AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of AMCON Distributing Company $63.37, price $67.56, upside -6.2%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $62.02 – $158.70 · fair‑value band $19.91 – $63.37 · the $67.56 price screens above the $63.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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AMCON Distributing Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale distribution of consumer products in the Central, Rocky Mountain, and Mid-South regions of the United States. The company operates through two segments: Wholesale Distribution and Retail Health Food.
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AMCON Distributing Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale distribution of consumer products in the Central, Rocky Mountain, and Mid-South regions of the United States. The company operates through two segments: Wholesale Distribution and Retail Health Food. The Wholesale Distribution segment distributes consumer products, including cigarettes and tobacco products, candy and other confectionery, beverages, groceries, paper products, health and beauty care products, frozen and refrigerated products, and institutional foodservice products. It serves retail outlets, such as convenience stores, discount and general merchandise stores, grocery stores, drug stores, liquor stores, tobacco shops, and gas stations; and institutional customers, including restaurants and bars, schools, sports complexes, and other wholesalers. This segment also markets its own private label lines of water, candy products, batteries, and other products. The Retail Health Food segment offers the retail of natural, organic, and specialty foods consisting of produce, baked goods, frozen foods, nutritional supplements, personal care items, and general merchandise. In addition, the company operates retail health food stores under the Chamberlin's Natural Foods, Akin's Natural Foods, and Earth Origins Market brands. AMCON Distributing Company was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Omaha, Nebraska.
Stock analysis
AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) currently trades at $67.56, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $63.37, implying the stock looks roughly 6.6% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $88.27 per share, and 7 of the 20 models we run sit above the $67.56 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $7.01, and 13 of the 20 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $19.91 (bear) to $63.37 (bull), the price of $67.56 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
AMCON Distributing Company reported revenue of $2.8B in FY2025 versus $1.7B in FY2021, a compound +13.9%/yr. Reported net income was $569K in FY2025, compounding −56.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $68.8M · P/E ratio 140.7 · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) $0.4800 · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 0.0% · Return on equity 0.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −6%, DIT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $19.91Fair Value $63.37Bull $63.37
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.2% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
’14
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’19
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−37.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−38.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−38% vs −20%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.0% a year for the price.
Compare AMCON Distributing Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food Distribution · 83 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth17% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.22× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AMCON Distributing Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DIT
Frequently asked questions
Is AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $63.37 versus a price of $67.56, about −6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DIT?
Our model-based fair value for AMCON Distributing Company is $63.37 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $67.56.
What is the quality score of DIT?
AMCON Distributing Company has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $63.37 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $19.91, optimistic scenario $63.37. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AMCON Distributing Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $63.37, about −6% upside versus a price of $67.56 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $19.91, optimistic scenario $63.37. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
AMCON Distributing Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does AMCON Distributing Company pay a dividend?
AMCON Distributing Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.71% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, AMCON Distributing Company would have to grow free cash flow by +15.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.1 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DIT use?
Our models discount AMCON Distributing Company at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For AMCON Distributing Company that is +15.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at AMCON Distributing Company grew +20.1 % a year. The price currently implies +15.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into AMCON Distributing Company (+15.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 23.20 %: that much free cash flow AMCON Distributing Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AMCON Distributing Company it is $63.37 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $67.56. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AMCON Distributing Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, DIT trades above its calculated fair value: price $67.56, fair value $63.37, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DIT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($67.56); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($63.37). For AMCON Distributing Company the two are $4.19 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AMCON Distributing Company worth?
The market values AMCON Distributing Company at about $68.8M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $67.56; our models calculate a fair value of $63.37 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DIT?
Our models span a range for AMCON Distributing Company: cautious scenario $19.91, base $63.37, optimistic $63.37 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $67.56). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DIT?
AMCON Distributing Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 140.7 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $63.37 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.1, P/B 0.6, P/S 0.0, EV/EBITDA 9.5.
What is the PEG ratio of DIT?
The PEG ratio of AMCON Distributing Company is 1.10 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
Balance-sheet figures for AMCON Distributing Company (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 0.4%, debt of 1.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DIT from its 52-week high?
AMCON Distributing Company trades at $67.56, about 29% below its 52-week high of $95.46 and 9% above the low of $62.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $63.37 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AMCON Distributing Company?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding, Performance Food Group, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AMCON Distributing Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $67.56, calculated fair value $63.37 (−6%), Quality Score 46/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DIT calculated?
We run AMCON Distributing Company through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $63.37, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. AMCON Distributing Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $67.56. Our model-based fair value is $63.37, about −6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AMCON Distributing Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($63.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($19.91 to $63.37). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Where does the earnings growth of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) come from?
Earnings per share at AMCON Distributing Company grew +1.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.9 %, EBIT margin −1.9 %, tax rate +0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −7.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of AMCON Distributing Company
How large is the market capitalisation of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
The market capitalisation of AMCON Distributing Company is $68.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AMCON Distributing Company is 0.03 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
Earnings per share at AMCON Distributing Company are $0.4800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 140.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
The dividend yield of AMCON Distributing Company is 0.7% (payout 100%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
The net margin of AMCON Distributing Company is 0.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AMCON Distributing Company is 0.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AMCON Distributing Company is 6.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
The operating margin of AMCON Distributing Company is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
Revenue at AMCON Distributing Company is growing +17.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
Earnings per share at AMCON Distributing Company are growing +125% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) carry?
The net debt of AMCON Distributing Company is $173M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 17.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026