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Diplomat Holdings (DIPL) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · Il · Market cap 1.4B ILA

DH Diplomat Holdings DIPL · TA
Price48.34 ILA
Fair Value37.23 ILA
Upside-23.0%
Quality44/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range 37.23 ILA – 51.34 ILA Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price −2.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 23% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • Our model range runs from 37.23 ILA (bear) to 51.34 ILA (bull), base 37.23 ILA. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

60.75 ILA 21.95 ILA Fair Value 37.23 ILA Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 21.95 ILA – 60.75 ILA · fair‑value band 37.23 ILA – 51.34 ILA · the 48.34 ILA price screens above the 37.23 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Diplomat Holdings (DIPL) currently trades at 48.34 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 37.23 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 23.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Diplomat Holdings generated revenue of 3.8B ILA at a net margin of 2.9%. Revenue grew 6.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.3%. Net debt stands at 462M ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 37.23 ILA (bear case) to 51.34 ILA (bull case); at 48.34 ILA, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at -23%, DIPL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 28.48 ILA 31.46 ILA 41.80 ILA 76
ROIC Compounder 28.15 ILA 32.29 ILA 37.45 ILA 72
Gordon GGM 14.78 ILA 26.64 ILA 36.67 ILA 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 30.41 ILA 43.87 ILA 61.39 ILA 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 25.08 ILA 71.70 ILA 94.51 ILA 54
Lynch FV 14.69 ILA 20.99 ILA 27.28 ILA 50
PEG = 1.0 14.69 ILA 20.99 ILA 27.28 ILA 46
EPV 28.15 ILA 32.29 ILA 35.75 ILA 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 14.78 ILA 26.64 ILA 36.67 ILA 70
DDM Multi-Stage 14.78 ILA 22.19 ILA 28.46 ILA 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 58.09 ILA 77.46 ILA 96.82 ILA 63
P/S Multiple 47.03 ILA 62.70 ILA 78.38 ILA 58
P/B Multiple 47.03 ILA 62.70 ILA 78.38 ILA 55
EV/EBIT 55.74 ILA 75.06 ILA 94.38 ILA 53
EV/EBITDA 71.41 ILA 95.97 ILA 120.52 ILA 54
EV/Revenue 39.14 ILA 56.87 ILA 74.60 ILA 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 16.68 ILA 22.35 ILA 33.35 ILA 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 28.48 ILA 31.46 ILA 41.80 ILA 76
ROIC Compounder 28.15 ILA 32.29 ILA 37.45 ILA 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 46.68 ILA 66.69 ILA 86.69 ILA 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (66.69 ILA) versus Earnings-Based (20.99 ILA). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 3.8B ILA
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.8%
Net margin 2.9%
Return on equity 12.3%
Free cash flow −19.5M ILA FY2025
P/E ratio 13.6
More key figures
Operating margin 3.2%
EPS (TTM) 3.90 ILA
Dividend yield 0.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -0.4%
Net debt 462M ILA FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 57
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 12
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 81
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 30
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 37
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Diplomat Holdings Ltd. operates as a sales and distribution company in the fast-moving consumer goods sector. The company offers logistics services, including warehousing, packaging, and transportation; and third part logistics services.

Full company description

Diplomat Holdings Ltd. operates as a sales and distribution company in the fast-moving consumer goods sector. The company offers logistics services, including warehousing, packaging, and transportation; and third part logistics services. It also provides detergents, shaving, diapers, cleaning, personal care, hygiene and health, laundry, house cleaning, paper, sweet food, food, and other food products, as well as sweets and snacks, hair care, canned fish and confectionery and other products, and coffee; and electricity and batteries. The company serves food retail chains, pharmacy chains, minimarkets, grocery stores, containers, wholesalers, restaurants, catering customers, etc. It operates in Israel, South Africa, Georgia, New Zealand, and Cyprus. Diplomat Holdings Ltd. was incorporated in 1963 and is headquartered in Airport City, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Diplomat Holdings reported revenue of 3.8B ILA in FY2025 versus 2.7B ILA in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was 110M ILA in FY2025, compounding +6.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 46/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
3.8B ILS
Latest YoY
+5.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y)
+3.9%
Revenue +8.2%/yr
FY21 2.7B ILA
FY22 2.9B ILA
FY23 3.4B ILA
FY24 3.6B ILA
FY25 3.8B ILA
Net income +6.1%/yr
FY21 86.5M ILA
FY22 75.2M ILA
FY23 73.1M ILA
FY24 112M ILA
FY25 110M ILA

DIPL screens 23% overvalued. Compare with Sysco Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Diplomat Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DIPL

Peer Group

Food Distribution · 77 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −23% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.48× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.13× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 3 · sector 21
FUTURE 14 · sector 14
PAST 50 · sector 36
HEALTH 94 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 1 · sector 42

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Food Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sysco Corporation SYY $81.69 $60.58 -26%
US Foods Holding USFD $99.13 $55.10 -44%
Performance Food Group PFGC $113.17 $37.94 -66%
Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A JMT €17.68 €21.59 +22%
CP Axtra Public Company CPAXT 14.90 THB 17.04 THB +14%
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc CHEF $95.79 $37.27 -61%
Olam Group VC2 1.33 SGD 2.12 SGD +59%
United Natural Foods, Inc UNFI $50.19 $6.00 -88%
The Andersons, Inc ANDE $79.24 $47.78 -40%
Metcash Limited MTS A$2.92 A$5.33 +83%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Diplomat Holdings (DIPL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 37.23 ILA versus a price of 48.34 ILA, about −23% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DIPL?
Our model-based fair value for Diplomat Holdings is 37.23 ILA (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 48.34 ILA.
What is the quality score of DIPL?
Diplomat Holdings has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Diplomat Holdings (DIPL)?
Diplomat Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.8B ILS (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DIPL?
The net profit margin of Diplomat Holdings is about 2.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Diplomat Holdings pay a dividend?
Diplomat Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.03% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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