AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of AMCON Distributing Company stock $53.86, price $62.30, that is 13.5% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $59.97 – $158.70 · fair‑value band $16.92 – $95.12 · the $62.30 price screens above the $53.86 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 9, 2026.
Follow AMCON Distributing in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether AMCON Distributing is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
AMCON Distributing Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the wholesale distribution of consumer products in the Central, Rocky Mountain, and Mid-South regions of the United States. The company operates through two segments: Wholesale Distribution and Retail Health Food.
Show moreShow less
The Wholesale Distribution segment distributes consumer products, including cigarettes and tobacco products, candy and other confectionery, beverages, groceries, paper products, health and beauty care products, frozen and refrigerated products, and institutional foodservice products.
It serves retail outlets, such as convenience stores, discount and general merchandise stores, grocery stores, drug stores, liquor stores, tobacco shops, and gas stations; and institutional customers, including restaurants and bars, schools, sports complexes, and other wholesalers.
This segment also markets its own private label lines of water, candy products, batteries, and other products.
The Retail Health Food segment offers the retail of natural, organic, and specialty foods consisting of produce, baked goods, frozen foods, nutritional supplements, personal care items, and general merchandise.
In addition, the company operates retail health food stores under the Chamberlin's Natural Foods, Akin's Natural Foods, and Earth Origins Market brands. AMCON Distributing Company was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Omaha, Nebraska.
Stock analysis
AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) currently trades at $62.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $53.86, 14% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $74.02 per share, and 8 of the 20 models we run sit above the $62.30 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $7.20, and 12 of the 20 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $16.92 (bear) to $95.12 (bull), the price of $62.30 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
AMCON Distributing Company reported revenue of $2.8B in FY2025 versus $1.7B in FY2021, a compound +13.9%/yr. Reported net income was $569K in FY2025, compounding −56.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $58.8M Micro · P/E ratio 32.3 · P/S ratio 0.02 · EPS (TTM) $1.93 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 0.1% · Return on equity 1.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.5% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at −14%, DIT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$16.92Fair Value $53.86Bull$95.12
Price $62.30 · Downside -13.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.45 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income$58.32$63.37$70.1376
FCF DCF$19.97$83.06$161.8674
Owner Earningsn/a$47.17$113.3173
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF$19.97$83.06$161.8674
Owner Earningsn/a$47.17$113.3173
5Y Revenue Exitn/a$54.72$132.8369
5Y EBITDA Exit$32.00$129.84$243.0470
10Y Revenue Exit$0.0900$54.68$125.0758
10Y EBITDA Exit$24.32$98.90$196.4663
10Y P/E Exitn/an/a$12.1961
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$3.96$12.69$16.9364
Lynch FV$2.81$4.01$5.2261
PEG = 1.0$2.81$4.01$5.2257
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM$4.53$7.52$9.7068
DDM Multi-Stage$4.53$6.87$8.1067
Multiples
P/E Multiple$9.61$12.82$16.0263
P/S Multiple$7.43$9.91$12.3858
P/B Multiple$316.75$422.34$527.9255
EV/EBITn/a$54.02$111.9161
EV/EBITDA$28.94$97.76$166.5861
EV/Revenuen/an/a$39.8750
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$52.79$70.74$105.5854
Growth DCF
Growth DCF$19.91$74.02$137.3473
Economic Profit
Residual Income$58.32$63.37$70.1376
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$7.99$11.41$14.8467
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.
Plus 3 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.2% a year
Revenue growth 29 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−36.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−37.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−37.6% vs −19.8%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.7% a year for the price.
Compare AMCON Distributing Company with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Food Distribution · 84 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−13.5% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)1.6% · Below median
Return on assets0.2% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)0.1% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)0.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)13.3% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.22× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Food Distribution median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AMCON Distributing Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DIT
Frequently asked questions
Is AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $53.86 versus a price of $62.30, about 14% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DIT?
Our model-based fair value for AMCON Distributing Company is $53.86 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $62.30.
What is the quality score of DIT?
AMCON Distributing Company has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $53.86 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $16.92, optimistic scenario $95.12. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AMCON Distributing Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $53.86, about 14% lower versus a price of $62.30 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $16.92, optimistic scenario $95.12. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
AMCON Distributing Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.4B (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
Does AMCON Distributing Company pay a dividend?
AMCON Distributing Company currently shows a dividend yield of 0.77% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 9, 2026).
How much is the dividend of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) and when is the ex-dividend date?
AMCON Distributing Company pays a dividend of $0.48 per share a year, a dividend yield of 0.8%. The last ex-dividend date was Nov 6, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2008. The payout ratio is 24.9% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 20.63 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, AMCON Distributing Company would have to grow free cash flow by +17.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.1 % per year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of DIT use?
Our models discount AMCON Distributing Company at 12.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For AMCON Distributing Company that is +17.4 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (12.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at AMCON Distributing Company grew +20.1 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +17.4 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into AMCON Distributing Company (+17.4 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.43 %: that much free cash flow AMCON Distributing Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AMCON Distributing Company it is $53.86 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of $62.30. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is AMCON Distributing Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, DIT trades above its calculated fair value: price $62.30, fair value $53.86, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of DIT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($62.30); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($53.86). For AMCON Distributing Company the two are $8.44 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AMCON Distributing Company worth?
The market values AMCON Distributing Company at about $58.8M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is $62.30; our models calculate a fair value of $53.86 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about DIT?
Our models span a range for AMCON Distributing Company: cautious scenario $16.92, base $53.86, optimistic $95.12 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price $62.30). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of DIT?
AMCON Distributing Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32.3 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $53.86 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.1, P/B 0.5, P/S 0.0, EV/EBITDA 9.1.
What is the PEG ratio of DIT?
The PEG ratio of AMCON Distributing Company is 1.10 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 9, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
Balance-sheet figures for AMCON Distributing Company (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 1.6%, debt of 1.22 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is DIT from its 52-week high?
AMCON Distributing Company trades at $62.30, about 35% below its 52-week high of $95.46 and 4% above the low of $59.97 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $53.86 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AMCON Distributing Company?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Sysco Corporation, US Foods Holding, Performance Food Group, Jerónimo Martins, SGPS, S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AMCON Distributing Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price $62.30, calculated fair value $53.86 (−14%), Quality Score 35/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of DIT calculated?
We run AMCON Distributing Company through 22 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $53.86 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.7% above its aggregate fair value. AMCON Distributing Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $62.30. Our model-based fair value is $53.86, about 14% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AMCON Distributing Company right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($16.92 to $95.12). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) come from?
Earnings per share at AMCON Distributing Company grew +1.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +10.9 %, EBIT margin −1.9 %, tax rate +0.8 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −7.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of AMCON Distributing Company
How large is the market capitalisation of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
The market capitalisation of AMCON Distributing Company is $58.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AMCON Distributing Company is 0.02 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
Earnings per share at AMCON Distributing Company are $1.93 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
The dividend yield of AMCON Distributing Company is 0.8% (payout 24.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
The net margin of AMCON Distributing Company is 0.1% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AMCON Distributing Company is 1.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AMCON Distributing Company is 6.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
The operating margin of AMCON Distributing Company is 0.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
Revenue at AMCON Distributing Company is growing +13.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AMCON Distributing Company (DIT)?
Earnings per share at AMCON Distributing Company are growing +101% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does AMCON Distributing Company (DIT) carry?
The net debt of AMCON Distributing Company is $173M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 17.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch AMCON Distributing Company in the live analysis
One click puts AMCON Distributing Company on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Broad data
Nov 9, 2026