Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Dine Brands Global Inc $29.66, price $28.68, upside +3.4%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $17.81 – $76.43 · fair‑value band $17.27 – $37.07 · the $28.68 price screens below the $29.66 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Dine Brands Global, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns, franchises, and operates restaurants in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Franchise, Company-owned restaurants, and Rental.
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Dine Brands Global, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, owns, franchises, and operates restaurants in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Franchise, Company-owned restaurants, and Rental. The company franchises the restaurants operated by Applebee's franchisees, IHOP franchisees, and Fuzzy's franchisees in the United States. It owns, franchises, and operates restaurant concepts, including Applebee's Neighborhood Grill + Bar within the casual dining category; IHOP in the family dining category of the restaurant industry; and Fuzzy's Taco Shop within the fast-casual dining category. In addition, its Applebee's restaurants offer American fare with drinks and local draft beers; IHOP restaurants provided full table services and food and beverages; Fuzzy's Taco Shop offers mexican food, such as tacos, chips and queso, guacamole, and salsa made-from-scratch daily; and a full bar including margaritas, cocktails, and cold draft beer. The company was formerly known as DineEquity, Inc. and changed its name to Dine Brands Global, Inc. in February 2018. Dine Brands Global, Inc. was founded in 1958 and is based in Pasadena, California.
Stock analysis
Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN) currently trades at $28.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.66, implying the stock looks roughly 3.3% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $29.66 per share, and 5 of the 13 models we run sit above the $28.68 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $9.06, and 8 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $17.27 (bear) to $37.07 (bull), the price of $28.68 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Dine Brands Global Inc reported revenue of $879M in FY2025 versus $896M in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was $17.1M in FY2025, compounding −35.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $410M · P/E ratio 24.9 · P/S ratio 0.48 · EPS (TTM) $1.15 · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin 1.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.6% · Operating margin 13.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at 3%, DIN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $17.27Fair Value $29.66Bull $37.07
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.64/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+8.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.6% a year
Revenue growth 35 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−8.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−13.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.9%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−27% vs −14%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 22%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+1.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.9% a year for the price and −0.9% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 226 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside+3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equityNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)24.9× · Pricier than median
P/BNegative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.46× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF7.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA8.1× · Pricier than median
PEG1.29× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)38· sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)24· sector 18
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)0· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)98· sector 70
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Dine Brands Global Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DIN
Frequently asked questions
Is Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $29.66 versus a price of $28.68, about +3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DIN?
Our model-based fair value for Dine Brands Global Inc is $29.66 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $28.68.
What is the quality score of DIN?
Dine Brands Global Inc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $29.66 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario $17.27, optimistic scenario $37.07. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dine Brands Global Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $29.66, about +3% upside versus a price of $28.68 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $17.27, optimistic scenario $37.07. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
Dine Brands Global Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $890M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Dine Brands Global Inc pay a dividend?
Dine Brands Global Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.88% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dine Brands Global Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +20.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DIN use?
Our models discount Dine Brands Global Inc at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.99, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dine Brands Global Inc that is +20.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dine Brands Global Inc grew +5.0 % a year. The price currently implies +20.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dine Brands Global Inc (+20.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.02 %: that much free cash flow Dine Brands Global Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dine Brands Global Inc it is $29.66 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $28.68. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dine Brands Global Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DIN trades below its calculated fair value: price $28.68, fair value $29.66, a gap of about +3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DIN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($28.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($29.66). For Dine Brands Global Inc the two are $0.9800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dine Brands Global Inc worth?
The market values Dine Brands Global Inc at about $410M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $28.68; our models calculate a fair value of $29.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DIN?
Our models span a range for Dine Brands Global Inc: cautious scenario $17.27, base $29.66, optimistic $37.07 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $28.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DIN?
Dine Brands Global Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 24.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $29.66 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.3, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 8.1.
What is the PEG ratio of DIN?
The PEG ratio of Dine Brands Global Inc is 1.29 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dine Brands Global Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DIN from its 52-week high?
Dine Brands Global Inc trades at $28.68, about 26% below its 52-week high of $38.55 and 20% above the low of $23.85 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $29.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dine Brands Global Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dine Brands Global Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $28.68, calculated fair value $29.66 (+3%), Quality Score 52/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DIN calculated?
We run Dine Brands Global Inc through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $29.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Dine Brands Global Inc currently trades 3 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $28.68. Our model-based fair value is $29.66, about +3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dine Brands Global Inc right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($17.27 to $37.07) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN) come from?
Earnings per share at Dine Brands Global Inc grew −0.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.5 %, EBIT margin −4.9 %, tax rate +2.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Dine Brands Global Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
The market capitalisation of Dine Brands Global Inc is $410M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dine Brands Global Inc is 0.48 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
Earnings per share at Dine Brands Global Inc are $1.15 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 24.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
The dividend yield of Dine Brands Global Inc is 4.9% (payout 122%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
The net margin of Dine Brands Global Inc is 1.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dine Brands Global Inc is 9.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
The operating margin of Dine Brands Global Inc is 13.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
Revenue at Dine Brands Global Inc is growing +4.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN)?
Earnings per share at Dine Brands Global Inc are growing +8.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Dine Brands Global Inc (DIN) carry?
The net debt of Dine Brands Global Inc is $1.5B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 27.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Some data
Sep 23, 2026