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Ecovyst Inc (ECVT) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $1.4B

EI Ecovyst Inc logo Ecovyst Inc ECVT · US
Price$10.38
Fair Value$13.74
Upside+32.4%
Quality52/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -8.0% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: High Range $8.10 – $20.62 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $6.87 to $13.74 (+100.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −13.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 32% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($8.10 to $20.62) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$14.97 $5.33 Fair Value $13.74 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $5.33 – $14.97 · fair‑value band $8.10 – $20.62 · the $10.38 price screens below the $13.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Ecovyst Inc (ECVT) currently trades at $10.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.74, implying the stock looks roughly 32.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Ecovyst Inc generated revenue of $795M at a net margin of -8.0%. Revenue grew 50.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.2%. Net debt stands at $234M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $8.10 (bear case) to $20.62 (bull case); at $10.38, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -58% fair-value upside, at 32%, ECVT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.90 $5.58 $7.53 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.08 $7.01 $10.10 74
ROIC Compounder $2.52 $3.11 $3.60 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $3.79 $5.61 $7.83 38
5Y Revenue Exit $4.08 $6.93 $10.40 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.99 $10.28 $15.02 41
10Y Revenue Exit $3.75 $6.10 $8.93 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $4.99 $8.15 $11.97 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $2.52 $3.11 $3.60 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $5.68 $8.22 $10.59 70
DDM Multi-Stage $5.68 $7.74 $9.78 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $5.74 $8.25 $10.75 53
EV/EBITDA $8.97 $12.56 $16.15 54
EV/Revenue $4.74 $7.53 $10.32 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.76 $3.69 $5.51 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.90 $5.58 $7.53 80
Rev-Margin DCF $4.08 $7.01 $10.10 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $2.52 $3.11 $3.60 72

Widest divergence: Multiples ($8.25) versus Earnings-Based ($3.11). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $795M
Revenue growth (YoY) +50.2%
Net margin -8.0%
Return on equity 3.2%
Free cash flow $69.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 75.4
More key figures
Operating margin 6.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.1700
EPS growth (YoY) -28.6%
Net debt $234M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 93
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Ecovyst Inc. offers virgin and regenerated sulfuric acid products and services in the United States and internationally. It offers end-to-end logistics for production of alkylate for refineries mining, water treatment, and industrial applications. The company was formerly known as PQ Group Holdings Inc. and changed its name to Ecovyst Inc. in August 2021.

Full company description

Ecovyst Inc. offers virgin and regenerated sulfuric acid products and services in the United States and internationally. It offers end-to-end logistics for production of alkylate for refineries mining, water treatment, and industrial applications. The company was formerly known as PQ Group Holdings Inc. and changed its name to Ecovyst Inc. in August 2021. Ecovyst Inc. was founded in 1831 and is headquartered in Wayne, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Ecovyst Inc reported revenue of $724M in FY2025 versus $611M in FY2021, a compound +4.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$71.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 53/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$724M
Latest YoY
+2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−4.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+7.8%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y)
+5.6%
Revenue +4.3%/yr
FY21 $611M
FY22 $820M
FY23 $691M
FY24 $704M
FY25 $724M
Net income
FY21 −$140M
FY22 $73.7M
FY23 $71.2M
FY24 −$6.7M
FY25 −$71.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ecovyst Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ECVT

Peer Group

Specialty Chemicals · 676 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside +32% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Below median
Revenue growth 50% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.65× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 75.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.33× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.76× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 20.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 77 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 19
PAST 13 · sector 23
HEALTH 67 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $489.98 $222.03 -55%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 181.50 TWD 255.83 TWD +41%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥70.04 ¥68.03 -3%
Novozymes A/S NSISB kr 428.20 kr 179.66 -58%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,689 ₹668.81 -75%
Solar Industries India Limited SOLARINDS ₹18,236 ₹2,793 -85%
Pidilite Industries Limited PIDILITIND ₹1,560 ₹351.84 -77%
PT Chandra Asri Pacific Tbk TPIA 1,805 IDR 2,888 IDR +60%
Linde India Limited LINDEINDIA ₹7,115 ₹757.93 -89%
Berger Paints India Limited BERGEPAINT ₹493.70 ₹164.29 -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Ecovyst Inc (ECVT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.74 versus a price of $10.38, about +32% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ECVT?
Our model-based fair value for Ecovyst Inc is $13.74 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.38.
What is the quality score of ECVT?
Ecovyst Inc has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Ecovyst Inc (ECVT)?
Ecovyst Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $795M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ECVT?
The net profit margin of Ecovyst Inc is about -8.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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