Bull$37.15
Price $35.85 · Downside -17.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
SaleMichael HyterDirector1,800 shares at $28.88$51,984May 8, 2026
BuyDouglas M PasqualeDirector4× since Mar 2, 2026: 7,500 shares, avg. $29.01$217,560Mar 13, 2026
BuyMartha PoulterDirector650 shares at $33.16$21,554Dec 5, 2025
BuyRichard J DahlDirector3,600 shares at $27.47$98,892Nov 21, 2025
Plus 2 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.64/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.6% a year
Revenue growth 35 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−10.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−27.4% vs −14.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 22%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.7% a year for the price and +2.7% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 200 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−17.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets1.0% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)0.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)13.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)4.4% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)3.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)71.7× · Priciest 25%
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months)0.48× · Cheapest 25%
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)8.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA8.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG1.29× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)11· sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)22· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)60· sector 61
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dine Brands Global Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DIN
Frequently asked questions
Is Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $29.72 versus a price of $35.85, about 17% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DIN?
Our model-based fair value for Dine Brands Global Inc is $29.72 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $35.85.
What is the quality score of DIN?
Dine Brands Global Inc has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $29.72 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $9.19, optimistic scenario $37.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dine Brands Global Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $29.72, about 17% lower versus a price of $35.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $9.19, optimistic scenario $37.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
Dine Brands Global Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $900M (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
Does Dine Brands Global Inc pay a dividend?
Dine Brands Global Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 3.01% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 5, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Dine Brands Global Inc pays a dividend of $1.08 per share a year, a dividend yield of 3.0%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 16, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2013. The payout ratio is 62.4% of earnings (on adjusted earnings, reported 216%). Free cash flow covers the dividend 3.91 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dine Brands Global Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +20.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.0 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DIN use?
Our models discount Dine Brands Global Inc at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.93, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dine Brands Global Inc that is +20.5 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dine Brands Global Inc grew +5.0 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +20.5 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dine Brands Global Inc (+20.5 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 12.31 %: that much free cash flow Dine Brands Global Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dine Brands Global Inc it is $29.72 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of $35.85. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Dine Brands Global Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, DIN trades above its calculated fair value: price $35.85, fair value $29.72, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($35.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($29.72). For Dine Brands Global Inc the two are $6.13 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dine Brands Global Inc worth?
The market values Dine Brands Global Inc at about $434M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is $35.85; our models calculate a fair value of $29.72 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DIN?
Our models span a range for Dine Brands Global Inc: cautious scenario $9.19, base $29.72, optimistic $37.15 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price $35.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DIN?
Dine Brands Global Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 71.7 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $29.72 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 8.1 (reported for FY2025: 27.9). Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 8 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings, 6 of the years ex one-offs: 12.5. Other multiples: PEG 1.3, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 8.5.
What is the PEG ratio of DIN?
The PEG ratio of Dine Brands Global Inc is 1.29 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 5, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dine Brands Global Inc (as of Nov 5, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DIN from its 52-week high?
Dine Brands Global Inc trades at $35.85, about 6% below its 52-week high of $38.06 and 51% above the low of $23.78 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $29.72 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dine Brands Global Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Yum! Brands, Inc, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dine Brands Global Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price $35.85, calculated fair value $29.72 (−17%), Quality Score 51/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DIN calculated?
We run Dine Brands Global Inc through 16 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $29.72 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Dine Brands Global Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $35.85. Our model-based fair value is $29.72, about 17% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dine Brands Global Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($9.19 to $37.15). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN) come from?
Earnings per share at Dine Brands Global Inc grew −0.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.5 %, EBIT margin −4.9 %, tax rate +2.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Dine Brands Global Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
The market capitalisation of Dine Brands Global Inc is $434M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dine Brands Global Inc is 0.48 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
Earnings per share at Dine Brands Global Inc are $0.5000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 71.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
The dividend yield of Dine Brands Global Inc is 3.0% (payout 62.4%, on adjusted earnings, reported 216%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
The net margin of Dine Brands Global Inc is 0.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dine Brands Global Inc is 9.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
The operating margin of Dine Brands Global Inc is 13.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
Revenue at Dine Brands Global Inc is growing +4.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
Earnings per share at Dine Brands Global Inc are growing −60.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN) carry?
The net debt of Dine Brands Global Inc is $1.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 27.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 5, 2026